Atalanta at Napoli

Updated

Atalanta

30.7%23.4%45.9%
Atalanta WinDrawNapoli Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.77
3Final Score 2

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Venezia-400
W 1-0 at Juventus+250
W 2-5 vs Spezia-440
W 2-1 at Cagliari-200
T 2-2 vs Lazio+100
Napoli
Money Line
T 2-2 at Sassuolo-120
W 0-4 vs Lazio-130
L 2-3 at Inter+235
T 1-1 vs Hellas Verona-260
W 1-0 at Salernitana-320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+265+155+160-+158+160+160+165.5
Napoli-108+175+170-+171+170+175+192.2
Draw+275+235+255-+229+255+255+255.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+165---+165+155+165+165.5
Napoli+130---+130+170+170+192.2
Draw+220---+220+245+245+255.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +165 to +155
Napoli ML moved from +180 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +175 to +155
No Steam Moves On Napoli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o2¾-118o2¾-115o3+112-o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-105
Underu3+102u2¾-102u2¾-105u3-127-u2¾-105u3-127u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-140--o3+110o2½-125o2½-125o2¾-105
Underu3-125u2½+120--u3-140u2½+105u3-140u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.5%
 
No42.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.22%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 416.53%
Exactly 64.80%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.41%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.76%
Exactly 72.03%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 030.66%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.42%
Exactly 38.44%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 017.02%
Exactly 130.14%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.75%
Exactly 46.97%
Exactly 52.47%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.49%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 43.71%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 310.85%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 057.85%
Exactly 131.66%
Exactly 28.66%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 044.05%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.80%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals10.11%
Wins by 3+ goals3.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals28.17%
Wins by 3+ goals12.56%
Wins by 4+ goals4.61%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Napoli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal15.32%
Wins by 2 goals6.96%
Wins by 3 goals2.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal22.94%
Wins by 2 goals15.61%
Wins by 3 goals7.95%
Wins by 4 goals3.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.78%5.22%
1.579.37%20.63%
2.556.61%43.39%
3.534.22%65.78%
4.517.68%82.32%
5.57.92%92.08%
6.53.12%96.88%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.34%30.66%
1.533.09%66.91%
2.511.67%88.33%
3.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.98%17.02%
1.552.83%47.17%
2.526.15%73.85%
3.510.40%89.60%
4.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.51%25.49%
1.539.67%60.33%
2.515.86%84.14%
3.55.01%94.99%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Napoli
Score012345
0
5.22%
9.24%
8.18%
4.83%
2.14%
0.76%
1
6.17%
10.93%
9.67%
5.71%
2.53%
0.89%
2
3.65%
6.46%
5.72%
3.37%
1.49%
0.53%
3
1.44%
2.54%
2.25%
1.33%
0.59%
0.21%
4
0.42%
0.75%
0.67%
0.39%
0.17%
0.06%
5
0.10%
0.18%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Atalanta
1-06.17%
2-03.65%
2-16.46%
3-01.44%
3-12.54%
3-22.25%
4-00.42%
4-10.75%
4-20.67%
4-30.39%
5-00.10%
5-10.18%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-05.22%
1-110.93%
2-25.72%
3-31.33%
4-40.17%
Napoli
0-19.24%
0-28.18%
1-29.67%
0-34.83%
1-35.71%
2-33.37%
0-42.14%
1-42.53%
2-41.49%
3-40.59%
0-50.76%
1-50.89%
2-50.53%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Napoli
Score01234
0
25.49%
20.89%
8.56%
2.34%
0.48%
1
13.95%
11.43%
4.69%
1.28%
0.26%
2
3.82%
3.13%
1.28%
0.35%
0.07%
3
0.70%
0.57%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
Atalanta
1-013.95%
2-03.82%
2-13.13%
3-00.70%
3-10.57%
3-20.23%
Draw
0-025.49%
1-111.43%
2-21.28%
Napoli
0-120.89%
0-28.56%
1-24.69%
0-32.34%
1-31.28%
2-30.35%
0-40.48%
1-40.26%