Napoli at Lecce

Updated

Napoli

66.4%19.0%14.6%
Napoli WinDrawWin
2.20Projected Goals 0.93
2Final Score 1

Lecce

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Milan+100
W 4-0 at Torino-125
W 0-2 vs Atalanta-150
L 1-0 vs Lazio-160
W 2-0 at Empoli-220
Lecce
Money Line
L 0-1 at Empoli+195
L 0-1 at Fiorentina+510
L 2-0 vs Torino+190
L 0-2 at Inter+750
L 1-0 vs Sassuolo+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-148-157-160-150-144-150-144-137.8
Lecce+485+535+500+535+540+535+540+557.4
Draw+267+269+270+260+253+260+270+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-165----200-150-150-137.8
Lecce+545---+475+480+480+557.4
Draw+265---+250+260+260+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -148 to -160
Lecce ML moved from +450 to +440

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -190 to -200
Lecce ML moved from +540 to +485

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+113o2-132o2-125o2-125o2½+151o2-125o2-138o2-114
Underu2½-133u2+112u2+105u2+105u2½-166u2+105u2½-150u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+125--o2½+110o2½+120o2½+125o2-114
Underu2½-135u2½-145--u2½-140u2½-140u2½-140u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-142 to u2+120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.8%
 
No46.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.36%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 417.49%
Exactly 65.72%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.67%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.96%
Exactly 72.56%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 011.03%
Exactly 124.31%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 319.70%
Exactly 410.86%
Exactly 54.79%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 70.55%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 039.58%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 217.00%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.46%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 311.92%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 036.03%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 065.10%
Exactly 127.94%
Exactly 26.00%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals42.93%
Wins by 3+ goals22.98%
Wins by 4+ goals10.29%
Wins by 5+ goals3.90%
Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals4.67%
Wins by 3+ goals1.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Lecce
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.44%
Wins by 2 goals19.95%
Wins by 3 goals12.69%
Wins by 4 goals6.38%
Wins by 5 goals2.64%
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal9.85%
Wins by 2 goals3.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.64%4.36%
1.581.97%18.03%
2.560.56%39.44%
3.538.22%61.78%
4.520.73%79.27%
5.59.78%90.22%
6.54.06%95.94%
7.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.97%11.03%
1.564.66%35.34%
2.537.85%62.15%
3.518.16%81.84%
4.57.30%92.70%
5.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.42%39.58%
1.523.74%76.26%
2.56.74%93.26%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.54%23.46%
1.542.53%57.47%
2.517.87%82.13%
3.55.95%94.05%
4.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Lecce
Score01234
0
4.36%
4.05%
1.88%
0.58%
0.13%
1
9.62%
8.92%
4.13%
1.28%
0.30%
2
10.61%
9.83%
4.56%
1.41%
0.33%
3
7.80%
7.23%
3.35%
1.03%
0.24%
4
4.30%
3.98%
1.85%
0.57%
0.13%
5
1.89%
1.76%
0.81%
0.25%
0.06%
Napoli
1-09.62%
2-010.61%
2-19.83%
3-07.80%
3-17.23%
3-23.35%
4-04.30%
4-13.98%
4-21.85%
4-30.57%
5-01.89%
5-11.76%
5-20.81%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-04.36%
1-18.92%
2-24.56%
3-31.03%
4-40.13%
Lecce
0-14.05%
0-21.88%
1-24.13%
0-30.58%
1-31.28%
2-31.41%
0-40.13%
1-40.30%
2-40.33%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Lecce
Score0123
0
23.46%
10.07%
2.16%
0.31%
1
23.95%
10.28%
2.21%
0.32%
2
12.22%
5.25%
1.13%
0.16%
3
4.16%
1.78%
0.38%
0.05%
4
1.06%
0.46%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Napoli
1-023.95%
2-012.22%
2-15.25%
3-04.16%
3-11.78%
3-20.38%
4-01.06%
4-10.46%
5-00.22%
Draw
0-023.46%
1-110.28%
2-21.13%
Lecce
0-110.07%
0-22.16%
1-22.21%
0-30.31%
1-30.32%
2-30.16%