German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+143
+204
+145
+195
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-110
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+560
-230
+550
-235
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-105
u3¼-104
o3½+115
u3½-130
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+192
+135
+190
+135
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-140
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
+117
+230
+115
+220
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3-101
u3-111
o3-105
u3-115
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-175
+440
-165
+392
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼+100
u3¼-112
o3-125
u3+115
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-125
+325
-130
+325
2.14
1.15		3.29
o3-110
u3+101
o3-110
u3-110
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		19.8%
59.1%		21.1%
+244
+112
+290
+110
1
2		-0.78355-0.74480-0.52657
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		14.4%
67.2%		18.4%
+295
+100
+290
+100
0
2		-0.71775-0.72307-0.39729
FC Koln
Dortmund		9.0%
77.5%		13.4%
+675
-247
+695
-255
0
1		-0.36869-0.36661-0.25444
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt		11.7%
72.6%		15.7%
+390
-147
+365
-145
0
2		-0.54765-0.56853-0.32048
FC Heidenheim
Hoffenheim		25.2%
51.4%		23.4%
+455
-170
+425
-175
1
3		-0.49658-0.49989-0.66600
RB Leipzig
Augsburg		47.4%
28.2%		24.4%
+111
+235
+105
+233
6
0		-0.77260-0.76458-0.74727
Bayern Munich
Borussia Monchengladbach		72.8%
11.6%		15.6%
-408
+970
-485
+1125
3
0		-0.25135-0.23314-0.31728
Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV		31.5%
43.5%		25.0%
+222
+122
+210
+120
1
0		-1.20161-1.18123-1.15572
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen		11.6%
71.6%		16.7%
+206
+135
+205
+131
0
1		-0.88787-0.88663-0.33382
Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli		22.8%
55.5%		21.6%
+166
+175
+165
+165
3
0		-1.00816-1.01655-1.47631
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg		41.9%
32.8%		25.3%
+178
+152
+170
+150
2
2		-1.32479-1.33815-1.37504
Dortmund
Bayern Munich		18.3%
62.1%		19.6%
+715
-271
+670
-280
1
2		-0.34439-0.34967-0.47621
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig		14.9%
67.0%		18.0%
+550
-210
+515
-230
1
2		-0.41495-0.41160-0.40027
Werder Bremen
FC Heidenheim		46.0%
29.1%		24.9%
+159
+178
+163
+205
2
2		-1.27547-1.24657-1.39010
VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg		35.3%
38.4%		26.2%
+142
+195
+135
+185
3
0		-0.91332-0.90005-1.04075
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mainz 05		31.0%
44.1%		24.9%
+175
+160
+163
+170
4
3		-1.04344-0.99875-1.17073
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.