MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
51.5%
48.5%
-131
+121
-130
+134
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+125
+1½-135
5
4
-0.58663-0.56308-0.66390
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
52.9%
47.1%
-132
+123
-133
+125
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
3
1
-0.58118-0.57583-0.63726
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.6%
58.4%
+183
-195
+182
-190
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
6
1
-1.05455-1.04646-0.87594
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers
44.7%
55.3%
+175
-185
+177
-184
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
6
2
-1.02427-1.02770-0.80560
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.8%
59.2%
+177
-187
+174
-184
+1½-110
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+105
5
6
-0.44086-0.44680-0.52499
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
52.8%
47.2%
-133
+127
-133
+125
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
1
-0.57197-0.57583-0.63828
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
53.3%
46.7%
-140
+134
-143
+135
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-125
4
11
-0.86079-0.86833-0.76113
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
47.8%
52.2%
+115
-123
+124
-125
+1½-168
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
4
-0.61153-0.58976-0.65070
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
54.8%
45.2%
+105
-114
+110
-115
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
6
-0.65009-0.63673-0.79407
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.6%
58.4%
+174
-183
+185
-195
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+105
1
5
-0.44751-0.42580-0.53782
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
49.0%
51.0%
-105
-103
-104
-105
-1½+157
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-175
2
6
-0.69788-0.69081-0.67262
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
45.7%
54.3%
+117
-125
+117
-125
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
8
2
-0.79098-0.79098-0.78259
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.8%
60.2%
+149
-159
+151
-160
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
3
-0.50332-0.49921-0.50771
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
46.2%
53.8%
+119
-126
+119
-126
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-185
-1½+173
13
4
-0.79795-0.79795-0.77132
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
52.8%
47.2%
-112
+104
-112
+107
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
5
1
-0.65643-0.64942-0.63930
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
52.4%
47.6%
-145
+139
-145
+140
-1½+125
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
1
-0.53471-0.53299-0.64680
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.