St. Pauli at Holstein Kiel

Updated

FC St. Pauli

41.0%24.9%34.0%
St. Pauli WinDrawHolstein Kiel Win
1.50Projected Goals 1.35
2Final Score 1

Holstein Kiel

Last 5 Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+135
L 2-3 at Bayern Munich+2475
W 0-1 vs Hoffenheim+135
T 1-1 at Wolfsburg+370
L 2-0 vs Dortmund+325
Holstein Kiel
Money Line
T 1-1 at Mainz 05+610
L 3-0 vs Werder Bremen+215
L 1-3 at FC Heidenheim+270
T 2-2 vs VfB Stuttgart+495
W 1-0 at Union Berlin+495

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+140-+115+117+110+118+118+125.5
Holstein Kiel+185-+235+247+250+245+250+256.8
Draw+250-+245+250+242+250+250+262.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+145-+115-+120+125+125+125.5
Holstein Kiel+200-+231-+185+220+231+256.8
Draw+225-+250-+210+240+250+262.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +130 to +121
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +252 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +125 to +115
No Steam Moves On Holstein Kiel ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118-o2½-115o2½-117o2½-113o2½-117o2½-113o2½-106
Underu2½-102-u2½-105u2½-103u2½-107u2½-103u2½-103u2½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-110o2½-115-o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½-106
Underu2½-115u2½-110u2½-105-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-105u2½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-123 to o2½-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.77%
Exactly 223.47%
Exactly 415.92%
Exactly 64.32%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.45%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.08%
Exactly 71.76%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 022.22%
Exactly 133.42%
Exactly 225.14%
Exactly 312.60%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 51.43%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 025.95%
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 310.62%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.69%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 310.25%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 049.84%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.08%
Exactly 32.81%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 053.55%
Exactly 133.44%
Exactly 210.44%
Exactly 32.17%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals19.92%
Wins by 3+ goals7.71%
Wins by 4+ goals2.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals15.16%
Wins by 3+ goals5.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal21.01%
Wins by 2 goals12.22%
Wins by 3 goals5.30%
Wins by 4 goals1.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal18.84%
Wins by 2 goals9.83%
Wins by 3 goals3.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.23%5.77%
1.577.78%22.22%
2.554.31%45.69%
3.531.99%68.01%
4.516.07%83.93%
5.56.98%93.02%
6.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.78%22.22%
1.544.35%55.65%
2.519.22%80.78%
3.56.62%93.38%
4.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.05%25.95%
1.539.04%60.96%
2.515.43%84.57%
3.54.81%95.19%
4.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.31%26.69%
1.538.06%61.94%
2.514.77%85.23%
3.54.52%95.48%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
Score012345
0
5.77%
7.78%
5.25%
2.36%
0.80%
0.21%
1
8.67%
11.70%
7.89%
3.55%
1.20%
0.32%
2
6.52%
8.80%
5.93%
2.67%
0.90%
0.24%
3
3.27%
4.41%
2.98%
1.34%
0.45%
0.12%
4
1.23%
1.66%
1.12%
0.50%
0.17%
0.05%
5
0.37%
0.50%
0.34%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
FC St. Pauli
1-08.67%
2-06.52%
2-18.80%
3-03.27%
3-14.41%
3-22.98%
4-01.23%
4-11.66%
4-21.12%
4-30.50%
5-00.37%
5-10.50%
5-20.34%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.77%
1-111.70%
2-25.93%
3-31.34%
4-40.17%
Holstein Kiel
0-17.78%
0-25.25%
1-27.89%
0-32.36%
1-33.55%
2-32.67%
0-40.80%
1-41.20%
2-40.90%
3-40.45%
0-50.21%
1-50.32%
2-50.24%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
Score01234
0
26.69%
16.67%
5.20%
1.08%
0.17%
1
18.59%
11.61%
3.62%
0.75%
0.12%
2
6.47%
4.04%
1.26%
0.26%
0.04%
3
1.50%
0.94%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.26%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
FC St. Pauli
1-018.59%
2-06.47%
2-14.04%
3-01.50%
3-10.94%
3-20.29%
4-00.26%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-026.69%
1-111.61%
2-21.26%
Holstein Kiel
0-116.67%
0-25.20%
1-23.62%
0-31.08%
1-30.75%
2-30.26%
0-40.17%
1-40.12%