German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
Hamburger SV		76.7%
9.5%		13.8%
-360
+900
-350
+840
2
2		-1.91413-1.89326-1.97725
FC St. Pauli
Augsburg		21.8%
56.3%		22.0%
+300
+119
+340
+111
1
2		-0.81473-0.77958-0.57519
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim		21.7%
56.6%		21.7%
+360
-116
+350
-119
1
3		-0.64257-0.64875-0.56902
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig		12.6%
70.5%		17.0%
+475
-182
+450
-175
2
1		-1.78391-1.74968-2.07386
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt		38.4%
36.9%		24.6%
+110
+255
+115
+220
3
1		-0.76828-0.80880-0.95581
Borussia Monchengladbach
Werder Bremen		36.7%
39.7%		23.6%
+242
+117
+225
+120
1
1		-1.31148-1.30582-1.44537
Wolfsburg
FC Koln		31.0%
43.9%		25.0%
+262
+112
+240
+110
0
1		-0.75839-0.78172-0.82332
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli		54.3%
23.2%		22.4%
-133
+415
-130
+390
1
1		-1.36273-1.35907-1.49508
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen		35.9%
39.6%		24.5%
-104
+299
-110
+283
2
0		-0.69637-0.68399-1.02549
FC Koln
Freiburg		23.3%
54.0%		22.7%
+287
+101
+273
+100
1
2		-0.72542-0.73081-0.61661
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Monchengladbach		40.0%
34.9%		25.1%
+135
+200
+126
+200
3
0		-0.87962-0.86394-0.91719
Dortmund
Union Berlin		51.7%
25.3%		23.0%
+131
+255
+130
+240
3
0		-0.85292-0.86977-0.65979
Augsburg
Bayern Munich		3.8%
88.2%		8.0%
+2000
-769
+2150
-925
2
1		-3.07197-3.14330-3.27783
RB Leipzig
FC Heidenheim		66.0%
15.0%		19.0%
-147
+380
-160
+370
3
0		-0.54924-0.53466-0.41555
Wolfsburg
Mainz 05		31.2%
43.9%		24.9%
+220
+135
+208
+135
1
3		-0.88605-0.89779-0.82378
Werder Bremen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		16.0%
65.8%		18.2%
+450
-170
+459
-180
0
1		-0.49574-0.48726-0.41805
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.