Fiorentina at Roma

Updated

Fiorentina

25.4%24.4%50.3%
Fiorentina WinDrawRoma Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.66
0Final Score 2

Roma

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sassuolo-125
T 1-1 vs Monza-130
L 1-2 at Milan+425
W 1-2 vs Salernitana-190
W 2-0 at Sampdoria-120
Roma
Money Line
T 2-2 at Milan+340
W 0-1 vs Bologna-145
T 1-1 vs Torino-120
T 1-1 at Sassuolo+105
L 1-0 vs Lazio+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+260+273+260+272+283+272+283+291.4
Roma+105+114+115+116+118+116+118+122.8
Draw+255+228+230+230+231+230+231+238.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+280---+250+265+265+291.4
Roma+100----115+115+115+122.8
Draw+245---+225+220+225+238.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +287 to +274
Roma ML moved from +108 to +102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +280 to +270
No Steam Moves On Roma ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2-139o2¼-105o2¼-105o2½+132o2¼-105o2-139o2½+138
Underu2½-122u2+117u2¼-115u2¼-115u2½-147u2¼-115u2½-147u2½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+120--o2½+100o2½+130o2½+130o2½+138
Underu2½-125u2½-140--u2½-130u2½-150u2½-130u2½-138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-124 to u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.29%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 415.35%
Exactly 63.92%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.40%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.49%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 033.08%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 019.01%
Exactly 131.56%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 314.50%
Exactly 46.02%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.78%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.73%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 059.91%
Exactly 130.69%
Exactly 27.86%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 046.36%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 213.70%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals9.63%
Wins by 3+ goals2.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals26.80%
Wins by 3+ goals11.45%
Wins by 4+ goals4.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.16%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Roma
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal15.63%
Wins by 2 goals6.81%
Wins by 3 goals2.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal23.45%
Wins by 2 goals15.35%
Wins by 3 goals7.45%
Wins by 4 goals2.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.89%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.71%6.29%
1.576.32%23.68%
2.552.25%47.75%
3.530.06%69.94%
4.514.72%85.28%
5.56.22%93.78%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.92%33.08%
1.530.33%69.67%
2.510.09%89.91%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.99%19.01%
1.549.43%50.57%
2.523.23%76.77%
3.58.73%91.27%
4.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.22%27.78%
1.536.64%63.36%
2.513.85%86.15%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Roma
Score012345
0
6.29%
10.44%
8.67%
4.80%
1.99%
0.66%
1
6.96%
11.55%
9.59%
5.31%
2.20%
0.73%
2
3.85%
6.39%
5.30%
2.93%
1.22%
0.40%
3
1.42%
2.36%
1.96%
1.08%
0.45%
0.15%
4
0.39%
0.65%
0.54%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%
Fiorentina
1-06.96%
2-03.85%
2-16.39%
3-01.42%
3-12.36%
3-21.96%
4-00.39%
4-10.65%
4-20.54%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-06.29%
1-111.55%
2-25.30%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
Roma
0-110.44%
0-28.67%
1-29.59%
0-34.80%
1-35.31%
2-32.93%
0-41.99%
1-42.20%
2-41.22%
3-40.45%
0-50.66%
1-50.73%
2-50.40%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Roma
Score01234
0
27.78%
21.35%
8.21%
2.10%
0.40%
1
14.23%
10.94%
4.20%
1.08%
0.21%
2
3.64%
2.80%
1.08%
0.28%
0.05%
3
0.62%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Fiorentina
1-014.23%
2-03.64%
2-12.80%
3-00.62%
3-10.48%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-027.78%
1-110.94%
2-21.08%
Roma
0-121.35%
0-28.21%
1-24.20%
0-32.10%
1-31.08%
2-30.28%
0-40.40%
1-40.21%