Sampdoria at Milan

Updated

Sampdoria

19.4%15.2%65.4%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.52
1Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Sampdoria
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Torino+155
L 1-3 at Bologna+235
T 2-2 vs Cagliari+120
T 1-1 at Genoa+155
L 2-0 vs Atalanta+460
Milan
Money Line
W 3-2 at Fiorentina+105
L 1-0 vs Napoli+190
W 2-0 at Hellas Verona+125
T 1-1 vs Udinese-130
W 2-1 at Roma+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+500-+575+600+586+600+600-
Milan-180--210-210-217-210-210-
Draw+315-+355+365+345+365+365-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+555----+555+555-
Milan-190-----200-200-
Draw+310----+330+330-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +575 to +550
Milan ML moved from -209 to -217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sampdoria ML
Milan ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115-o3-110o3-112-o3-112o3+115-
Underu3-140-u3-110u3-108-u3-108u3-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100--o3-105o3+100-
Underu3-120--u3-125u3-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.82%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 418.09%
Exactly 66.43%
Exactly 81.22%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.47%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 511.81%
Exactly 73.00%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 047.38%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.22%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 08.06%
Exactly 120.30%
Exactly 225.56%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 413.50%
Exactly 56.80%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 71.03%
Exactly 80.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.05%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 44.80%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 312.70%
Exactly 51.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 070.76%
Exactly 124.47%
Exactly 24.23%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 031.17%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals2.33%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals53.77%
Wins by 3+ goals32.05%
Wins by 4+ goals16.10%
Wins by 5+ goals6.89%
Wins by 6+ goals2.51%
Wins by 7+ goals0.75%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Sampdoria
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal6.51%
Wins by 2 goals1.89%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.99%
Wins by 2 goals21.73%
Wins by 3 goals15.94%
Wins by 4 goals9.22%
Wins by 5 goals4.38%
Wins by 6 goals1.76%
Wins by 7 goals0.60%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.18%3.82%
1.583.71%16.29%
2.563.35%36.65%
3.541.19%58.81%
4.523.10%76.90%
5.511.29%88.71%
6.54.87%95.13%
7.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.62%47.38%
1.517.23%82.77%
2.54.01%95.99%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.94%8.06%
1.571.63%28.37%
2.546.08%53.92%
3.524.62%75.38%
4.511.12%88.88%
5.54.32%95.68%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.95%22.05%
1.544.61%55.39%
2.519.41%80.59%
3.56.71%93.29%
4.51.91%98.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sampdoria
Milan
Score012345
0
3.82%
9.62%
12.11%
10.16%
6.40%
3.22%
1
2.85%
7.19%
9.05%
7.59%
4.78%
2.41%
2
1.07%
2.68%
3.38%
2.84%
1.79%
0.90%
3
0.27%
0.67%
0.84%
0.71%
0.44%
0.22%
Sampdoria
1-02.85%
2-01.07%
2-12.68%
3-00.27%
3-10.67%
3-20.84%
Draw
0-03.82%
1-17.19%
2-23.38%
3-30.71%
Milan
0-19.62%
0-212.11%
1-29.05%
0-310.16%
1-37.59%
2-32.84%
0-46.40%
1-44.78%
2-41.79%
3-40.44%
0-53.22%
1-52.41%
2-50.90%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Sampdoria
Milan
Score012345
0
22.05%
25.71%
14.99%
5.82%
1.70%
0.40%
1
7.63%
8.89%
5.18%
2.01%
0.59%
0.14%
2
1.32%
1.54%
0.90%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sampdoria
1-07.63%
2-01.32%
2-11.54%
3-00.15%
3-10.18%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-022.05%
1-18.89%
2-20.90%
Milan
0-125.71%
0-214.99%
1-25.18%
0-35.82%
1-32.01%
2-30.35%
0-41.70%
1-40.59%
2-40.10%
0-50.40%
1-50.14%