Freiburg at Dortmund

Updated

Freiburg

14.1%16.8%69.1%
WinDrawDortmund Win
1.09Projected Goals 2.55
0Final Score 4

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
W 1-2 vs FC Heidenheim-145
W 1-0 at Mainz 05+230
L 3-2 vs Bayern Munich+480
W 2-1 at FC St. Pauli+182
L 1-0 vs Union Berlin-110
Dortmund
Money Line
L 1-2 at Hoffenheim+203
L 1-0 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+113
W 2-0 at VfB Stuttgart+175
W 2-3 vs Hamburger SV-230
W 0-2 vs Augsburg-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+540+600+575+615+615+615+615+640.0
Dortmund-233-233-235-225-225-225-225-202.0
Draw+380+390+380+393+393+393+393+410.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+585-+580--+600+600+640.0
Dortmund-240--235---240-235-202.0
Draw+400-+390--+400+400+410.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Dortmund: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +600 to +580
Dortmund ML moved from -227 to -233

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Dortmund: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +640 to +580
Dortmund ML moved from -240 to -265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-104o3-105o3-118o3-118o3-118o3-118o3-105o3-107
Underu3-110u3-104u3-102u3-102u3-102u3-102u3-102u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-115o3-115--o3-120o3-115o3-107
Underu3-110u3-105u3-105--u3+100u3+100u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes61.0%
 
No39.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.63%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 419.20%
Exactly 68.47%
Exactly 82.00%
Exactly 100.29%
 
Exactly 19.57%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 513.97%
Exactly 74.40%
Exactly 90.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 033.81%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 07.78%
Exactly 119.86%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 413.79%
Exactly 57.04%
Exactly 63.00%
Exactly 71.09%
Exactly 80.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.55%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 46.23%
Exactly 60.59%
 
Exactly 131.25%
Exactly 314.78%
Exactly 52.10%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 060.52%
Exactly 130.39%
Exactly 27.63%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 030.65%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 38.45%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals4.88%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals47.54%
Wins by 3+ goals27.74%
Wins by 4+ goals13.75%
Wins by 5+ goals5.82%
Wins by 6+ goals2.10%
Wins by 7+ goals0.62%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal9.10%
Wins by 2 goals3.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.45%
Wins by 2 goals19.80%
Wins by 3 goals13.99%
Wins by 4 goals7.92%
Wins by 5 goals3.72%
Wins by 6 goals1.48%
Wins by 7 goals0.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.37%2.63%
1.587.81%12.19%
2.570.40%29.60%
3.549.30%50.70%
4.530.10%69.90%
5.516.12%83.88%
6.57.65%92.35%
7.53.25%96.75%
8.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.19%33.81%
1.529.53%70.47%
2.59.65%90.35%
3.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.22%7.78%
1.572.36%27.64%
2.547.00%53.00%
3.525.40%74.60%
4.511.62%88.38%
5.54.57%95.43%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.45%18.55%
1.550.20%49.80%
2.523.87%76.13%
3.59.09%90.91%
4.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
2.63%
6.71%
8.57%
7.30%
4.66%
2.38%
1.01%
1
2.85%
7.28%
9.30%
7.92%
5.06%
2.58%
1.10%
2
1.55%
3.95%
5.04%
4.29%
2.74%
1.40%
0.60%
3
0.56%
1.43%
1.82%
1.55%
0.99%
0.51%
0.22%
4
0.15%
0.39%
0.49%
0.42%
0.27%
0.14%
0.06%
Freiburg
1-02.85%
2-01.55%
2-13.95%
3-00.56%
3-11.43%
3-21.82%
4-00.15%
4-10.39%
4-20.49%
4-30.42%
Draw
0-02.63%
1-17.28%
2-25.04%
3-31.55%
4-40.27%
Dortmund
0-16.71%
0-28.57%
1-29.30%
0-37.30%
1-37.92%
2-34.29%
0-44.66%
1-45.06%
2-42.74%
3-40.99%
0-52.38%
1-52.58%
2-51.40%
3-50.51%
4-50.14%
0-61.01%
1-61.10%
2-60.60%
3-60.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Dortmund
Score012345
0
18.55%
21.94%
12.97%
5.11%
1.51%
0.36%
1
9.31%
11.02%
6.51%
2.57%
0.76%
0.18%
2
2.34%
2.77%
1.64%
0.64%
0.19%
0.05%
3
0.39%
0.46%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-09.31%
2-02.34%
2-12.77%
3-00.39%
3-10.46%
3-20.27%
Draw
0-018.55%
1-111.02%
2-21.64%
3-30.11%
Dortmund
0-121.94%
0-212.97%
1-26.51%
0-35.11%
1-32.57%
2-30.64%
0-41.51%
1-40.76%
2-40.19%
0-50.36%
1-50.18%