MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 2, 2023

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Dec 1, 2023
Games for Dec 3, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+150
-158
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
5
-0.50269-0.50078-0.62403
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
45.7%
54.3%
+110
-117
+112
-120
+1½-185
-1½+173
+1½-185
-1½+168
5
4
-0.75717-0.76841-0.78355
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
48.0%
52.0%
+125
-132
+125
-131
+1½-168
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
0
-0.82426-0.82241-0.73430
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
57.9%
42.1%
-146
+139
-143
+135
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+115
+1½-123
1
3
-0.88312-0.86833-0.86462
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.1%
43.9%
-136
+127
-130
+127
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
2
4
-0.83644-0.82551-0.82223
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
43.9%
56.1%
+114
-121
+113
-117
+1½-168
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
2
-0.77551-0.76475-0.82383
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
53.4%
46.6%
+109
-118
+110
-117
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
2
10
-0.63337-0.63297-0.76355
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
44.4%
55.6%
+129
-135
+128
-138
+1½-148
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
7
-0.56539-0.56328-0.58778
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
48.0%
52.0%
+122
-129
+123
-126
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+170
9
1
-0.81119-0.80793-0.73326
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.0%
53.0%
+143
-153
+145
-151
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+137
4
2
-0.90402-0.90580-0.75417
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
43.1%
56.9%
+139
-148
+140
-146
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
5
-0.53128-0.53184-0.56345
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+119
-127
+120
-130
+1½-173
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+165
6
2
-0.79986-0.80802-0.83000
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
53.7%
46.3%
-105
-102
-103
-105
+1½-225
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+195
11
8
-0.68605-0.69788-0.62260
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.9%
60.1%
+173
-183
+170
-185
+1½-113
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
11
2
-1.01716-1.01255-0.91787
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
37.3%
62.7%
+184
-194
+180
-195
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-100
3
0
-1.05570-1.04762-0.98602
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
44.1%
55.9%
+131
-139
+132
-140
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+148
4
6
-0.55638-0.55326-0.58087
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.