MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 18, 2021

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Houston Astros (95-67)
Boston Red Sox (92-70)
Jose Urquidy
Eduardo Rodriguez
52.7%
47.3%
+102
-111
+106
-110
4.94
4.64
9.58
o9-120
u9+105
o9-115
u9+105
Games for Oct 17, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
41.2%
58.8%
+149
-154
+150
-150
4
5
-0.50826-0.51083-0.53156
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
46.2%
53.8%
-108
+101
-105
+101
10
1
-0.67201-0.67871-0.77180
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.9%
62.1%
+185
-197
+186
-195
1
0
-1.06140-1.06143-0.96916
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
47.0%
53.0%
-102
-107
+102
-106
5
6
-0.68152-0.67401-0.63429
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
49.3%
50.7%
+102
-111
+106
-109
0
3
-0.66322-0.65793-0.67897
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
48.7%
51.3%
+110
-117
+110
-116
6
12
-0.63297-0.63482-0.66836
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.97578 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.97915 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.89167
0.08411
0.08748

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.