German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+143
+205
+130
+210
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-114
u2½+106
o2½-115
u2½+100
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+600
-225
+550
-235
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-112
u3¼+106
o3½+115
u3½-125
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+190
+151
+190
+140
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-105
u2¾-113
o2½-130
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+100
+275
-105
+273
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3-109
u3-102
o3-120
u3+100
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-177
+490
-180
+440
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼-106
u3¼-104
o3-125
u3½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-115
+324
-130
+330
2.14
1.15		3.29
o3+107
u3-118
o3+120
u3-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin		34.2%
39.4%		26.3%
+130
+228
+140
+210
2
2		-1.27783-1.28764-1.33427
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig		62.1%
17.9%		20.0%
-132
+311
-135
+340
3
3		-1.55533-1.55353-1.60804
VfL Bochum
FC Heidenheim		29.2%
45.7%		25.2%
+208
+139
+210
+130
0
0		-1.27075-1.29496-1.37952
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen		24.1%
53.3%		22.6%
+290
+100
+275
+100
0
0		-1.32467-1.31420-1.48912
Union Berlin
VfL Bochum		34.3%
39.1%		26.6%
+223
+132
+215
+135
1
1		-1.27047-1.27068-1.32411
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt		32.6%
42.4%		25.0%
+260
+100
+240
-100
0
4		-0.71460-0.74244-0.85703
Mainz 05
Bayern Munich		6.5%
82.0%		11.4%
+1050
-410
+1000
-460
0
3		-0.24217-0.24309-0.19811
Dortmund
Hoffenheim		46.5%
29.9%		23.6%
-114
+295
-120
+300
3
2		-0.65911-0.64764-0.76542
Borussia Monchengladbach
Holstein Kiel		49.8%
27.3%		22.9%
+163
+158
+160
+190
3
4		-0.97830-1.06083-1.29740
Augsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		6.0%
83.1%		10.9%
+565
-204
+675
-215
0
2		-0.43254-0.40164-0.18562
Freiburg
Wolfsburg		29.0%
45.7%		25.3%
+195
+139
+190
+135
1
0		-1.10909-1.10452-1.23750
FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart		10.0%
74.8%		15.2%
+560
-220
+490
-205
1
0		-1.91787-1.81769-2.30409
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli		67.3%
14.7%		18.0%
-142
+405
-140
+380
1
1		-1.42051-1.42712-1.71524
Borussia Monchengladbach
Dortmund		14.5%
68.2%		17.3%
+650
-265
+660
-290
2
3		-0.34586-0.34135-0.38251
Eintracht Frankfurt
Augsburg		38.2%
36.2%		25.6%
+182
+157
+185
+155
0
0		-1.28179-1.27072-1.36402
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin		44.6%
29.8%		25.5%
+135
+211
+130
+210
4
4		-1.28500-1.29496-1.36489
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.