Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		30.5%
42.7%		26.8%
+140
+206
+150
+203
1.12
1.37		2.49
o2½-107
u2½-110
o2½-115
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		7.0%
80.1%		13.0%
+1050
-409
+915
-415
0.71
2.75		3.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+675
-258
+655
-270
0.66
2.79		3.45
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+298
-110
+295
+100
1.06
1.54		2.60
o3+102
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾+105
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+110
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Necaxa
Pachuca		6.6%
79.9%		13.5%
+662
-210
+635
-225
1
2		-0.40546-0.41110-0.22466
Leon
Toluca		25.8%
49.3%		24.9%
+213
+125
+215
+125
0
0		-1.36367-1.34992-1.39058
Guadalajara
FC Juarez		33.8%
36.7%		29.6%
+179
+199
+170
+185
2
1		-1.05191-1.04120-1.08607
Mazatlan FC
America		6.6%
80.6%		12.8%
+1300
-405
+1250
-440
0
6		-0.24052-0.25252-0.21532
Atletico
UANL		7.9%
77.3%		14.8%
+675
-211
+680
-240
0
0		-1.55065-1.57624-1.91000
UNAM
Tijuana		29.0%
42.9%		28.0%
+290
+102
+270
+100
0
0		-1.31983-1.31759-1.27293
Monterrey
Puebla		42.0%
29.6%		28.3%
-101
+310
-105
+290
2
1		-0.70981-0.71219-0.86636
Santos Laguna
Atlas		33.8%
36.6%		29.6%
+260
+116
+232
+115
2
2		-1.29521-1.32407-1.21621
FC Juarez
Pachuca		8.3%
75.9%		15.9%
+567
-165
+500
-170
1
4		-0.49012-0.51089-0.27615
Atlas
Queretaro		33.7%
35.9%		30.3%
+125
+280
+125
+240
3
3		-1.20451-1.23467-1.19313
Leon
UNAM		29.3%
42.9%		27.8%
+204
+133
+205
+124
1
4		-0.86358-0.84662-0.84583
Toluca
Guadalajara		23.9%
51.3%		24.7%
+328
+101
+295
+100
2
1		-1.46287-1.41186-1.42987
Cruz Azul
Necaxa		35.8%
35.2%		29.1%
+126
+254
+120
+239
0
1		-1.27884-1.26773-1.04512
Puebla
America		8.0%
76.6%		15.3%
+725
-251
+700
-266
2
2		-1.65475-1.65994-1.87529
Atletico
Monterrey		8.7%
75.8%		15.5%
+775
-235
+725
-230
1
3		-0.37260-0.39371-0.27715
UANL
Tijuana		48.1%
25.1%		26.8%
-108
+336
-110
+315
1
1		-1.31905-1.32261-1.31774
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.29174
0.01157
0.01538

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.