St. Pauli at Hoffenheim

Updated

FC St. Pauli

15.5%18.1%66.3%
WinDrawHoffenheim Win
1.07Projected Goals 2.38
1Final Score 0

Hoffenheim

Last 5 Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Werder Bremen+175
L 0-4 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+550
W 1-2 vs VfB Stuttgart+365
L 1-2 at Augsburg+340
T 1-1 vs RB Leipzig+390
Hoffenheim
Money Line
T 2-2 at FC Koln-105
W 0-3 vs Freiburg-138
L 1-5 at Bayern Munich+950
W 1-3 vs Union Berlin-119
W 2-0 at Werder Bremen-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+425+580+550+535+535+535+580+558.2
Hoffenheim-184-192-197-182-182-182-182-165.0
Draw+365+330+325+328+328+328+330+343.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+490-+500--+500+500+558.2
Hoffenheim-200--191---190-190-165.0
Draw+370-+335--+340+340+343.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 30.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +560 to +540
Hoffenheim ML moved from -185 to -192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +575 to +500
Hoffenheim ML moved from -205 to -215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-109o2½-108o2½-116o2½-116o2½-116o2½-108o2½-105
Underu2¾-115u2½-102u2½-112u2½-104u2½-104u2½-104u2½-102u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-125o2½-115--o2½-115o2½-115o2½-105
Underu2½+115u2½+105u2½-105--u2½-105u2½+105u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.6%
 
No40.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.19%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 418.73%
Exactly 67.41%
Exactly 81.57%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.98%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 512.91%
Exactly 73.65%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 034.31%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.63%
Exactly 37.00%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 09.29%
Exactly 122.07%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 320.78%
Exactly 412.34%
Exactly 55.87%
Exactly 62.32%
Exactly 70.79%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.28%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 45.48%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 313.73%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 060.94%
Exactly 130.18%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 033.28%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals5.41%
Wins by 3+ goals1.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals44.00%
Wins by 3+ goals24.50%
Wins by 4+ goals11.51%
Wins by 5+ goals4.61%
Wins by 6+ goals1.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal10.02%
Wins by 2 goals3.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal22.26%
Wins by 2 goals19.50%
Wins by 3 goals12.99%
Wins by 4 goals6.90%
Wins by 5 goals3.04%
Wins by 6 goals1.13%
Wins by 7 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.81%3.19%
1.585.83%14.17%
2.566.91%33.09%
3.545.17%54.83%
4.526.44%73.56%
5.513.53%86.47%
6.56.12%93.88%
7.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.69%34.31%
1.528.99%71.01%
2.59.36%90.64%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.71%9.29%
1.568.64%31.36%
2.542.41%57.59%
3.521.64%78.36%
4.59.29%90.71%
5.53.43%96.57%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.72%20.28%
1.547.36%52.64%
2.521.55%78.45%
3.57.82%92.18%
4.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
Score0123456
0
3.19%
7.57%
9.00%
7.13%
4.23%
2.01%
0.80%
1
3.41%
8.10%
9.63%
7.63%
4.53%
2.15%
0.85%
2
1.82%
4.33%
5.15%
4.08%
2.42%
1.15%
0.46%
3
0.65%
1.54%
1.84%
1.45%
0.86%
0.41%
0.16%
4
0.17%
0.41%
0.49%
0.39%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
FC St. Pauli
1-03.41%
2-01.82%
2-14.33%
3-00.65%
3-11.54%
3-21.84%
4-00.17%
4-10.41%
4-20.49%
4-30.39%
Draw
0-03.19%
1-18.10%
2-25.15%
3-31.45%
4-40.23%
Hoffenheim
0-17.57%
0-29.00%
1-29.63%
0-37.13%
1-37.63%
2-34.08%
0-44.23%
1-44.53%
2-42.42%
3-40.86%
0-52.01%
1-52.15%
2-51.15%
3-50.41%
4-50.11%
0-60.80%
1-60.85%
2-60.46%
3-60.16%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
Score012345
0
20.28%
22.31%
12.28%
4.50%
1.24%
0.27%
1
10.04%
11.05%
6.08%
2.23%
0.61%
0.13%
2
2.49%
2.74%
1.51%
0.55%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.41%
0.45%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
FC St. Pauli
1-010.04%
2-02.49%
2-12.74%
3-00.41%
3-10.45%
3-20.25%
Draw
0-020.28%
1-111.05%
2-21.51%
Hoffenheim
0-122.31%
0-212.28%
1-26.08%
0-34.50%
1-32.23%
2-30.55%
0-41.24%
1-40.61%
2-40.15%
0-50.27%
1-50.13%