Parma at Milan

Updated

Parma

7.4%13.6%79.1%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.67
1Final Score 0

Milan

Last 5 Games

Parma
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Hellas Verona+132
W 1-0 at Bologna+450
L 4-1 vs Juventus+900
L 0-4 at Atalanta+875
T 0-0 vs Genoa+195
Milan
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Como+155
W 2-1 at Pisa-188
W 3-0 at Bologna+155
T 1-1 at Roma+200
W 0-1 vs Lecce-375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Parma+875+950+975+950+950+950+975+988.3
Milan-312-323-345-310-310-310-310-269.6
Draw+425+459+450+440+440+440+459+459.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Parma+925-+855--+950+950+988.3
Milan-330--326---325-325-269.6
Draw+440-+445--+425+445+459.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Parma: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Parma: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Parma ML moved from +998 to +950
Milan ML moved from -313 to -323

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Parma: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Parma: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Parma ML moved from +925 to +850
Milan ML moved from -300 to -325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-101o2¾-101o2¾-102o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾-101o2¾+104
Underu2¾-119u2¾-109u2¾-118u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-109u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-125o2½-127--o2½-125o2½-125o2¾+104
Underu2½+100u2½+105u2½+107--u2½+105u2½+107u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.43%
Exactly 219.51%
Exactly 418.49%
Exactly 67.01%
Exactly 81.42%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.57%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 512.47%
Exactly 73.38%
Exactly 90.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Parma
Exactly 049.59%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.20%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 118.48%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 80.44%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.98%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 45.20%
Exactly 60.42%
 
Exactly 132.76%
Exactly 313.31%
Exactly 51.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Parma
Exactly 072.27%
Exactly 123.47%
Exactly 23.81%
Exactly 30.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 029.04%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Parma
Wins by 2+ goals1.82%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals58.13%
Wins by 3+ goals36.22%
Wins by 4+ goals19.16%
Wins by 5+ goals8.69%
Wins by 6+ goals3.41%
Wins by 7+ goals1.16%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Parma
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Parma
Wins by 1 goal5.47%
Wins by 2 goals1.49%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal20.89%
Wins by 2 goals21.91%
Wins by 3 goals17.06%
Wins by 4 goals10.47%
Wins by 5 goals5.28%
Wins by 6 goals2.25%
Wins by 7 goals0.83%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.57%3.43%
1.585.00%15.00%
2.565.49%34.51%
3.543.56%56.44%
4.525.07%74.93%
5.512.60%87.40%
6.55.59%94.41%
7.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Parma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.41%49.59%
1.515.63%84.37%
2.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.60%25.40%
2.549.92%50.08%
3.527.95%72.05%
4.513.28%86.72%
5.55.44%94.56%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.02%20.98%
1.546.25%53.75%
2.520.67%79.33%
3.57.36%92.64%
4.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Parma
Milan
Score012345
0
3.43%
9.16%
12.24%
10.90%
7.28%
3.89%
1
2.41%
6.43%
8.58%
7.64%
5.10%
2.73%
2
0.84%
2.25%
3.01%
2.68%
1.79%
0.96%
3
0.20%
0.53%
0.70%
0.63%
0.42%
0.22%
Parma
1-02.41%
2-00.84%
2-12.25%
3-00.20%
3-10.53%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-03.43%
1-16.43%
2-23.01%
3-30.63%
Milan
0-19.16%
0-212.24%
1-28.58%
0-310.90%
1-37.64%
2-32.68%
0-47.28%
1-45.10%
2-41.79%
3-40.42%
0-53.89%
1-52.73%
2-50.96%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Parma
Milan
Score0123456
0
20.98%
25.95%
16.05%
6.61%
2.04%
0.51%
0.10%
1
6.81%
8.43%
5.21%
2.15%
0.66%
0.16%
0.03%
2
1.11%
1.37%
0.85%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Parma
1-06.81%
2-01.11%
2-11.37%
3-00.12%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-020.98%
1-18.43%
2-20.85%
Milan
0-125.95%
0-216.05%
1-25.21%
0-36.61%
1-32.15%
2-30.35%
0-42.04%
1-40.66%
2-40.11%
0-50.51%
1-50.16%
0-60.10%