German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich 		3.8%
88.4%		7.8%
+1575
-895
+1675
-855
0.73
3.61		4.34
o4-108
u4-108
o4-105
u4-112
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV 		50.9%
26.1%		23.0%
+104
+265
+100
+265
3.06
o2¾-115
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u3-137
1st H
24:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hamburger SV
Hoffenheim		20.7%
58.6%		20.7%
+368
-143
+355
-145
1
4		-0.56486-0.56826-0.53423
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin		49.1%
26.2%		24.6%
+136
+220
+135
+205
1
3		-1.17860-1.16155-1.33834
Hoffenheim
Dortmund		13.4%
69.9%		16.6%
+410
-154
+366
-155
0
2		-0.52712-0.54392-0.35796
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV		29.7%
46.3%		23.9%
+205
+140
+195
+136
2
3		-0.90686-0.90594-0.76936
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig		27.0%
49.6%		23.4%
+345
-127
+325
-135
0
6		-0.60732-0.59998-0.70199
FC St. Pauli
FC Koln		25.2%
51.9%		22.9%
+287
+107
+290
+100
1
1		-1.28168-1.30435-1.47491
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Augsburg		52.2%
24.7%		23.1%
+116
+256
+115
+280
0
2		-1.28743-1.31625-1.39938
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg		24.0%
51.8%		24.2%
+290
+108
+287
+120
1
3		-0.75341-0.79549-0.65778
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart		64.7%
16.3%		19.0%
-164
+405
-170
+440
5
0		-0.50979-0.47733-0.43584
Freiburg
FC Heidenheim		43.0%
30.9%		26.1%
-119
+400
-125
+395
1
2		-1.63342-1.63266-1.17419
Borussia Monchengladbach
Mainz 05		26.9%
49.7%		23.4%
+166
+180
+160
+170
1
0		-0.99693-0.99153-1.31200
Mainz 05
Freiburg		27.3%
48.3%		24.4%
+400
-134
+400
-130
0
4		-0.59068-0.60899-0.72774
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		14.7%
67.1%		18.2%
+280
-107
+270
-102
1
1		-1.41593-1.42995-1.70364
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV		47.8%
28.5%		23.7%
+150
+185
+140
+215
1
2		-1.08170-1.15179-1.25600
Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		28.7%
47.7%		23.6%
+155
+175
+160
+165
2
1		-0.97061-0.99823-1.24901
FC Koln
Werder Bremen		23.8%
53.9%		22.3%
+212
+123
+190
+125
1
1		-1.36266-1.40564-1.50112
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.