German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV 		50.9%
26.1%		23.0%
+115
+242
+110
+241
1.82
1.24		3.06
o2¾-102
u2¾-113
o2½-133
u2½+115
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
Mainz 05		29.7%
45.9%		24.3%
+302
-101
+285
+100
0
2		-0.70948-0.72998-0.77805
Hamburger SV
FC Heidenheim		39.9%
35.0%		25.1%
+147
+204
+140
+190
2
0		-0.92680-0.92553-0.91889
Werder Bremen
Freiburg		25.6%
50.1%		24.3%
+265
+118
+250
+116
0
1		-0.81004-0.81202-0.69169
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin		34.2%
41.0%		24.8%
+250
+119
+248
+112
1
1		-1.28046-1.30689-1.39602
FC Heidenheim
Dortmund		4.7%
86.0%		9.3%
+1050
-385
+1000
-385
2
3		-0.26269-0.27466-0.15052
Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart		19.1%
60.4%		20.5%
+425
-152
+390
-155
0
1		-0.53408-0.54666-0.50435
Bayern Munich
Hamburger SV		76.7%
9.5%		13.8%
-360
+900
-350
+840
2
2		-1.91413-1.89326-1.97725
FC St. Pauli
Augsburg		21.8%
56.3%		22.0%
+300
+119
+340
+111
1
2		-0.81473-0.77958-0.57519
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim		21.7%
56.6%		21.7%
+360
-116
+350
-119
1
3		-0.64257-0.64875-0.56902
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig		12.6%
70.5%		17.0%
+475
-182
+450
-175
2
1		-1.78391-1.74968-2.07386
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt		38.4%
36.9%		24.6%
+110
+255
+115
+220
3
1		-0.76828-0.80880-0.95581
Borussia Monchengladbach
Werder Bremen		36.7%
39.7%		23.6%
+242
+117
+225
+120
1
1		-1.31148-1.30582-1.44537
Wolfsburg
FC Koln		31.0%
43.9%		25.0%
+262
+112
+240
+110
0
1		-0.75839-0.78172-0.82332
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli		54.3%
23.2%		22.4%
-133
+415
-130
+390
1
1		-1.36273-1.35907-1.49508
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen		35.9%
39.6%		24.5%
-104
+299
-110
+283
2
0		-0.69637-0.68399-1.02549
FC Koln
Freiburg		23.3%
54.0%		22.7%
+287
+101
+273
+100
1
2		-0.72542-0.73081-0.61661
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.