German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		31.2%
46.7%		22.1%
+123
+220
+130
+220
3
1		-0.83273-0.85247-1.16482
Hamburger SV
FC St. Pauli		33.6%
41.6%		24.8%
+189
+186
+182
+190
0
0		-1.11587-1.10803-1.39562
Freiburg
Augsburg		45.5%
29.7%		24.8%
+188
+166
+170
+172
2
2		-1.21120-1.22336-1.39582
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart		19.7%
59.3%		20.9%
+470
-159
+455
-165
1
1		-1.44371-1.46594-1.56356
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig		64.6%
15.9%		19.5%
-135
+360
-145
+350
5
1		-0.56927-0.55549-0.43710
Mainz 05
FC Koln		31.0%
44.3%		24.7%
+260
+115
+255
+110
1
2		-0.78898-0.78076-0.81513
FC Heidenheim
Wolfsburg		16.7%
63.5%		19.8%
+420
-143
+405
-155
1
1		-1.42608-1.45955-1.62020
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hamburger SV		36.6%
39.7%		23.6%
+191
+148
+200
+140
0
0		-1.27862-1.26691-1.44299
FC St. Pauli
Dortmund		9.6%
76.9%		13.5%
+1050
-303
+1050
-345
2
3		-0.30563-0.29453-0.26231
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hoffenheim		36.7%
38.3%		25.0%
+187
+140
+188
+130
0
1		-0.90399-0.87577-0.95977
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen		42.9%
32.6%		24.5%
+174
+162
+165
+156
3
3		-1.30505-1.32565-1.40454
Union Berlin
Augsburg		37.7%
36.9%		25.3%
+196
+168
+185
+168
1
1		-1.18633-1.19902-1.37346
Freiburg
RB Leipzig		20.4%
59.2%		20.4%
+405
-135
+400
-130
0
2		-0.57656-0.59195-0.52420
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hoffenheim		24.8%
53.7%		21.5%
+290
+101
+280
-110
1
5		-0.70712-0.69423-0.62170
Bayern Munich
FC Koln		80.3%
7.5%		12.2%
-400
+1050
-425
+1100
3
1		-0.24773-0.24256-0.21975
FC St. Pauli
Wolfsburg		25.7%
51.4%		23.0%
+360
-112
+330
-110
1
2		-0.66357-0.67651-0.66604
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.