Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Nationals (68-84) Chicago Cubs (77-75) | Trevor Williams Jameson Taillon | 44.2% 55.8% | +151 -163 +152 -163 | +1½-135 -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+117 | 3.86 4.47 | 8.33 | o9-105 u9-115 o9-105 u9-115 | |||
Pittsburgh Pirates (71-81) Cincinnati Reds (74-79) | Mitch Keller Nick Martinez | 50.1% 49.9% | +110 -118 +115 -123 | +1½-180 -1½+150 +1½-175 -1½+170 | 4.27 4.26 | 8.53 | o9-103 u9-113 o9+100 u9-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Toronto Blue Jays (72-80) Tampa Bay Rays (74-78) | Jose Berrios Tyler Alexander | 48.9% 51.1% | +100 -108 +100 -108 | -1½+155 +1½-185 | 4.00 4.12 | 8.12 | o7½-113 u7½-103 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
Detroit Tigers (80-73) Baltimore Orioles (84-68) | Keider Montero Corbin Burnes | 35.0% 65.0% | +165 -200 +174 -192 | +1½-140 -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+110 | 3.07 4.64 | 7.71 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (91-61) New York Mets (84-68) | Cristopher Sanchez David Peterson | 49.7% 50.3% | -104 -104 -104 -105 | +1½-235 -1½+200 +1½-225 -1½+200 | 3.75 3.78 | 7.53 | o7½+102 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
Atlanta Braves (82-70) Miami Marlins (56-96) | Charlie Morton Valente Bellozo | 57.2% 42.8% | -192 +176 -199 +181 | -1½-118 +1½+105 -1½-115 +1½+102 | 4.36 3.61 | 7.97 | o8½-113 u8½+100 o8½-115 u9-120 | |||
Minnesota Twins (80-72) Boston Red Sox (76-76) | David Festa Richard Fitts | 47.3% 52.7% | -108 +103 -103 -105 | -1½+140 +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 | 3.77 4.05 | 7.82 | o9+100 u9-113 o9+100 u9-115 | |||
Seattle Mariners (77-75) Texas Rangers (73-79) | George Kirby Jacob deGrom | 50.9% 49.1% | +108 -114 +110 -114 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-204 -1½+185 | 3.84 3.74 | 7.58 | o7-118 u7+107 o7-105 u7½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) Milwaukee Brewers (88-64) | Zac Gallen Colin Rea | 49.6% 50.4% | -118 +109 -120 +110 | -1½+135 +1½-152 -1½+145 +1½-155 | 4.05 4.08 | 8.13 | o7½-120 u8-113 o8+100 u8-115 | |||
Los Angeles Angels (62-90) Houston Astros (82-70) | Tyler Anderson Justin Verlander | 36.2% 63.8% | +222 -245 +227 -240 | +1½-105 -1½-115 +1½+102 -1½-115 | 3.13 4.57 | 7.70 | o8-117 u8+102 o8-120 u8+100 | |||
San Francisco Giants (74-78) Kansas City Royals (82-71) | Mason Black Michael Wacha | 43.2% 56.8% | +150 -156 +152 -154 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+131 | 4.12 4.83 | 8.95 | o8½+102 u8½-115 o8½+100 u8+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Cleveland Guardians (88-65) St. Louis Cardinals (77-75) | Ben Lively Kyle Gibson | 49.4% 50.6% | +102 -111 +100 -110 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-211 -1½+185 | 3.79 3.86 | 7.65 | o8-115 u8½-115 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
New York Yankees (89-63) Oakland Athletics (67-86) | Gerrit Cole J.T. Ginn | 59.5% 40.5% | -185 +169 -184 +175 | -1½-110 +1½+100 -1½-110 +1½-105 | 4.68 3.69 | 8.37 | o8-113 u8+100 o8-105 u8-105 | |||
