German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Freiburg
FC St. Pauli		37.2%
37.3%		25.5%
+194
+174
+182
+175
2
1		-1.10775-1.08181-0.99013
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05		30.0%
46.0%		24.0%
+240
+120
+220
+120
1
2		-0.81835-0.83229-0.77716
Hamburger SV
Dortmund		13.1%
71.1%		15.8%
+665
-232
+675
-230
2
3		-0.39266-0.38286-0.34156
Union Berlin
Bayern Munich		5.8%
84.1%		10.2%
+1900
-640
+1475
-715
0
4		-0.16404-0.18092-0.17368
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Heidenheim		62.2%
18.1%		19.7%
-180
+480
-185
+480
3
3		-1.59194-1.60137-1.62379
Borussia Monchengladbach
FC Koln		32.5%
43.2%		24.3%
+210
+138
+213
+130
3
3		-1.27043-1.27100-1.41638
Werder Bremen
Wolfsburg		34.6%
40.0%		25.4%
+190
+143
+180
+143
1
0		-1.09383-1.07137-1.05987
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig		27.1%
50.8%		22.1%
+270
-105
+260
-110
0
5		-0.69919-0.68886-0.67645
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart		32.9%
41.9%		25.2%
+165
+150
+160
+150
0
1		-0.94328-0.95776-0.87072
Union Berlin
Freiburg		27.9%
47.2%		24.9%
+340
-108
+330
-110
1
0		-1.50188-1.49143-1.27554
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen		32.2%
43.8%		23.9%
+222
+129
+235
+122
2
0		-1.19789-1.24303-1.13199
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+580
-217
+625
-230
1
1		-1.64057-1.69097-1.62719
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-178
+440
-183
+410
1
1		-1.60520-1.63496-1.53146
Augsburg
Dortmund		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+490
-179
+450
-185
0
2		-0.47420-0.48070-0.36833
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+400
-147
+416
-160
0
1		-0.54894-0.52131-0.38635
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Monchengladbach		24.9%
53.1%		21.9%
+345
+101
+315
-105
0
2		-0.70932-0.71523-0.63247
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.