German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg		12.1%
71.4%		16.5%
+144
+176
+135
+180
3
2		-0.92669-0.90057-2.11155
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		8.8%
77.7%		13.6%
+900
-358
+950
-410
0
3		-0.27788-0.25467-0.25260
Freiburg
Union Berlin		39.5%
33.6%		26.9%
+187
+173
+180
+167
0
0		-1.19000-1.19538-1.31174
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05		23.2%
54.4%		22.5%
+295
-110
+293
-110
1
1		-1.39574-1.37362-1.49348
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Heidenheim		55.4%
22.4%		22.3%
-124
+318
-118
+300
1
1		-1.45449-1.44553-1.50238
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig		26.2%
50.3%		23.5%
+232
+115
+225
+115
1
3		-0.79184-0.80625-0.68754
Borussia Monchengladbach
FC St. Pauli		33.0%
42.3%		24.7%
+216
+136
+220
+135
4
0		-1.18016-1.19066-1.10733
Dortmund
Augsburg		63.4%
17.2%		19.4%
-172
+490
-179
+450
1
0		-0.48353-0.49083-0.45541
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		19.8%
59.1%		21.1%
+244
+112
+290
+110
1
2		-0.78355-0.74480-0.52657
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		14.4%
67.2%		18.4%
+295
+100
+290
+100
0
2		-0.71775-0.72307-0.39729
FC Koln
Dortmund		9.0%
77.5%		13.4%
+675
-247
+695
-255
0
1		-0.36869-0.36661-0.25444
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt		11.7%
72.6%		15.7%
+390
-147
+365
-145
0
2		-0.54765-0.56853-0.32048
FC Heidenheim
Hoffenheim		25.2%
51.4%		23.4%
+455
-170
+425
-175
1
3		-0.49658-0.49989-0.66600
RB Leipzig
Augsburg		47.4%
28.2%		24.4%
+111
+235
+105
+233
6
0		-0.77260-0.76458-0.74727
Bayern Munich
Borussia Monchengladbach		72.8%
11.6%		15.6%
-408
+970
-485
+1125
3
0		-0.25135-0.23314-0.31728
Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV		31.5%
43.5%		25.0%
+222
+122
+210
+120
1
0		-1.20161-1.18123-1.15572
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.