Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		30.5%
42.7%		26.8%
+140
+206
+150
+203
1.12
1.37		2.49
o2½-107
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		7.0%
80.1%		13.0%
+1050
-409
+915
-415
0.71
2.75		3.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+675
-258
+655
-270
0.66
2.79		3.45
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+298
-110
+295
+100
1.06
1.54		2.60
o3+102
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾+105
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+110
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santos Laguna
Mazatlan FC		38.9%
34.0%		27.2%
+116
+248
+115
+236
2
1		-0.79193-0.80151-0.94500
Necaxa
Leon		11.1%
71.0%		17.9%
+356
-123
+325
-125
1
2		-0.61626-0.63713-0.34239
Pachuca
UANL		26.3%
46.6%		27.1%
+290
+121
+260
+120
1
4		-0.81132-0.82768-0.76312
UNAM
Santos Laguna		16.0%
62.5%		21.5%
+228
+121
+240
+114
0
3		-0.82025-0.80301-0.46957
Tijuana
FC Juarez		26.8%
45.7%		27.5%
+247
+133
+235
+125
0
3		-0.87062-0.86034-0.78237
America
Toluca		50.6%
24.9%		24.5%
-116
+317
-120
+300
2
2		-1.40328-1.41153-1.40450
Monterrey
Cruz Azul		37.0%
33.7%		29.3%
+182
+169
+175
+190
3
2		-1.06839-1.02761-0.99352
Queretaro
Puebla		17.0%
60.0%		22.9%
+270
+120
+245
+125
0
2		-0.80303-0.84583-0.51048
Guadalajara
Atletico		39.6%
32.5%		27.9%
+150
+219
+155
+180
0
0		-1.22088-1.24925-1.27773
Mazatlan FC
Atlas		26.5%
46.6%		26.8%
+439
-130
+365
-125
1
2		-0.59867-0.63875-0.76301
Puebla
Pachuca		10.5%
71.6%		17.9%
+565
-176
+480
-180
1
5		-0.47247-0.49115-0.33451
Cruz Azul
Tijuana		35.9%
34.7%		29.3%
+188
+158
+200
+145
1
1		-1.26065-1.24817-1.22605
UANL
Santos Laguna		33.0%
38.4%		28.6%
+137
+243
+140
+225
3
0		-0.88293-0.90701-1.10845
FC Juarez
UNAM		23.0%
50.8%		26.2%
+265
+135
+250
+135
1
2		-0.86254-0.87318-0.67631
Guadalajara
Monterrey		17.0%
60.1%		22.9%
+317
+105
+310
-105
1
0		-1.44278-1.45196-1.77449
Queretaro
America		4.9%
83.7%		11.4%
+686
-217
+640
-230
0
0		-1.60495-1.64268-2.17428
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.29174
0.01157
0.01538

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.