Fiorentina at Roma

Updated

Fiorentina

18.1%21.7%60.2%
WinDrawRoma Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.93
0Final Score 4

Roma

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sassuolo-105
T 1-1 at Lecce+115
W 0-1 vs Lazio+145
W 1-0 at Hellas Verona+105
T 1-1 vs Inter+425
Roma
Money Line
W 2-0 at Bologna+125
T 1-1 vs Atalanta+150
W 0-3 vs Pisa-295
L 2-5 at Inter+515
W 0-1 vs Lecce-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+403+580+525+550+550+550+580+572.6
Roma-148-189-188-180-180-180-180-164.0
Draw+318+300+305+320+320+320+320+334.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+410-+505--+525+525+572.6
Roma-160--185---185-185-164.0
Draw+320-+320--+315+320+334.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 20.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 30.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +580 to +560
Roma ML moved from -179 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 10.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +440 to +415
Roma ML moved from -176 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-114o2½-114o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-114o2½-109
Underu2½-106u2½+103u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+103u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-115--o2½-115o2½-115o2½-109
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-105--u2½-105u2½-105u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.55%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 416.16%
Exactly 64.50%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.05%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.34%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 038.41%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.59%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 014.46%
Exactly 127.96%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.43%
Exactly 48.43%
Exactly 53.26%
Exactly 61.05%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.23%
Exactly 223.49%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 310.48%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 064.21%
Exactly 128.45%
Exactly 26.30%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 040.85%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.37%
Exactly 34.89%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals6.08%
Wins by 3+ goals1.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals35.84%
Wins by 3+ goals17.37%
Wins by 4+ goals6.94%
Wins by 5+ goals2.31%
Wins by 6+ goals0.62%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Roma
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal12.00%
Wins by 2 goals4.52%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal24.26%
Wins by 2 goals18.47%
Wins by 3 goals10.43%
Wins by 4 goals4.63%
Wins by 5 goals1.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.45%5.55%
1.578.39%21.61%
2.555.19%44.81%
3.532.83%67.17%
4.516.67%83.33%
5.57.33%92.67%
6.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.59%38.41%
1.524.84%75.16%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.54%14.46%
1.557.58%42.42%
2.530.54%69.46%
3.513.11%86.89%
4.54.69%95.31%
5.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.77%26.23%
1.538.67%61.33%
2.515.18%84.82%
3.54.70%95.30%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Roma
Score012345
0
5.55%
10.74%
10.38%
6.69%
3.24%
1.25%
1
5.31%
10.28%
9.94%
6.41%
3.10%
1.20%
2
2.54%
4.92%
4.75%
3.06%
1.48%
0.57%
3
0.81%
1.57%
1.52%
0.98%
0.47%
0.18%
4
0.19%
0.38%
0.36%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
Fiorentina
1-05.31%
2-02.54%
2-14.92%
3-00.81%
3-11.57%
3-21.52%
4-00.19%
4-10.38%
4-20.36%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-05.55%
1-110.28%
2-24.75%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Roma
0-110.74%
0-210.38%
1-29.94%
0-36.69%
1-36.41%
2-33.06%
0-43.24%
1-43.10%
2-41.48%
3-40.47%
0-51.25%
1-51.20%
2-50.57%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Roma
Score012345
0
26.23%
23.48%
10.51%
3.14%
0.70%
0.13%
1
11.62%
10.40%
4.66%
1.39%
0.31%
0.06%
2
2.57%
2.30%
1.03%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.38%
0.34%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-011.62%
2-02.57%
2-12.30%
3-00.38%
3-10.34%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-026.23%
1-110.40%
2-21.03%
Roma
0-123.48%
0-210.51%
1-24.66%
0-33.14%
1-31.39%
2-30.31%
0-40.70%
1-40.31%
0-50.13%