Leverkusen at Mainz 05

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

48.8%23.9%27.3%
Leverkusen WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.71Projected Goals 1.21
2Final Score 2

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Dortmund+170
T 2-2 at Freiburg+125
W 0-2 vs Augsburg-215
T 1-1 at FC St. Pauli-140
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin-283
Mainz 05
Money Line
W 4-1 at VfL Bochum+120
T 1-1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+130
L 0-3 at Bayern Munich+1000
T 2-2 vs Wolfsburg+100
L 0-2 at Hoffenheim+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+160+173+170+177+169+177+177+184.6
Mainz 05+145+141+135+148+142+148+148+154.8
Draw+280+287+285+280+270+280+287+290.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+195-+175-+180+180+180+184.6
Mainz 05+115-+135-+100+130+135+154.8
Draw+305-+280-+270+285+285+290.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +187 to +177
Mainz 05 ML moved from +140 to +134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +185 to +170
Mainz 05 ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3½+118o3¼-108o3¼-105o3¼-110o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3-120u3½-139u3¼-112u3¼-115u3¼-110u3¼-115u3½-139u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-145o3-150o3½+115-o3-150o3-145o3-145o3¼+104
Underu3+125u3+130u3½-135-u3+120u3+125u3½-135u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.5%
 
No42.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.41%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 416.32%
Exactly 64.63%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.78%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.52%
Exactly 71.93%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 018.23%
Exactly 131.03%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 314.98%
Exactly 46.38%
Exactly 52.17%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 029.68%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.91%
Exactly 223.63%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 310.64%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 045.47%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 214.12%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 056.98%
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 29.01%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals26.13%
Wins by 3+ goals11.28%
Wins by 4+ goals4.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.18%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals11.12%
Wins by 3+ goals3.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal22.64%
Wins by 2 goals14.85%
Wins by 3 goals7.28%
Wins by 4 goals2.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal16.15%
Wins by 2 goals7.56%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.59%5.41%
1.578.81%21.19%
2.555.80%44.20%
3.533.42%66.58%
4.517.10%82.90%
5.57.58%92.42%
6.52.95%97.05%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.77%18.23%
1.550.75%49.25%
2.524.34%75.66%
3.59.35%90.65%
4.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.32%29.68%
1.534.27%65.73%
2.512.37%87.63%
3.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.09%25.91%
1.539.10%60.90%
2.515.47%84.53%
3.54.83%95.17%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
5.41%
6.57%
3.99%
1.62%
0.49%
0.12%
1
9.21%
11.19%
6.79%
2.75%
0.84%
0.20%
2
7.84%
9.52%
5.78%
2.34%
0.71%
0.17%
3
4.45%
5.40%
3.28%
1.33%
0.40%
0.10%
4
1.89%
2.30%
1.40%
0.57%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.64%
0.78%
0.48%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-09.21%
2-07.84%
2-19.52%
3-04.45%
3-15.40%
3-23.28%
4-01.89%
4-12.30%
4-21.40%
4-30.57%
5-00.64%
5-10.78%
5-20.48%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.41%
1-111.19%
2-25.78%
3-31.33%
4-40.17%
Mainz 05
0-16.57%
0-23.99%
1-26.79%
0-31.62%
1-32.75%
2-32.34%
0-40.49%
1-40.84%
2-40.71%
3-40.40%
0-50.12%
1-50.20%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
25.91%
14.57%
4.10%
0.77%
0.11%
1
20.42%
11.49%
3.23%
0.61%
0.09%
2
8.05%
4.53%
1.27%
0.24%
0.03%
3
2.11%
1.19%
0.33%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.42%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-020.42%
2-08.05%
2-14.53%
3-02.11%
3-11.19%
3-20.33%
4-00.42%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-025.91%
1-111.49%
2-21.27%
Mainz 05
0-114.57%
0-24.10%
1-23.23%
0-30.77%
1-30.61%
2-30.24%
0-40.11%