Spezia at Sampdoria

Updated

Spezia

24.4%24.1%51.4%
Spezia WinDrawSampdoria Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.69
1Final Score 1

Sampdoria

Last 5 Games

Spezia
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Lazio+370
T 1-1 at Fiorentina+650
T 1-1 vs Salernitana+135
L 0-1 at Sassuolo+350
W 1-2 vs Inter+700
Sampdoria
Money Line
T 1-1 at Lecce+430
L 3-2 vs Cremonese+135
L 0-3 at Roma+950
W 1-3 vs Hellas Verona+195
L 2-4 at Juventus+1000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+190+169+165+176+178+176+178+185.7
Sampdoria+150+178+170+176+182+176+182+185.7
Draw+230+225+230+222+226+222+230+233.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+185---+150+170+170+185.7
Sampdoria+150---+145+170+170+185.7
Draw+235---+210+225+225+233.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +171 to +165
Sampdoria ML moved from +184 to +178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +170 to +150
No Steam Moves On Sampdoria ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½+108o2¼-115o2¼-117o2½+112o2¼-117o2¼-115o2¼-106
Underu2¼+102u2½-128u2¼-105u2¼-103u2½-127u2¼-103u2½-127u2¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+110--o2½+105o2½+115o2½+115o2¼-106
Underu2½-130u2½-130--u2½-135u2½-135u2½-130u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.23%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 415.41%
Exactly 63.96%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.29%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.56%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 033.72%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.92%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 018.47%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.83%
Exactly 46.26%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.65%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 39.79%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 060.45%
Exactly 130.43%
Exactly 27.66%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 045.74%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 213.99%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals9.14%
Wins by 3+ goals2.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%
Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals27.78%
Wins by 3+ goals12.05%
Wins by 4+ goals4.28%
Wins by 5+ goals1.26%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Spezia
Sampdoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal15.20%
Wins by 2 goals6.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals15.74%
Wins by 3 goals7.77%
Wins by 4 goals3.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.77%6.23%
1.576.48%23.52%
2.552.49%47.51%
3.530.28%69.72%
4.514.86%85.14%
5.56.31%93.69%
6.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.28%33.72%
1.529.62%70.38%
2.59.70%90.30%
3.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.53%18.47%
1.550.34%49.66%
2.523.99%76.01%
3.59.16%90.84%
4.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.35%27.65%
1.536.80%63.20%
2.513.95%86.05%
3.54.17%95.83%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Spezia
Sampdoria
Score012345
0
6.23%
10.52%
8.88%
5.00%
2.11%
0.71%
1
6.77%
11.43%
9.66%
5.44%
2.30%
0.78%
2
3.68%
6.22%
5.25%
2.96%
1.25%
0.42%
3
1.33%
2.25%
1.90%
1.07%
0.45%
0.15%
4
0.36%
0.61%
0.52%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
Spezia
1-06.77%
2-03.68%
2-16.22%
3-01.33%
3-12.25%
3-21.90%
4-00.36%
4-10.61%
4-20.52%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-06.23%
1-111.43%
2-25.25%
3-31.07%
4-40.12%
Sampdoria
0-110.52%
0-28.88%
1-29.66%
0-35.00%
1-35.44%
2-32.96%
0-42.11%
1-42.30%
2-41.25%
3-40.45%
0-50.71%
1-50.78%
2-50.42%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Spezia
Sampdoria
Score01234
0
27.65%
21.63%
8.46%
2.20%
0.43%
1
13.92%
10.89%
4.26%
1.11%
0.22%
2
3.50%
2.74%
1.07%
0.28%
0.05%
3
0.59%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Spezia
1-013.92%
2-03.50%
2-12.74%
3-00.59%
3-10.46%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-027.65%
1-110.89%
2-21.07%
Sampdoria
0-121.63%
0-28.46%
1-24.26%
0-32.20%
1-31.11%
2-30.28%
0-40.43%
1-40.22%