German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+144
+205
+130
+210
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-114
u2½+104
o2½-115
u2½+100
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+580
-225
+550
-235
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-111
u3¼+101
o3½+115
u3½-125
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+190
+151
+190
+140
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-105
u2¾-113
o2½-130
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
-101
+275
-105
+273
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3-109
u3-102
o3-120
u3+100
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-177
+480
-180
+440
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼-104
u3¼-103
o3-125
u3½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-112
+324
-130
+330
2.14
1.15		3.29
o3+106
u3-118
o3+120
u3-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Werder Bremen
FC Heidenheim		38.5%
35.2%		26.3%
+152
+163
+160
+155
4
1		-0.95716-0.99201-0.95477
Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart		16.9%
63.4%		19.7%
+485
-183
+490
-200
0
4		-0.46154-0.45323-0.45612
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt		16.8%
64.3%		19.0%
+485
-173
+475
-180
2
2		-1.51299-1.51577-1.66337
Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		15.2%
66.6%		18.1%
+158
+158
+154
+170
4
2		-0.98147-0.95244-1.88144
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich		4.4%
86.9%		8.6%
+1550
-659
+1525
-730
0
2		-0.16735-0.17366-0.13993
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen		37.9%
36.3%		25.8%
+250
-103
+240
+115
0
0		-1.46581-1.41412-1.35483
Freiburg
Holstein Kiel		52.3%
24.8%		22.9%
+107
+250
+100
+260
2
1		-0.75568-0.72869-0.64844
Mainz 05
VfL Bochum		46.2%
29.1%		24.7%
+121
+212
+120
+210
4
1		-0.82198-0.82401-0.77204
FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin		22.9%
53.1%		24.0%
+280
+103
+285
+100
3
0		-1.36430-1.38790-1.47443
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg		24.2%
52.9%		22.9%
+150
+195
+145
+165
2
2		-1.30763-1.37259-1.47495
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05		23.1%
54.7%		22.2%
+196
+138
+195
+130
1
1		-1.33022-1.36137-1.50729
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg		56.2%
21.6%		22.1%
+126
+223
+125
+212
2
2		-1.32047-1.34297-1.50819
Holstein Kiel
Augsburg		15.3%
66.4%		18.4%
+322
-122
+329
-125
3
1		-1.47272-1.49424-1.87863
Wolfsburg
Dortmund		14.5%
67.4%		18.1%
+870
-345
+900
-395
0
4		-0.28071-0.27182-0.39439
Hoffenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach		24.2%
53.8%		22.0%
+191
+126
+195
+125
4
4		-1.42745-1.42862-1.51422
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli		39.0%
35.4%		25.6%
+160
+182
+165
+175
1
0		-0.98254-1.00414-0.94138
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.