Sassuolo at Spezia

Updated

Sassuolo

49.0%23.8%27.2%
Sassuolo WinDrawSpezia Win
1.71Projected Goals 1.22
2Final Score 2

Spezia

Last 5 Games

Sassuolo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Lecce-120
L 0-3 at Juventus+540
L 3-0 vs Milan+625
W 3-1 at Bologna+170
T 1-1 vs Udinese+140
Spezia
Money Line
L 0-3 at Inter+1850
W 0-1 vs Empoli+150
L 3-0 vs Napoli+385
W 3-2 at Udinese+410
L 3-1 vs Atalanta+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+128+123+125+125+123+125+125+138.2
Spezia+185+220+215+215+205+215+220+222.0
Draw+270+258+240+265+253+265+265+271.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+130---+100+120+120+138.2
Spezia+200---+190+215+215+222.0
Draw+250---+250+260+260+271.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 20.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +130 to +120
Spezia ML moved from +212 to +205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 20.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +130 to +120
No Steam Moves On Spezia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+113o2¾-120o2¾-117-o2¾-117o2¾-117o3+122
Underu3-122u3-133u2¾+100u2¾-103-u2¾-103u3-133u3-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+110--o3+100o3+110o3+110o3+122
Underu3-130u3-130--u3-130u3-130u3-130u3-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.7%
 
No42.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.33%
Exactly 222.91%
Exactly 416.41%
Exactly 64.70%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.63%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.62%
Exactly 71.97%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 018.01%
Exactly 130.87%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 315.12%
Exactly 46.48%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 029.60%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 221.93%
Exactly 38.90%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.74%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 310.73%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 045.22%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 214.24%
Exactly 33.77%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 056.92%
Exactly 132.08%
Exactly 29.04%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals26.36%
Wins by 3+ goals11.44%
Wins by 4+ goals4.08%
Wins by 5+ goals1.21%
Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals11.07%
Wins by 3+ goals3.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Sassuolo
Spezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal22.63%
Wins by 2 goals14.92%
Wins by 3 goals7.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal16.07%
Wins by 2 goals7.52%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.67%5.33%
1.579.04%20.96%
2.556.13%43.87%
3.533.74%66.26%
4.517.34%82.66%
5.57.72%92.28%
6.53.02%96.98%
7.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.99%18.01%
1.551.12%48.88%
2.524.66%75.34%
3.59.53%90.47%
4.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.40%29.60%
1.534.36%65.64%
2.512.43%87.57%
3.53.53%96.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.26%25.74%
1.539.33%60.67%
2.515.63%84.37%
3.54.90%95.10%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sassuolo
Spezia
Score012345
0
5.33%
6.49%
3.95%
1.60%
0.49%
0.12%
1
9.14%
11.13%
6.77%
2.75%
0.84%
0.20%
2
7.83%
9.54%
5.80%
2.35%
0.72%
0.17%
3
4.48%
5.45%
3.32%
1.35%
0.41%
0.10%
4
1.92%
2.34%
1.42%
0.58%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.66%
0.80%
0.49%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
Sassuolo
1-09.14%
2-07.83%
2-19.54%
3-04.48%
3-15.45%
3-23.32%
4-01.92%
4-12.34%
4-21.42%
4-30.58%
5-00.66%
5-10.80%
5-20.49%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.33%
1-111.13%
2-25.80%
3-31.35%
4-40.18%
Spezia
0-16.49%
0-23.95%
1-26.77%
0-31.60%
1-32.75%
2-32.35%
0-40.49%
1-40.84%
2-40.72%
3-40.41%
0-50.12%
1-50.20%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Sassuolo
Spezia
Score01234
0
25.74%
14.50%
4.09%
0.77%
0.11%
1
20.43%
11.51%
3.24%
0.61%
0.09%
2
8.11%
4.57%
1.29%
0.24%
0.03%
3
2.14%
1.21%
0.34%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.43%
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sassuolo
1-020.43%
2-08.11%
2-14.57%
3-02.14%
3-11.21%
3-20.34%
4-00.43%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-025.74%
1-111.51%
2-21.29%
Spezia
0-114.50%
0-24.09%
1-23.24%
0-30.77%
1-30.61%
2-30.24%
0-40.11%