German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		15.3%
67.0%		17.8%
+390
-145
+365
-140
1
1		-1.46855-1.44677-1.72833
FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen		18.6%
61.7%		19.7%
+430
-156
+414
-165
0
2		-0.52032-0.52234-0.48287
FC Koln
Augsburg		29.3%
47.1%		23.6%
+235
+128
+225
+125
0
2		-0.84835-0.84730-0.75332
VfB Stuttgart
FC Heidenheim		59.9%
18.9%		21.2%
-147
+389
-156
+390
3
3		-1.50463-1.52510-1.55277
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli		36.6%
37.7%		25.7%
+187
+177
+180
+175
1
2		-1.04637-1.05403-0.97474
Borussia Monchengladbach
Freiburg		27.6%
48.4%		24.0%
+280
+120
+270
+110
1
2		-0.80629-0.79025-0.72586
Dortmund
RB Leipzig		32.4%
42.8%		24.7%
+262
-101
+227
+105
2
2		-1.43708-1.42899-1.39804
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Union Berlin		43.9%
31.5%		24.7%
+139
+220
+135
+212
0
1		-1.19214-1.17474-1.15617
Hoffenheim
FC Koln		44.9%
30.3%		24.8%
+109
+257
-105
+280
2
2		-1.34669-1.34289-1.39372
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern Munich		8.3%
78.8%		12.8%
+2600
-1100
+1900
-1000
2
3		-0.11184-0.14217-0.23810
Augsburg
Wolfsburg		25.8%
50.1%		24.0%
+230
+136
+236
+120
3
2		-1.21039-1.25309-1.35425
Hamburger SV
Mainz 05		27.5%
49.0%		23.5%
+267
+106
+265
+110
1
1		-1.31602-1.31856-1.44689
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		12.7%
70.0%		17.3%
+490
-189
+460
-190
2
2		-1.61314-1.57591-1.75446
FC Heidenheim
Augsburg		20.2%
58.9%		20.9%
+325
-109
+320
-115
0
1		-0.67631-0.66460-0.52928
FC Koln
VfB Stuttgart		13.2%
69.8%		17.0%
+500
-198
+500
-202
1
3		-0.44141-0.44721-0.35898
Bayern Munich
Werder Bremen		73.8%
10.9%		15.3%
-313
+820
-326
+810
3
0		-0.29981-0.30718-0.30420
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.