German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Koln		53.2%
24.6%		22.3%
-107
+279
-115
+280
2
1		-0.69325-0.67264-0.63143
Borussia Monchengladbach
Wolfsburg		32.2%
43.4%		24.3%
+235
+115
+220
+130
0
0		-1.35158-1.31778-1.41297
Bayern Munich
Mainz 05		61.2%
19.7%		19.1%
-122
+292
-128
+330
4
3		-0.63109-0.57536-0.49151
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig		11.3%
72.0%		16.6%
+515
-185
+525
-208
1
3		-0.46083-0.43529-0.32802
Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach		35.3%
40.5%		24.2%
+215
+130
+215
+129
1
1		-1.30030-1.30008-1.41803
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern Munich		13.8%
70.3%		15.9%
+460
-200
+445
-202
2
4		-0.43544-0.44412-0.35244
FC Heidenheim
Freiburg		19.1%
60.1%		20.8%
+425
-152
+410
-145
1
2		-0.53959-0.54747-0.50876
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt		47.8%
28.5%		23.7%
+127
+200
+120
+199
3
1		-0.84770-0.83285-0.73804
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin		30.2%
43.9%		25.9%
+230
+125
+225
+120
2
1		-1.21811-1.21790-1.19859
Augsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		14.2%
68.5%		17.3%
+680
-255
+580
-250
2
1		-2.08868-1.96404-1.95284
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen		28.4%
48.7%		22.9%
+350
-120
+330
-125
1
3		-0.63650-0.63713-0.72031
Dortmund
Hoffenheim		40.2%
35.6%		24.2%
+205
+123
+203
+120
1
2		-0.83292-0.82549-1.03325
FC Koln
FC St. Pauli		35.0%
40.6%		24.4%
+152
+208
+150
+210
1
1		-1.20959-1.20848-1.41219
Freiburg
Mainz 05		28.8%
46.8%		24.4%
+245
+132
+230
+128
1
0		-1.26199-1.23760-1.24591
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart		14.5%
67.5%		18.0%
+900
-330
+800
-325
0
4		-0.29823-0.31396-0.39316
Werder Bremen
FC Koln		30.7%
44.3%		25.0%
+220
+138
+210
+130
1
3		-0.88938-0.88312-0.81326
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.