German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Freiburg
Hoffenheim		19.4%
59.9%		20.7%
+390
-133
+360
-138
0
3		-0.58168-0.59117-0.51316
FC St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		9.5%
76.7%		13.8%
+580
-189
+550
-195
0
4		-0.44913-0.45525-0.26510
Borussia Monchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt		21.4%
59.1%		19.5%
+240
+126
+270
+110
0
3		-0.83743-0.76970-0.52569
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV		29.6%
46.3%		24.1%
+231
+138
+220
+142
2
3		-0.90128-0.92604-0.76988
Mainz 05
Dortmund		12.0%
72.3%		15.7%
+420
-145
+395
-160
0
4		-0.54003-0.52921-0.32453
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich		5.1%
85.5%		9.4%
+1100
-410
+950
-405
1
5		-0.24128-0.25521-0.15665
RB Leipzig
FC Koln		48.0%
28.4%		23.6%
+107
+260
+100
+250
2
1		-0.74024-0.73314-0.73362
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		46.3%
30.2%		23.5%
+106
+266
+100
+265
1
1		-1.35658-1.33139-1.44638
Dortmund
Wolfsburg		53.9%
23.6%		22.5%
-135
+388
-145
+360
2
1		-0.57054-0.56808-0.61863
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli		47.6%
28.5%		23.9%
-135
+412
-135
+365
1
2		-1.65900-1.58821-1.25597
Augsburg
Mainz 05		29.7%
45.9%		24.3%
+302
-101
+285
+100
0
2		-0.70948-0.72998-0.77805
Hamburger SV
FC Heidenheim		39.9%
35.0%		25.1%
+147
+204
+140
+190
2
0		-0.92680-0.92553-0.91889
Werder Bremen
Freiburg		25.6%
50.1%		24.3%
+265
+118
+250
+116
0
1		-0.81004-0.81202-0.69169
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin		34.2%
41.0%		24.8%
+250
+119
+248
+112
1
1		-1.28046-1.30689-1.39602
FC Heidenheim
Dortmund		4.7%
86.0%		9.3%
+1050
-385
+1000
-385
2
3		-0.26269-0.27466-0.15052
Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart		19.1%
60.4%		20.5%
+425
-152
+390
-155
0
1		-0.53408-0.54666-0.50435
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.