Monza at Milan

Updated

Monza

5.8%12.0%82.1%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.63Projected Goals 2.80
0Final Score 2

Milan

Last 5 Games

Monza
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Empoli+410
W 2-1 at Udinese+615
L 4-0 vs Atalanta+1275
L 0-2 at Juventus+1300
L 1-0 vs Napoli+1000
Milan
Money Line
L 1-3 at Roma+223
W 1-3 vs Bologna+130
W 2-1 at Genoa-135
W 2-0 at Venezia-150
L 1-0 vs Atalanta+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+1015-+900+1050+988+1050+1050+1091.0
Milan-469--420-415-444-415-415-350.6
Draw+609-+600+600+580+600+600+624.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+1000-+920-+820+925+925+1091.0
Milan-470--405--530-410-405-350.6
Draw+635-+580-+475+575+580+624.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +875 to +850
Milan ML moved from -400 to -420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +935 to +925
Milan ML moved from -385 to -410

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110-o3½-108o3½-110o3½-102o3½-110o3½-102o3½+100
Underu3½-110-u3½-112u3½-110u3½-118u3½-110u3½-110u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½-120o3½-115-o3½-125o3½-115o3½-115o3½+100
Underu3½-105u3½+100u3½-105-u3½-105u3½-105u3½+100u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.25%
Exactly 219.08%
Exactly 418.67%
Exactly 67.31%
Exactly 81.53%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.13%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 512.79%
Exactly 73.58%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 053.29%
Exactly 133.54%
Exactly 210.56%
Exactly 32.21%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 06.10%
Exactly 117.05%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 415.56%
Exactly 58.70%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 80.57%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.46%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 313.62%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 074.72%
Exactly 121.78%
Exactly 23.17%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 027.38%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Monza
Wins by 2+ goals1.32%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals62.27%
Wins by 3+ goals40.24%
Wins by 4+ goals22.16%
Wins by 5+ goals10.48%
Wins by 6+ goals4.30%
Wins by 7+ goals1.53%
Wins by 8+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Monza
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Monza
Wins by 1 goal4.45%
Wins by 2 goals1.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal19.81%
Wins by 2 goals22.02%
Wins by 3 goals18.09%
Wins by 4 goals11.68%
Wins by 5 goals6.18%
Wins by 6 goals2.77%
Wins by 7 goals1.07%
Wins by 8 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.75%3.25%
1.585.62%14.38%
2.566.54%33.46%
3.544.75%55.25%
4.526.08%73.92%
5.513.29%86.71%
6.55.98%94.02%
7.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.71%53.29%
1.513.17%86.83%
2.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.90%6.10%
1.576.85%23.15%
2.552.99%47.01%
3.530.75%69.25%
4.515.19%84.81%
5.56.49%93.51%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.54%20.46%
1.547.07%52.93%
2.521.32%78.68%
3.57.70%92.30%
4.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Monza
Milan
Score012345
0
3.25%
9.09%
12.71%
11.85%
8.29%
4.64%
1
2.04%
5.72%
8.00%
7.46%
5.22%
2.92%
2
0.64%
1.80%
2.52%
2.35%
1.64%
0.92%
3
0.14%
0.38%
0.53%
0.49%
0.34%
0.19%
Monza
1-02.04%
2-00.64%
2-11.80%
3-00.14%
3-10.38%
3-20.53%
Draw
0-03.25%
1-15.72%
2-22.52%
3-30.49%
Milan
0-19.09%
0-212.71%
1-28.00%
0-311.85%
1-37.46%
2-32.35%
0-48.29%
1-45.22%
2-41.64%
3-40.34%
0-54.64%
1-52.92%
2-50.92%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Monza
Milan
Score0123456
0
20.46%
26.50%
17.16%
7.41%
2.40%
0.62%
0.13%
1
5.96%
7.72%
5.00%
2.16%
0.70%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.87%
1.13%
0.73%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Monza
1-05.96%
2-00.87%
2-11.13%
Draw
0-020.46%
1-17.72%
2-20.73%
Milan
0-126.50%
0-217.16%
1-25.00%
0-37.41%
1-32.16%
2-30.31%
0-42.40%
1-40.70%
2-40.10%
0-50.62%
1-50.18%
0-60.13%