German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
FC St. Pauli		73.5%
11.6%		14.8%
-313
+870
-303
+800
5
0		-0.30316-0.32142-0.30737
Eintracht Frankfurt
Wolfsburg		37.1%
38.0%		24.9%
+170
+156
+165
+156
2
1		-1.02404-1.01567-0.99147
Borussia Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig		16.8%
64.8%		18.4%
+575
-208
+525
-220
0
1		-0.41975-0.42111-0.43337
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund		27.6%
49.4%		23.0%
+233
+117
+230
+113
1
0		-1.22697-1.23100-1.28761
Union Berlin
FC Heidenheim		42.8%
30.4%		26.7%
+156
+188
+155
+180
1
3		-1.08512-1.07213-1.18974
Hoffenheim
Augsburg		45.9%
29.2%		24.9%
-101
+266
+100
+262
2
2		-1.38874-1.38537-1.39006
FC Koln
Eintracht Frankfurt		29.7%
49.2%		21.0%
+290
-105
+290
-110
2
2		-1.36434-1.37350-1.55989
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin		27.4%
48.6%		24.0%
+318
+114
+313
+125
1
1		-1.19277-1.17714-1.42724
Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart		35.0%
39.7%		25.2%
+183
+142
+175
+139
2
0		-1.06045-1.04313-1.04894
Bayern Munich
Freiburg		69.4%
13.7%		16.8%
-182
+490
-210
+480
3
2		-0.46299-0.43809-0.36484
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim		22.4%
56.1%		21.5%
+390
-133
+345
-135
2
1		-1.61385-1.54094-1.49526
Augsburg
Hamburger SV		31.5%
44.6%		24.0%
+200
+145
+195
+140
1
1		-1.25878-1.27866-1.42916
FC Heidenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach		17.7%
63.1%		19.3%
+450
-161
+405
-160
2
2		-1.50724-1.52850-1.64698
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen		47.2%
28.0%		24.8%
-114
+295
-120
+290
2
1		-0.66204-0.65670-0.75095
Wolfsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		13.8%
68.9%		17.4%
+595
-217
+575
-240
3
6		-0.40704-0.39720-0.37307
VfB Stuttgart
Augsburg		47.1%
27.8%		25.2%
+102
+270
+110
+230
5
2		-0.73391-0.78017-0.75356
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.