Chicago White Sox (36-117) San Diego Padres (87-66) | Garrett Crochet Joe Musgrove | 30.9% 69.1% | +205 -226 +215 -225 | +1½-107 -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½-103 | 2.56 4.50 | 7.06 | o7-110 u7-103 o7-105 u7+100 | |||
Colorado Rockies (59-94) Los Angeles Dodgers (90-62) | Kyle Freeland Undecided Undecided | 34.3% 65.7% | +195 -240 | +1½-110 -1½-110 | 3.42 5.05 | 8.47 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Phillies Milwaukee Brewers | 48.0% 52.0% | -102 -107 +102 -105 | +1½-205 -1½+190 +1½-210 -1½+190 | 1 2 | -0.68152-0.67627 | -0.65475 | |
Washington Nationals New York Mets | 42.3% 57.7% | +159 -165 +155 -165 | +1½-142 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+132 | 0 10 | -0.48248-0.48848 | -0.55055 | |
Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays | 50.3% 49.7% | -102 -108 +105 -106 | +1½-210 -1½+189 +1½-210 -1½+185 | 2 1 | -0.70719-0.72021 | -0.68796 | |
Houston Astros San Diego Padres | 47.0% 53.0% | -103 -106 +103 -105 | -1½+170 +1½-180 | 0 4 | -0.68615-0.67383 | -0.63578 | |
Minnesota Twins Cleveland Guardians | 45.9% 54.1% | +120 -128 +120 -128 | +1½-190 -1½+175 +1½-185 -1½+173 | 4 5 | -0.59314-0.59314 | -0.61439 | |
Atlanta Braves Cincinnati Reds | 53.5% 46.5% | -131 +121 -127 +126 | -1½+120 +1½-133 -1½+127 +1½-130 | 7 1 | -0.58663-0.58272 | -0.62616 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Miami Marlins | 57.9% 42.1% | -195 +185 -190 +181 | -1½-128 +1½+112 -1½-120 +1½+110 | 8 4 | -0.42580-0.43383 | -0.54685 | |
San Francisco Giants Baltimore Orioles | 43.5% 56.5% | +148 -155 +148 -155 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+134 | 5 3 | -0.91925-0.91925 | -0.83200 | |
Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Angels | 39.6% 60.4% | +128 -137 +130 -132 | +1½-158 -1½+150 +1½-160 -1½+155 | 3 4 | -0.56460-0.56768 | -0.50445 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Colorado Rockies | 52.6% 47.4% | -170 +161 -165 +155 | -1½-113 +1½+102 -1½-112 +1½+100 | 9 4 | -0.47531-0.48848 | -0.64263 | |
Oakland Athletics Chicago Cubs | 38.4% 61.6% | +161 -168 +160 -173 | +1½-137 -1½+127 +1½-135 -1½+122 | 5 3 | -0.96932-0.97366 | -0.95805 | |
Houston Astros San Diego Padres | 44.5% 55.5% | +109 -114 +108 -114 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-205 -1½+190 | 4 3 | -0.74828-0.74575 | -0.80916 | |
New York Yankees Seattle Mariners | 50.5% 49.5% | -104 -103 -105 -103 | -1½+160 +1½-173 -1½+160 +1½-175 | 11 2 | -0.69079-0.68844 | -0.68399 | |
Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Angels | 39.8% 60.2% | +135 -141 +136 -142 | +1½-157 -1½+142 +1½-155 -1½+141 | 0 5 | -0.54657-0.54356 | -0.50746 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Colorado Rockies | 54.7% 45.3% | -132 +123 -129 +125 | -1½+107 +1½-123 -1½+110 +1½-120 | 2 8 | -0.81925-0.81867 | -0.79235 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Texas Rangers | 44.5% 55.5% | +116 -125 +120 -125 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 8 13 | -0.60613-0.59784 | -0.58807 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 12 | 8-4 (0.667) | 0 | -0.59106 | |
Sportsbooks | 12 | 8-4 (0.667) | 0 | -0.59168 | |
DRatings | 12 | 7-5 (0.583) | 0 | -0.60880 | -0.01773 -0.01712 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.