Lecce at Salernitana

Updated

Lecce

26.4%25.7%47.9%
Lecce WinDrawSalernitana Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.52
1Final Score 0

Salernitana

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Hellas Verona+125
T 1-1 at Frosinone+223
L 4-0 vs Inter+610
L 0-2 at Torino+400
L 0-4 at Bologna+499
Salernitana
Money Line
L 2-4 at Cagliari+365
T 1-1 at Udinese+475
L 2-0 vs Monza+234
L 0-4 at Inter+1850
L 3-1 vs Empoli+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+173+123+120+122+120+122+123+129.8
Salernitana+176+251+245+260+261+260+261+272.6
Draw+222+226+230+226+230+226+230+237.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+155-+113+115+135+120+135+129.8
Salernitana+195-+263+210+175+250+263+272.6
Draw+215-+225+200+195+225+225+237.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Salernitana: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +129 to +122
Salernitana ML moved from +202 to +189

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Salernitana: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 50.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +125 to +115
No Steam Moves On Salernitana ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2½+113o2¼-115o2¼-114o2¼-109o2¼-114o2¼-109o2¼-104
Underu2½-128u2½-133u2¼-105u2¼-106u2¼-105u2¼-106u2½-133u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½+120o2½+120o2½+120o2½+115o2½+120o2½+120o2¼-104
Underu2½-140u2½-140u2½-140u2½-140u2½-145u2½-140u2½-140u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.61%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 413.96%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.60%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 57.19%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 034.73%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.42%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 021.91%
Exactly 133.27%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 312.78%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.34%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.58%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 061.28%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 049.51%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 212.23%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals9.85%
Wins by 3+ goals2.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals24.12%
Wins by 3+ goals9.61%
Wins by 4+ goals3.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Salernitana
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal16.49%
Wins by 2 goals7.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal23.67%
Wins by 2 goals14.51%
Wins by 3 goals6.53%
Wins by 4 goals2.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.39%7.61%
1.572.79%27.21%
2.547.55%52.45%
3.525.88%74.12%
4.511.92%88.08%
5.54.73%95.27%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.27%34.73%
1.528.55%71.45%
2.59.12%90.88%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.09%21.91%
1.544.82%55.18%
2.519.57%80.43%
3.56.79%93.21%
4.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.66%30.34%
1.533.47%66.53%
2.511.89%88.11%
3.53.31%96.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Salernitana
Score012345
0
7.61%
11.55%
8.77%
4.44%
1.68%
0.51%
1
8.05%
12.22%
9.27%
4.69%
1.78%
0.54%
2
4.26%
6.46%
4.90%
2.48%
0.94%
0.29%
3
1.50%
2.28%
1.73%
0.88%
0.33%
0.10%
4
0.40%
0.60%
0.46%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Lecce
1-08.05%
2-04.26%
2-16.46%
3-01.50%
3-12.28%
3-21.73%
4-00.40%
4-10.60%
4-20.46%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.61%
1-112.22%
2-24.90%
3-30.88%
Salernitana
0-111.55%
0-28.77%
1-29.27%
0-34.44%
1-34.69%
2-32.48%
0-41.68%
1-41.78%
2-40.94%
3-40.33%
0-50.51%
1-50.54%
2-50.29%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Salernitana
Score01234
0
30.34%
21.33%
7.50%
1.76%
0.31%
1
14.86%
10.44%
3.67%
0.86%
0.15%
2
3.64%
2.56%
0.90%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.59%
0.42%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Lecce
1-014.86%
2-03.64%
2-12.56%
3-00.59%
3-10.42%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.34%
1-110.44%
2-20.90%
Salernitana
0-121.33%
0-27.50%
1-23.67%
0-31.76%
1-30.86%
2-30.21%
0-40.31%
1-40.15%