Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		30.5%
42.7%		26.8%
+140
+206
+140
+205
1.12
1.37		2.49
o2½-107
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		7.0%
80.1%		13.0%
+1050
-409
+915
-415
0.71
2.75		3.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		6.2%
81.4%		12.3%
+675
-258
+655
-270
0.66
2.79		3.45
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Tijuana
Leon 		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+298
-110
+295
-115
1.06
1.54		2.60
o3+102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		35.8%
36.0%		28.1%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.16
1.17		2.33
o2¾+105
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico
Necaxa		26.8%
47.4%		25.8%
+256
+124
+244
+120
3
2		-1.30508-1.27830-1.31572
Toluca
Pachuca		11.7%
70.7%		17.5%
+409
-160
+450
-180
1
3		-0.51161-0.48078-0.34603
Pachuca
Toluca		43.1%
30.4%		26.4%
+110
+285
+110
+270
5
1		-0.74104-0.76589-0.84067
Pachuca
Monterrey		27.7%
45.0%		27.3%
+312
-106
+300
-108
1
0		-1.43607-1.42504-1.28370
Toluca
America		10.4%
73.2%		16.4%
+950
-349
+915
-330
1
1		-1.91725-1.84459-1.80856
Monterrey
Pachuca		21.1%
54.1%		24.8%
+306
+114
+302
+110
2
5		-0.78187-0.76953-0.61517
America
Toluca		47.2%
27.3%		25.5%
-158
+470
-170
+465
1
2		-1.75048-1.76399-1.29887
UANL
Pachuca		29.1%
42.8%		28.1%
+430
-135
+400
-133
1
2		-0.58028-0.60095-0.84835
Toluca
Santos Laguna		22.6%
54.0%		23.4%
+585
-201
+530
-170
2
1		-1.94568-1.84396-1.48939
Puebla
America		13.3%
66.5%		20.1%
+577
-207
+575
-225
1
5		-0.42190-0.41332-0.40735
Cruz Azul
Monterrey		17.5%
59.4%		23.1%
+385
-126
+396
-131
0
3		-0.60743-0.60547-0.52141
Pachuca
UANL		19.9%
55.7%		24.4%
+237
+140
+240
+134
0
1		-0.90882-0.89326-0.58472
Santos Laguna
Toluca		26.8%
48.3%		25.0%
+192
+149
+180
+150
3
4		-0.93619-0.95062-0.72865
Monterrey
Cruz Azul		32.0%
39.1%		28.8%
+158
+206
+150
+205
0
0		-1.17876-1.18061-1.24441
America
Puebla		39.0%
32.4%		28.6%
-103
+319
-110
+320
6
1		-0.71376-0.69629-0.94202
Guadalajara
Puebla		34.5%
35.8%		29.7%
+190
+172
+175
+175
4
5		-1.00720-1.05535-1.02826
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.29174
0.01157
0.01538

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.