Fiorentina at Lecce

Updated

Fiorentina

45.8%25.3%28.9%
Fiorentina WinDrawLecce Win
1.53Projected Goals 1.17
1Final Score 1

Lecce

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Lazio+145
W 1-0 at Hellas Verona+105
T 1-1 vs Inter+425
W 4-1 at Cremonese-110
T 0-0 vs Parma-135
Lecce
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bologna+410
L 3-0 vs Atalanta+450
L 0-1 at Roma+725
L 1-2 at Napoli+825
W 1-2 vs Cremonese+121

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+112+114+112+108+108+108+114+115.2
Lecce+260+270+265+285+285+285+285+298.3
Draw+250+225+220+240+240+240+240+251.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+115-+115--+115+115+115.2
Lecce+245-+270--+260+270+298.3
Draw+240-+220--+225+225+251.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Lecce: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +116 to +108
Lecce ML moved from +253 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Lecce: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +125 to +115
Lecce ML moved from +266 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-117o2¼+107o2¼+105o2¼-104o2¼-104o2¼-104o2¼+107o2¼+105
Underu2¼-103u2¼-119u2¼-125u2¼-116u2¼-116u2¼-116u2¼-116u2¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2-140o2-140--o2-140o2-140o2¼+105
Underu2½-140u2+120u2+120--u2+120u2+120u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.69%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 414.92%
Exactly 63.64%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.09%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.07%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 021.48%
Exactly 133.04%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 313.02%
Exactly 45.01%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 031.13%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 38.25%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.58%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 39.36%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 049.06%
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 212.44%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 058.26%
Exactly 131.48%
Exactly 28.50%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals23.02%
Wins by 3+ goals9.18%
Wins by 4+ goals2.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals11.60%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Lecce
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal22.73%
Wins by 2 goals13.84%
Wins by 3 goals6.23%
Wins by 4 goals2.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal17.25%
Wins by 2 goals7.97%
Wins by 3 goals2.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.31%6.69%
1.575.22%24.78%
2.550.76%49.24%
3.528.70%71.30%
4.513.78%86.22%
5.55.71%94.29%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.52%21.48%
1.545.48%54.52%
2.520.07%79.93%
3.57.05%92.95%
4.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.87%31.13%
1.532.54%67.46%
2.511.34%88.66%
3.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.42%28.58%
1.535.62%64.38%
2.513.21%86.79%
3.53.85%96.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Lecce
Score012345
0
6.69%
7.80%
4.55%
1.77%
0.52%
0.12%
1
10.28%
12.00%
7.00%
2.72%
0.79%
0.19%
2
7.91%
9.23%
5.39%
2.10%
0.61%
0.14%
3
4.05%
4.73%
2.76%
1.07%
0.31%
0.07%
4
1.56%
1.82%
1.06%
0.41%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.48%
0.56%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Fiorentina
1-010.28%
2-07.91%
2-19.23%
3-04.05%
3-14.73%
3-22.76%
4-01.56%
4-11.82%
4-21.06%
4-30.41%
5-00.48%
5-10.56%
5-20.33%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.69%
1-112.00%
2-25.39%
3-31.07%
4-40.12%
Lecce
0-17.80%
0-24.55%
1-27.00%
0-31.77%
1-32.72%
2-32.10%
0-40.52%
1-40.79%
2-40.61%
3-40.31%
0-50.12%
1-50.19%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Lecce
Score01234
0
28.58%
15.44%
4.17%
0.75%
0.10%
1
20.35%
11.00%
2.97%
0.54%
0.07%
2
7.25%
3.92%
1.06%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.72%
0.93%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.31%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-020.35%
2-07.25%
2-13.92%
3-01.72%
3-10.93%
3-20.25%
4-00.31%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-028.58%
1-111.00%
2-21.06%
Lecce
0-115.44%
0-24.17%
1-22.97%
0-30.75%
1-30.54%
2-30.19%
0-40.10%