Milan at Hellas Verona

Updated

Milan

56.4%23.2%20.4%
Milan WinDrawHellas Verona Win
1.78Projected Goals 0.97
3Final Score 1

Hellas Verona

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Empoli-250
W 1-0 at Lazio+135
T 1-1 vs Atalanta+135
L 2-4 at Monza-126
W 0-1 vs Napoli-105
Hellas Verona
Money Line
W 1-0 at Lecce+257
W 0-1 vs Sassuolo+135
L 0-2 at Bologna+550
T 2-2 vs Juventus+470
T 0-0 at Monza+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-119-161-170-170-160-170-160-155.6
Hellas Verona+343+489+475+560+482+560+560+582.6
Draw+270+294+300+295+305+295+305+308.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-140--180--160-165-160-155.6
Hellas Verona+400-+535-+350+490+535+582.6
Draw+275-+295-+245+285+295+308.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -158 to -168
Hellas Verona ML moved from +488 to +482

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -160 to -180
Hellas Verona ML moved from +490 to +465

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-109o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102o2½-105o2½-102o2½+104
Underu2½-104u2½-109u2½-115u2½-115u2½-112u2½-115u2½-109u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-125u2½-115u2½-115u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.37%
Exactly 224.15%
Exactly 415.26%
Exactly 63.86%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.54%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 58.40%
Exactly 71.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 016.82%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.88%
Exactly 47.07%
Exactly 52.52%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Hellas Verona
Exactly 037.86%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.86%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.95%
Exactly 222.71%
Exactly 43.08%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 39.65%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 043.81%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hellas Verona
Exactly 063.78%
Exactly 128.68%
Exactly 26.45%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals31.93%
Wins by 3+ goals14.55%
Wins by 4+ goals5.44%
Wins by 5+ goals1.69%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 2+ goals6.99%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Hellas Verona
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals17.38%
Wins by 3 goals9.11%
Wins by 4 goals3.75%
Wins by 5 goals1.26%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 1 goal13.33%
Wins by 2 goals5.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.63%6.37%
1.576.09%23.91%
2.551.94%48.06%
3.529.77%70.23%
4.514.52%85.48%
5.56.11%93.89%
6.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.18%16.82%
1.553.19%46.81%
2.526.46%73.54%
3.510.59%89.41%
4.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals Hellas Verona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.14%37.86%
1.525.36%74.64%
2.57.51%92.49%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.05%27.95%
1.536.42%63.58%
2.513.71%86.29%
3.54.06%95.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Hellas Verona
Score01234
0
6.37%
6.19%
3.00%
0.97%
0.24%
1
11.35%
11.03%
5.35%
1.73%
0.42%
2
10.12%
9.83%
4.77%
1.54%
0.38%
3
6.01%
5.84%
2.83%
0.92%
0.22%
4
2.68%
2.60%
1.26%
0.41%
0.10%
5
0.95%
0.93%
0.45%
0.15%
0.04%
Milan
1-011.35%
2-010.12%
2-19.83%
3-06.01%
3-15.84%
3-22.83%
4-02.68%
4-12.60%
4-21.26%
4-30.41%
5-00.95%
5-10.93%
5-20.45%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.37%
1-111.03%
2-24.77%
3-30.92%
Hellas Verona
0-16.19%
0-23.00%
1-25.35%
0-30.97%
1-31.73%
2-31.54%
0-40.24%
1-40.42%
2-40.38%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Hellas Verona
Score0123
0
27.95%
12.57%
2.83%
0.42%
1
23.06%
10.37%
2.33%
0.35%
2
9.52%
4.28%
0.96%
0.14%
3
2.62%
1.18%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.54%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
Milan
1-023.06%
2-09.52%
2-14.28%
3-02.62%
3-11.18%
3-20.26%
4-00.54%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-027.95%
1-110.37%
2-20.96%
Hellas Verona
0-112.57%
0-22.83%
1-22.33%
0-30.42%
1-30.35%
2-30.14%