Napoli at Roma

Updated

Napoli

35.6%26.4%38.0%
Napoli WinDrawRoma Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.34
2Final Score 0

Roma

Last 4 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 1-0 at Milan+155
W 1-3 vs Bologna-205
T 3-3 at Sassuolo+110
W 0-2 vs Benevento-285
Roma
Money Line
L 0-2 at Parma-160
W 0-1 vs Genoa-200
W 2-1 at Fiorentina-105
L 2-1 vs Milan+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+180+174+185+190+181+190+190-
Roma+132+144+150+160+145+160+160-
Draw+267+238+245+230+235+230+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+160---+140+170+170-
Roma+160---+140+160+160-
Draw+255---+235+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +184 to +174
Roma ML moved from +157 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Roma: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
No Steam Moves On Roma ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2¾-111o2½-140o2¾-112-o2¾-112o2½-125-
Underu3-140u2¾-109u2½+115u2¾-108-u2¾-108u3-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-150o2½-125--o2½-140o2½-125o2½-125-
Underu2½+130u2½+105--u2½+110u2½+105u2½+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+115
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.52%
Exactly 225.17%
Exactly 414.05%
Exactly 63.14%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.45%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 57.27%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 028.59%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 39.35%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 026.29%
Exactly 135.12%
Exactly 223.46%
Exactly 310.45%
Exactly 43.49%
Exactly 50.93%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.17%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 056.01%
Exactly 132.47%
Exactly 29.41%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 053.87%
Exactly 133.32%
Exactly 210.31%
Exactly 32.13%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals14.97%
Wins by 3+ goals5.02%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals17.57%
Wins by 3+ goals6.24%
Wins by 4+ goals1.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal19.81%
Wins by 2 goals9.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal21.14%
Wins by 2 goals11.33%
Wins by 3 goals4.47%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.48%7.52%
1.573.03%26.97%
2.547.86%52.14%
3.526.14%73.86%
4.512.09%87.91%
5.54.82%95.18%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.41%28.59%
1.535.61%64.39%
2.513.20%86.80%
3.53.85%96.15%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.71%26.29%
1.538.59%61.41%
2.515.13%84.87%
3.54.68%95.32%
4.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.83%30.17%
1.533.68%66.32%
2.512.01%87.99%
3.53.36%96.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Roma
Score012345
0
7.52%
10.04%
6.71%
2.99%
1.00%
0.27%
1
9.41%
12.57%
8.40%
3.74%
1.25%
0.33%
2
5.89%
7.87%
5.26%
2.34%
0.78%
0.21%
3
2.46%
3.28%
2.19%
0.98%
0.33%
0.09%
4
0.77%
1.03%
0.69%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.19%
0.26%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Napoli
1-09.41%
2-05.89%
2-17.87%
3-02.46%
3-13.28%
3-22.19%
4-00.77%
4-11.03%
4-20.69%
4-30.31%
5-00.19%
5-10.26%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-07.52%
1-112.57%
2-25.26%
3-30.98%
4-40.10%
Roma
0-110.04%
0-26.71%
1-28.40%
0-32.99%
1-33.74%
2-32.34%
0-41.00%
1-41.25%
2-40.78%
3-40.33%
0-50.27%
1-50.33%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Roma
Score01234
0
30.17%
18.66%
5.77%
1.19%
0.18%
1
17.49%
10.82%
3.35%
0.69%
0.11%
2
5.07%
3.14%
0.97%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.98%
0.61%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-017.49%
2-05.07%
2-13.14%
3-00.98%
3-10.61%
3-20.19%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-030.17%
1-110.82%
2-20.97%
Roma
0-118.66%
0-25.77%
1-23.35%
0-31.19%
1-30.69%
2-30.20%
0-40.18%
1-40.11%