Dortmund at Werder Bremen

Updated

Dortmund

50.0%23.1%26.9%
Dortmund WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.80Projected Goals 1.26
2Final Score 0

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-140
L 0-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach-110
W 0-4 vs Freiburg-235
L 1-2 at Hoffenheim+203
L 1-0 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+113
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Hoffenheim+485
L 3-1 vs Augsburg-105
T 1-1 at VfB Stuttgart+480
W 1-3 vs Hamburger SV-125
L 1-3 at FC Koln+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-106+111+107+105+112+105+112+112.2
Werder Bremen+264+220+220+232+230+232+232+243.7
Draw+308+285+285+306+295+306+306+320.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-105-+102--+110+110+112.2
Werder Bremen+245-+230--+220+230+243.7
Draw+300-+292--+285+292+320.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +100 to -101
Werder Bremen ML moved from +235 to +225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +115 to +105
Werder Bremen ML moved from +235 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3½+104o3½+100o3½-114o3½+105o3½-114o3½+105o3½-104
Underu3¼-105u3½-115u3½-120u3½-106u3½-116u3½-106u3½-106u3½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½-105o3½-105--o3½-105o3½-105o3½-104
Underu3½-130u3½-115u3½-115--u3½-115u3½-115u3½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-115 to o3½-103
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.9%
 
No40.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.67%
Exactly 221.92%
Exactly 417.15%
Exactly 65.37%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.31%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.51%
Exactly 72.35%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 016.52%
Exactly 129.75%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 316.07%
Exactly 47.24%
Exactly 52.61%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 028.27%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 222.56%
Exactly 39.50%
Exactly 43.00%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.20%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 44.08%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 311.52%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 043.45%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.10%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 055.71%
Exactly 132.59%
Exactly 29.53%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals27.59%
Wins by 3+ goals12.38%
Wins by 4+ goals4.58%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals11.15%
Wins by 3+ goals3.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal22.37%
Wins by 2 goals15.22%
Wins by 3 goals7.80%
Wins by 4 goals3.17%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal15.70%
Wins by 2 goals7.49%
Wins by 3 goals2.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.33%4.67%
1.581.02%18.98%
2.559.10%40.90%
3.536.71%63.29%
4.519.56%80.44%
5.59.05%90.95%
6.53.68%96.32%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.48%16.52%
1.553.73%46.27%
2.526.95%73.05%
3.510.88%89.12%
4.53.64%96.36%
5.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.73%28.27%
1.536.02%63.98%
2.513.46%86.54%
3.53.95%96.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.80%24.20%
1.541.46%58.54%
2.517.10%82.90%
3.55.58%94.42%
4.51.50%98.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
4.67%
5.90%
3.73%
1.57%
0.50%
0.13%
1
8.41%
10.62%
6.71%
2.83%
0.89%
0.23%
2
7.57%
9.56%
6.04%
2.54%
0.80%
0.20%
3
4.54%
5.74%
3.63%
1.53%
0.48%
0.12%
4
2.05%
2.58%
1.63%
0.69%
0.22%
0.05%
5
0.74%
0.93%
0.59%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
Dortmund
1-08.41%
2-07.57%
2-19.56%
3-04.54%
3-15.74%
3-23.63%
4-02.05%
4-12.58%
4-21.63%
4-30.69%
5-00.74%
5-10.93%
5-20.59%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-04.67%
1-110.62%
2-26.04%
3-31.53%
4-40.22%
Werder Bremen
0-15.90%
0-23.73%
1-26.71%
0-31.57%
1-32.83%
2-32.54%
0-40.50%
1-40.89%
2-40.80%
3-40.48%
0-50.13%
1-50.23%
2-50.20%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
24.20%
14.16%
4.14%
0.81%
0.12%
1
20.18%
11.80%
3.45%
0.67%
0.10%
2
8.41%
4.92%
1.44%
0.28%
0.04%
3
2.34%
1.37%
0.40%
0.08%
0.01%
4
0.49%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-020.18%
2-08.41%
2-14.92%
3-02.34%
3-11.37%
3-20.40%
4-00.49%
4-10.28%
Draw
0-024.20%
1-111.80%
2-21.44%
Werder Bremen
0-114.16%
0-24.14%
1-23.45%
0-30.81%
1-30.67%
2-30.28%
0-40.12%