Spezia at Fiorentina

Updated

Spezia

8.5%14.5%77.0%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.60
1Final Score 1

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Spezia
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Salernitana+135
L 0-1 at Sassuolo+350
W 1-2 vs Inter+700
T 0-0 vs Hellas Verona+150
T 2-2 at Udinese+410
Fiorentina
Money Line
W 1-0 at Inter+350
W 0-1 vs Lecce-165
W 2-0 at Cremonese-130
W 1-2 vs Milan+165
W 3-0 at Hellas Verona+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+625+668+625+750+739+750+750+779.2
Fiorentina-245-231-245-230-231-230-230-206.6
Draw+380+373+390+355+381+355+390+370.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+650---+575+650+650+779.2
Fiorentina-235----280-235-235-206.6
Draw+360---+315+360+360+370.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +750 to +739
Fiorentina ML moved from -223 to -229

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Spezia ML
No Steam Moves On Fiorentina ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-135o2¾-108o2½-128o2½-131o2½-128o2½-128o2½-117
Underu2½+102u2½+115u2¾-112u2½+108u2½+116u2½+108u2¾-112u2½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-135--o2½-135o2½-135o2½-135o2½-117
Underu2½+115u2½+115--u2½+105u2½+115u2½+115u2½+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.49%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 418.43%
Exactly 66.92%
Exactly 81.39%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.70%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 512.37%
Exactly 73.32%
Exactly 90.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 047.08%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 213.36%
Exactly 33.35%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 07.40%
Exactly 119.27%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 414.17%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.14%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 313.22%
Exactly 51.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 070.56%
Exactly 124.61%
Exactly 24.29%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 029.96%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals2.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals55.57%
Wins by 3+ goals33.88%
Wins by 4+ goals17.51%
Wins by 5+ goals7.75%
Wins by 6+ goals2.97%
Wins by 7+ goals0.99%
Wins by 8+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Spezia
Fiorentina
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal6.18%
Wins by 2 goals1.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal21.40%
Wins by 2 goals21.69%
Wins by 3 goals16.37%
Wins by 4 goals9.76%
Wins by 5 goals4.78%
Wins by 6 goals1.98%
Wins by 7 goals0.71%
Wins by 8 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.51%3.49%
1.584.81%15.19%
2.565.18%34.82%
3.543.21%56.79%
4.524.78%75.22%
5.512.40%87.60%
6.55.48%94.52%
7.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.92%47.08%
1.517.45%82.55%
2.54.09%95.91%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.60%7.40%
1.573.32%26.68%
2.548.24%51.76%
3.526.47%73.53%
4.512.30%87.70%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.86%21.14%
1.546.01%53.99%
2.520.48%79.52%
3.57.26%92.74%
4.52.12%97.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Spezia
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
3.49%
9.07%
11.81%
10.25%
6.67%
3.47%
1
2.63%
6.84%
8.90%
7.72%
5.02%
2.62%
2
0.99%
2.57%
3.35%
2.91%
1.89%
0.99%
3
0.25%
0.65%
0.84%
0.73%
0.48%
0.25%
Spezia
1-02.63%
2-00.99%
2-12.57%
3-00.25%
3-10.65%
3-20.84%
Draw
0-03.49%
1-16.84%
2-23.35%
3-30.73%
Fiorentina
0-19.07%
0-211.81%
1-28.90%
0-310.25%
1-37.72%
2-32.91%
0-46.67%
1-45.02%
2-41.89%
3-40.48%
0-53.47%
1-52.62%
2-50.99%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Spezia
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
21.14%
25.48%
15.35%
6.17%
1.86%
0.45%
1
7.37%
8.89%
5.35%
2.15%
0.65%
0.16%
2
1.29%
1.55%
0.93%
0.38%
0.11%
0.03%
3
0.15%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Spezia
1-07.37%
2-01.29%
2-11.55%
3-00.15%
3-10.18%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-021.14%
1-18.89%
2-20.93%
Fiorentina
0-125.48%
0-215.35%
1-25.35%
0-36.17%
1-32.15%
2-30.38%
0-41.86%
1-40.65%
2-40.11%
0-50.45%
1-50.16%