Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leon
Mazatlan FC 		34.0%
39.5%		26.5%
+140
+195
+140
+195
1.23
1.34		2.57
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+100
UNAM
Necaxa 		28.2%
45.2%		26.6%
+175
+155
+180
+155
1.06
1.42		2.48
o2½-114
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tijuana
Pachuca		13.8%
67.0%		19.2%
+735
-248
+740
-265
2
0		-2.15072-2.17825-1.98079
America
UANL		30.1%
42.5%		27.3%
+266
+120
+255
+120
3
1		-1.32257-1.31453-1.19942
FC Juarez
Guadalajara		12.6%
67.6%		19.8%
+410
-136
+385
-130
2
1		-1.66411-1.61631-2.07187
Leon
Necaxa		24.1%
50.9%		25.0%
+285
-105
+290
-110
1
0		-1.37603-1.41022-1.42093
Atletico
Puebla		27.6%
46.2%		26.2%
+240
+142
+230
+145
2
0		-1.21274-1.19083-1.28808
Cruz Azul
Atletico		54.0%
21.8%		24.2%
-129
+370
-130
+330
2
1		-0.59666-0.61721-0.61559
Toluca
FC Juarez		48.4%
26.4%		25.2%
+105
+262
+100
+270
2
0		-0.74809-0.74007-0.72606
Monterrey
Leon		39.1%
33.0%		27.8%
+122
+225
+125
+220
3
1		-0.82551-0.84884-0.86225
Guadalajara
Santos Laguna		48.4%
26.4%		25.2%
-145
+394
-150
+375
0
1		-1.63199-1.60834-1.33196
Necaxa
UNAM		24.0%
50.8%		25.1%
+315
-104
+290
-105
1
1		-1.32916-1.31602-1.38178
Pachuca
Atlas		44.8%
28.0%		27.2%
+114
+264
-105
+280
3
0		-0.77966-0.72081-0.80370
Tijuana
Mazatlan FC		29.6%
44.9%		25.5%
+138
+219
+180
+170
2
2		-1.25117-1.22401-1.32418
Queretaro
America		6.0%
82.4%		11.6%
+1800
-439
+1400
-465
0
1		-0.22078-0.24449-0.19372
Puebla
UANL		7.1%
78.5%		14.4%
+596
-215
+575
-220
0
7		-0.41589-0.41773-0.24240
America
Necaxa		45.0%
29.1%		26.0%
+150
+193
+140
+235
1
1		-1.29379-1.25365-1.34823
Atlas
Monterrey		11.4%
69.8%		18.8%
+620
-213
+600
-230
1
3		-0.41397-0.41015-0.35949
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.09150 
Sportsbooks42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.11922 
DRatings42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.24909
-0.15760
-0.12987

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.