Hoffenheim at Werder Bremen

Updated

Hoffenheim

33.1%25.0%41.9%
Hoffenheim WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.51
2Final Score 1

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Hertha BSC-105
L 1-2 at Freiburg+335
L 0-1 at Mainz 05+305
L 1-0 vs Dortmund+356
L 0-1 at Augsburg+155
Werder Bremen
Money Line
T 2-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach+300
L 3-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+250
L 1-2 at Augsburg+217
W 0-3 vs VfL Bochum-110
L 0-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt+470

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+195+225+215+230+234+230+234+241.5
Werder Bremen+130+116+115+115+121+115+121+122.5
Draw+265+270+265+275+272+275+275+288.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+190-+215-+175+215+215+241.5
Werder Bremen+135-+113-+110+120+120+122.5
Draw+260-+269-+245+260+269+288.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 20.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +206 to +200
Werder Bremen ML moved from +130 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Hoffenheim ML
Werder Bremen ML moved from +124 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o3+105o3+102o3-103o2½-147o3-103o2½-147o3+106
Underu2¾-112u3-123u3-122u3-117u2½+132u3-117u3-117u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-140o3-105-o2½-145o2½-150o2½-140o3+106
Underu2½+125u2½+120u3-115-u2½+115u2½+130u3-115u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%
 
No42.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.89%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 415.79%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.67%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.94%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 026.74%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 310.23%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 022.02%
Exactly 133.32%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 312.72%
Exactly 44.81%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.94%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.13%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 054.29%
Exactly 133.16%
Exactly 210.13%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 049.62%
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 212.18%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals14.52%
Wins by 3+ goals5.02%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals20.48%
Wins by 3+ goals7.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal18.57%
Wins by 2 goals9.50%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals12.51%
Wins by 3 goals5.47%
Wins by 4 goals1.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.11%5.89%
1.577.44%22.56%
2.553.83%46.17%
3.531.53%68.47%
4.515.74%84.26%
5.56.80%93.20%
6.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.26%26.74%
1.537.99%62.01%
2.514.73%85.27%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.98%22.02%
1.544.66%55.34%
2.519.45%80.55%
3.56.73%93.27%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.06%26.94%
1.537.72%62.28%
2.514.55%85.45%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
5.89%
8.91%
6.74%
3.40%
1.29%
0.39%
1
7.76%
11.75%
8.89%
4.49%
1.70%
0.51%
2
5.12%
7.75%
5.87%
2.96%
1.12%
0.34%
3
2.25%
3.41%
2.58%
1.30%
0.49%
0.15%
4
0.74%
1.12%
0.85%
0.43%
0.16%
0.05%
5
0.20%
0.30%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Hoffenheim
1-07.76%
2-05.12%
2-17.75%
3-02.25%
3-13.41%
3-22.58%
4-00.74%
4-11.12%
4-20.85%
4-30.43%
5-00.20%
5-10.30%
5-20.22%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-05.89%
1-111.75%
2-25.87%
3-31.30%
4-40.16%
Werder Bremen
0-18.91%
0-26.74%
1-28.89%
0-33.40%
1-34.49%
2-32.96%
0-41.29%
1-41.70%
2-41.12%
3-40.49%
0-50.39%
1-50.51%
2-50.34%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
26.94%
18.88%
6.61%
1.54%
0.27%
1
16.46%
11.53%
4.04%
0.94%
0.17%
2
5.03%
3.52%
1.23%
0.29%
0.05%
3
1.02%
0.72%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.16%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-016.46%
2-05.03%
2-13.52%
3-01.02%
3-10.72%
3-20.25%
4-00.16%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-026.94%
1-111.53%
2-21.23%
Werder Bremen
0-118.88%
0-26.61%
1-24.04%
0-31.54%
1-30.94%
2-30.29%
0-40.27%
1-40.17%