Empoli at Milan

Updated

Empoli

6.5%12.8%80.7%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.72
0Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Empoli
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Cagliari+123
W 3-2 at Sassuolo+239
T 1-1 vs Fiorentina+270
W 3-1 at Salernitana+225
T 0-0 vs Genoa+190
Milan
Money Line
W 1-0 at Lazio+135
T 1-1 vs Atalanta+135
L 2-4 at Monza-126
W 0-1 vs Napoli-105
W 3-2 at Frosinone-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Empoli+641+672+600+730+641+730+730+759.5
Milan-229-228-235-240-225-240-225-214.1
Draw+378+365+370+378+381+378+381+395.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Empoli+600-+730+575+665+725+730+759.5
Milan-235--260-250-320-260-250-214.1
Draw+380-+375+350+325+385+385+395.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Empoli: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Empoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Empoli ML moved from +750 to +730
Milan ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Empoli: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Empoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Empoli ML moved from +675 to +665
Milan ML moved from -310 to -320

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2½-123o2½-115o2½-122o2½-116o2½-122o2½-115o2½-111
Underu3-135u2½+105u2½-105u2½+102u2½+100u2½+102u2½+105u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-130o2½-125o2½-130o2½-130o2½-120o2½-120o2½-111
Underu2½+115u2½+110u2½+105u2½+110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+110u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-135 to o3+110
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.42%
Exactly 219.48%
Exactly 418.50%
Exactly 67.03%
Exactly 81.43%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.54%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 512.49%
Exactly 73.39%
Exactly 90.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Empoli
Exactly 051.91%
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 211.16%
Exactly 32.44%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 06.58%
Exactly 117.91%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 415.03%
Exactly 58.18%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 80.49%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.95%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 45.21%
Exactly 60.42%
 
Exactly 132.74%
Exactly 313.34%
Exactly 51.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Empoli
Exactly 073.82%
Exactly 122.41%
Exactly 23.40%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 028.37%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Empoli
Wins by 2+ goals1.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals60.16%
Wins by 3+ goals38.10%
Wins by 4+ goals20.51%
Wins by 5+ goals9.47%
Wins by 6+ goals3.79%
Wins by 7+ goals1.31%
Wins by 8+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Empoli
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Empoli
Wins by 1 goal4.92%
Wins by 2 goals1.27%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal20.45%
Wins by 2 goals22.06%
Wins by 3 goals17.59%
Wins by 4 goals11.04%
Wins by 5 goals5.68%
Wins by 6 goals2.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.93%
Wins by 8 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.58%3.42%
1.585.05%14.95%
2.565.57%34.43%
3.543.65%56.35%
4.525.14%74.86%
5.512.65%87.35%
6.55.62%94.38%
7.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Empoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.09%51.91%
1.514.05%85.95%
2.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.42%6.58%
1.575.51%24.49%
2.551.15%48.85%
3.529.05%70.95%
4.514.02%85.98%
5.55.84%94.16%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.05%20.95%
1.546.31%53.69%
2.520.72%79.28%
3.57.38%92.62%
4.52.17%97.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Empoli
Milan
Score012345
0
3.42%
9.30%
12.65%
11.47%
7.80%
4.25%
1
2.24%
6.10%
8.29%
7.52%
5.12%
2.78%
2
0.73%
2.00%
2.72%
2.47%
1.68%
0.91%
3
0.16%
0.44%
0.59%
0.54%
0.37%
0.20%
Empoli
1-02.24%
2-00.73%
2-12.00%
3-00.16%
3-10.44%
3-20.59%
Draw
0-03.42%
1-16.10%
2-22.72%
3-30.54%
Milan
0-19.30%
0-212.65%
1-28.29%
0-311.47%
1-37.52%
2-32.47%
0-47.80%
1-45.12%
2-41.68%
3-40.37%
0-54.25%
1-52.78%
2-50.91%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Empoli
Milan
Score0123456
0
20.95%
26.39%
16.62%
6.98%
2.20%
0.55%
0.12%
1
6.36%
8.01%
5.04%
2.12%
0.67%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.96%
1.22%
0.77%
0.32%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Empoli
1-06.36%
2-00.96%
2-11.22%
Draw
0-020.95%
1-18.01%
2-20.77%
Milan
0-126.39%
0-216.62%
1-25.04%
0-36.98%
1-32.12%
2-30.32%
0-42.20%
1-40.67%
2-40.10%
0-50.55%
1-50.17%
0-60.12%