German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Freiburg
Wolfsburg 		25.6%
50.1%		24.2%
+180
+157
+181
+145
1.13
1.67		2.80
o2½-118
u2½+105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Union Berlin
FC Koln 		28.3%
46.9%		24.8%
+214
+142
+205
+140
1.19
1.59		2.78
o2½-101
u2½-109
o2½+100
u2½-120
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart 		21.8%
56.7%		21.5%
+241
+108
+237
+105
1.17
2.00		3.17
o3¼+103
u3¼-115
o3-130
u3+110
Werder Bremen
Augsburg 		31.0%
44.1%		24.9%
+218
+129
+210
+125
1.26
1.56		2.82
o2¾+101
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+105
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV 		46.8%
29.6%		23.6%
+168
+160
+170
+160
1.71
1.32		3.03
o2¾-115
u2¾+100
o2½-140
u3-135
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig 		30.3%
44.9%		24.8%
+214
+122
+225
+110
1.25
1.57		2.82
o3-114
u3+101
o3-125
u3+105
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Freiburg
FC St. Pauli		34.5%
39.6%		25.8%
+214
+154
+230
+150
1
0		-1.16861-1.20932-1.06407
Borussia Monchengladbach
Union Berlin		29.6%
45.6%		24.8%
+240
+118
+240
+110
2
1		-1.25544-1.27075-1.21885
RB Leipzig
Augsburg		43.2%
31.5%		25.4%
+140
+213
+140
+203
0
0		-1.24303-1.24247-1.37231
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig		12.3%
71.2%		16.5%
+405
-145
+425
-145
0
2		-0.56063-0.54752-0.33979
VfL Bochum
Holstein Kiel		31.3%
44.0%		24.6%
+210
+136
+210
+130
2
2		-1.29664-1.29496-1.40076
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Monchengladbach		37.7%
37.2%		25.1%
+168
+160
+165
+155
1
1		-1.32595-1.33325-1.38198
FC Heidenheim
Freiburg		21.4%
55.9%		22.7%
+425
-137
+405
-140
0
1		-0.57401-0.58255-0.58238
Augsburg
Mainz 05		19.2%
59.8%		21.0%
+375
-120
+380
-130
0
0		-1.32426-1.35120-1.56036
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wolfsburg		56.4%
21.5%		22.1%
+117
+270
+110
+265
0
0		-1.24866-1.25646-1.50851
VfB Stuttgart
Dortmund		26.0%
51.1%		22.9%
+265
-101
+275
-105
2
1		-1.32392-1.35642-1.34846
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim		26.2%
49.8%		24.0%
+212
+136
+210
+130
4
0		-1.16344-1.17357-1.33891
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich		4.7%
86.2%		9.1%
+2000
-942
+2000
-1100
0
3		-0.13113-0.12797-0.14844
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		6.9%
81.5%		11.6%
+1700
-672
+1815
-780
1
3		-0.16848-0.16094-0.20413
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		21.5%
56.7%		21.7%
+270
+107
+265
+105
1
1		-1.34155-1.31972-1.52661
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin		44.4%
29.8%		25.7%
+130
+225
+130
+215
0
0		-1.27015-1.27959-1.35837
Dortmund
FC Heidenheim		54.5%
23.0%		22.5%
-138
+378
-145
+380
2
1		-0.57180-0.56764-0.60622
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43569 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.44498 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.26704
0.16865
0.17794

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.