Freiburg at St. Pauli

Updated

Freiburg

37.2%25.5%37.3%
Freiburg WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.38
2Final Score 1

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Union Berlin-110
T 3-3 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+200
L 0-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt+215
W 1-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+110
L 0-3 at Hoffenheim+360
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 0-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach+315
T 0-0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+160
W 1-0 at Hoffenheim+500
W 1-2 vs Werder Bremen+175
L 0-4 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+550

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+176+194+185+192+192+192+194+202.2
St. Pauli+180+174+170+172+172+172+174+181.5
Draw+195+205+200+208+208+208+208+218.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+180-+182--+180+182+202.2
St. Pauli+180-+174--+175+175+181.5
Draw+200-+200--+205+205+218.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +190 to +183
St. Pauli ML moved from +180 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML
No Steam Moves On St. Pauli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2-125o2-130o2¼+108o2¼+108o2¼+108o2-125o2¼+117
Underu2¼-120u2+113u2+110u2¼-128u2¼-128u2¼-128u2¼-128u2¼-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-130o2-130--o2-130o2-130o2¼+117
Underu2+120u2+110u2+110--u2+110u2+110u2¼-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.0%
 
No44.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.35%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 415.28%
Exactly 63.87%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.50%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 58.43%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 025.24%
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 310.98%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 025.15%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 311.02%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.90%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 39.67%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 052.87%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 210.74%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 052.78%
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 210.78%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals16.98%
Wins by 3+ goals6.12%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals17.09%
Wins by 3+ goals6.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal20.13%
Wins by 2 goals10.85%
Wins by 3 goals4.35%
Wins by 4 goals1.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal20.18%
Wins by 2 goals10.91%
Wins by 3 goals4.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.65%6.35%
1.576.15%23.85%
2.552.03%47.97%
3.529.85%70.15%
4.514.57%85.43%
5.56.14%93.86%
6.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.76%25.24%
1.540.01%59.99%
2.516.09%83.91%
3.55.11%94.89%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.85%25.15%
1.540.14%59.86%
2.516.18%83.82%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.10%27.90%
1.536.48%63.52%
2.513.75%86.25%
3.54.08%95.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
6.35%
8.76%
6.05%
2.78%
0.96%
0.27%
1
8.74%
12.06%
8.33%
3.83%
1.32%
0.37%
2
6.02%
8.30%
5.73%
2.64%
0.91%
0.25%
3
2.76%
3.81%
2.63%
1.21%
0.42%
0.12%
4
0.95%
1.31%
0.91%
0.42%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.26%
0.36%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-08.74%
2-06.02%
2-18.30%
3-02.76%
3-13.81%
3-22.63%
4-00.95%
4-11.31%
4-20.91%
4-30.42%
5-00.26%
5-10.36%
5-20.25%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.35%
1-112.06%
2-25.73%
3-31.21%
4-40.14%
FC St. Pauli
0-18.76%
0-26.05%
1-28.33%
0-32.78%
1-33.83%
2-32.64%
0-40.96%
1-41.32%
2-40.91%
3-40.42%
0-50.27%
1-50.37%
2-50.25%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Score01234
0
27.90%
17.83%
5.70%
1.21%
0.19%
1
17.78%
11.37%
3.63%
0.77%
0.12%
2
5.67%
3.62%
1.16%
0.25%
0.04%
3
1.20%
0.77%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.19%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-017.78%
2-05.67%
2-13.62%
3-01.20%
3-10.77%
3-20.25%
4-00.19%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-027.90%
1-111.37%
2-21.16%
FC St. Pauli
0-117.83%
0-25.70%
1-23.63%
0-31.21%
1-30.77%
2-30.25%
0-40.19%
1-40.12%