MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 5, 2020

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U
Bet
Value
More Details
Minnesota Twins (9-2)
Pittsburgh Pirates (2-9)
Randy Dobnak
Trevor Williams
68.9%
31.1%
-163
+155
-163
+160
5.65
3.71
9.36
o9½+100
u9½-110
o9½+103
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (5-6)
Cleveland Indians (6-6)
Luis Castillo
Mike Clevinger
41.5%
58.5%
+155
-163
+155
-162
3.50
4.39
7.89
o8½-101
u8½-110
o8½+100
u8½-105
Toronto Blue Jays (3-5)
Atlanta Braves (8-4)
Hyun-Jin Ryu
Sean Newcomb
42.4%
57.6%
+116
-126
+115
-120
4.11
4.91
9.03
o9-123
u9+105
o9-115
u9+105
New York Yankees (8-1)
Philadelphia Phillies (1-3)
Jordan Montgomery
Aaron Nola
64.5%
35.5%
-121
+114
+100
+105
4.19
2.67
6.86
o7½+100
u7+105
o7½-110
u7½-110
All Bet Values Active
Chicago Cubs (9-2)
Kansas City Royals (3-9)
Yu Darvish
Kris Bubic
65.2%
34.8%
-190
+182
-192
+185
5.30
3.71
9.01
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Milwaukee Brewers (3-5)
Chicago White Sox (7-4)
Adrian Houser
Dallas Keuchel
42.5%
57.5%
+120
-130
+120
-127
3.86
4.65
8.51
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-103
u8½-110
Baltimore Orioles (5-4)
Miami Marlins (3-1)
Asher Wojciechowski
Undecided
48.4%
51.6%
+103
-110
+100
-105
3.13
3.30
6.43
o7½+110
u7½-125
o7½+100
u7½-120
San Francisco Giants (5-7)
Colorado Rockies (8-2)
Logan Webb
Jon Gray
36.4%
63.6%
+157
-167
+155
-164
5.00
6.43
11.43
o11½-105
u11½-105
o11½-103
u11½-100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (3-6)
Oakland Athletics (7-4)
Kyle Gibson
Sean Manaea
33.9%
66.1%
+154
-162
+155
-163
3.85
5.52
9.37
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (8-4)
San Diego Padres (7-5)
Ross Stripling
Garrett Richards
61.5%
38.5%
-119
+110
-124
+115
5.03
3.83
8.86
o8+100
u8-120
o8+102
u8-115
Houston Astros (6-4)
Arizona Diamondbacks (3-8)
Lance McCullers
Robbie Ray
58.9%
41.1%
-139
+129
-140
+135
5.33
4.40
9.73
o9½+100
u9½-118
o9-115
u9½-115
Los Angeles Angels (4-7)
Seattle Mariners (4-8)
Julio Teheran
Marco Gonzales
54.9%
45.1%
-117
+112
-119
+115
4.91
4.40
9.31
o9-105
u9-105
o9-105
u9-110
Games for Aug 4, 2020

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
Line
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Miami Marlins (3-1)
Baltimore Orioles (5-4)
46.8%
53.2%
+110
-115
+109
-115
7.57
o7-120
u7+100
o7-115
u7+100
6th
BOT
1
0
New York Mets (4-8)
Washington Nationals (4-4)
36.7%
63.3%
+208
-220
+210
-215
8.06
o9+100
u9-115
o8½-120
u9-115
3rd
BOT
1
1
Boston Red Sox (3-8)
Tampa Bay Rays (5-6)
37.6%
62.4%
+139
-147
+138
-145
8.88
o8½-102
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
40.1%
59.9%
+105
-113
+105
-113
4
0
-0.73681-0.73681-0.91272
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
28.6%
71.4%
+195
-205
+195
-210
4
5
-0.40560-0.40164-0.37080
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
51.6%
48.4%
+119
-128
+120
-124
3
2
-0.80383-0.79742-0.66522
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
+168
-178
+165
-176
1
10
-0.45637-0.46178-0.50760
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
44.3%
55.7%
+146
-156
+150
-156
3
5
-0.50843-0.50304-0.58512
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
38.9%
61.1%
+125
-133
+127
-135
1
5
-0.57414-0.56745-0.49218
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.56960 
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.56965 
DRatings119-2 (0.818)0-0.63228
-0.06268
-0.06263

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.