Lecce at Fiorentina

Updated

Lecce

12.4%18.4%69.2%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.22
0Final Score 1

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Udinese+190
T 0-0 at Monza+177
T 0-0 vs Bologna+360
W 3-1 at Parma+220
L 4-0 vs Inter+950
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 0-1 at Hellas Verona+100
L 2-0 vs Como+130
L 1-2 at Inter+610
W 0-3 vs Inter
W 1-2 vs Genoa-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+420-+350+377+361+377+377+393.3
Fiorentina-150--115-107-112-107-107+100.1
Draw+285-+235+225+224+225+235+236.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+385-+350-+290+375+375+393.3
Fiorentina-135--115--140-120-115+100.1
Draw+260-+240-+250+240+250+236.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +385 to +377
No Steam Moves On Fiorentina ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +405 to +375
No Steam Moves On Fiorentina ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2-122o2-118o2-122o2-118o2-118o2-107
Underu2½-115-u2+102u2-102u2+100u2-102u2+102u2+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2-125o2-125-o2-140o2-135o2-125o2-107
Underu2½-140u2+105u2+105-u2+110u2+115u2+115u2+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.81%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 416.99%
Exactly 65.21%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.60%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.31%
Exactly 72.26%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 044.12%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.77%
Exactly 34.03%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 010.91%
Exactly 124.17%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 319.77%
Exactly 410.95%
Exactly 54.85%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.55%
Exactly 224.21%
Exactly 43.98%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 311.34%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 068.46%
Exactly 125.94%
Exactly 24.91%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 035.85%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.86%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals3.65%
Wins by 3+ goals0.81%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals45.39%
Wins by 3+ goals24.62%
Wins by 4+ goals11.14%
Wins by 5+ goals4.27%
Wins by 6+ goals1.39%
Wins by 7+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Fiorentina
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal8.77%
Wins by 2 goals2.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal23.73%
Wins by 2 goals20.78%
Wins by 3 goals13.47%
Wins by 4 goals6.87%
Wins by 5 goals2.88%
Wins by 6 goals1.02%
Wins by 7 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.19%4.81%
1.580.58%19.42%
2.558.43%41.57%
3.536.03%63.97%
4.519.04%80.96%
5.58.74%91.26%
6.53.52%96.48%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.88%44.12%
1.519.78%80.22%
2.55.01%94.99%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.09%10.91%
1.564.92%35.08%
2.538.14%61.86%
3.518.37%81.63%
4.57.42%92.58%
5.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.45%24.55%
1.540.98%59.02%
2.516.76%83.24%
3.55.42%94.58%
4.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
4.81%
10.66%
11.81%
8.72%
4.83%
2.14%
1
3.94%
8.73%
9.67%
7.14%
3.95%
1.75%
2
1.61%
3.57%
3.96%
2.92%
1.62%
0.72%
3
0.44%
0.97%
1.08%
0.80%
0.44%
0.20%
Lecce
1-03.94%
2-01.61%
2-13.57%
3-00.44%
3-10.97%
3-21.08%
Draw
0-04.81%
1-18.73%
2-23.96%
3-30.80%
Fiorentina
0-110.66%
0-211.81%
1-29.67%
0-38.72%
1-37.14%
2-32.92%
0-44.83%
1-43.95%
2-41.62%
3-40.44%
0-52.14%
1-51.75%
2-50.72%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
24.55%
25.18%
12.91%
4.42%
1.13%
0.23%
1
9.30%
9.54%
4.89%
1.67%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.76%
1.81%
0.93%
0.32%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.22%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Lecce
1-09.30%
2-01.76%
2-11.81%
3-00.22%
3-10.23%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-024.55%
1-19.54%
2-20.93%
Fiorentina
0-125.18%
0-212.91%
1-24.89%
0-34.42%
1-31.67%
2-30.32%
0-41.13%
1-40.43%
0-50.23%