Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leon
Mazatlan FC 		34.0%
39.5%		26.5%
+140
+200
+130
+210
1.23
1.34		2.57
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+100
UNAM
Necaxa 		28.2%
45.2%		26.6%
+175
+155
+180
+155
1.06
1.42		2.48
o2½-114
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½+100
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UANL
Toluca		23.0%
52.5%		24.5%
+344
-110
+350
-115
4
3		-1.51709-1.54215-1.46885
Leon
Cruz Azul		17.9%
60.2%		21.9%
+650
-205
+550
-220
1
4		-0.41492-0.42528-0.50692
Atletico
Guadalajara		12.2%
68.9%		18.9%
+615
-190
+600
-200
3
4		-0.45008-0.45471-0.37298
Mazatlan FC
Pachuca		12.5%
70.1%		17.4%
+775
-251
+725
-250
0
1		-0.36314-0.38147-0.35513
FC Juarez
Tijuana		23.5%
51.2%		25.3%
+359
+105
+330
+100
1
1		-1.31666-1.27090-1.37480
Santos Laguna
Puebla		28.1%
46.8%		25.0%
+300
+100
+275
-105
0
1		-0.71321-0.72054-0.75856
UNAM
Queretaro		45.7%
28.1%		26.2%
-106
+345
-115
+345
2
0		-0.68914-0.67399-0.78259
Pachuca
UNAM		28.1%
46.0%		25.9%
+137
+220
+130
+215
3
2		-0.89189-0.88242-1.26997
Cruz Azul
Atlas		39.4%
32.1%		28.5%
-122
+500
-120
+330
3
3		-1.38834-1.34542-1.25635
FC Juarez
UANL		10.0%
71.9%		18.2%
+785
-228
+625
-205
0
1		-0.38434-0.44707-0.33039
Guadalajara
Leon		29.1%
43.9%		26.9%
+135
+223
+170
+170
0
1		-1.20557-1.04055-0.82310
Puebla
Mazatlan FC		16.8%
62.9%		20.3%
+249
+133
+245
+125
1
2		-0.87369-0.86140-0.46286
Monterrey
Atletico		49.2%
25.0%		25.8%
+122
+228
+130
+215
1
0		-0.82714-0.87017-0.70922
Queretaro
Necaxa		8.7%
76.0%		15.3%
+390
-128
+380
-135
1
3		-0.59330-0.59278-0.27469
Toluca
Santos Laguna		60.9%
18.7%		20.5%
+108
+253
+110
+375
4
2		-0.76263-0.69051-0.49671
Tijuana
America		10.8%
72.6%		16.5%
+825
-275
+800
-325
1
3		-0.32842-0.31825-0.31970
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.09150 
Sportsbooks42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.11922 
DRatings42-2-0 (0.500)0-1.24909
-0.15760
-0.12987

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.