Upcoming Games for October 21, 2020
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best Line | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | Bet Value | More Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays (50-26) Los Angeles Dodgers (53-20) | Blake Snell Tony Gonsolin | 36.2% 63.8% | +122 -131 +125 -130 | 3.71 5.16 | 8.87 | o8-115 u8+100 o8-115 u8+105 | Volatility Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best Line | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers Atlanta Braves | 62.2% 37.8% | -203 +190 -205 +200 | 2 10 | -1.08640-1.10685 | -0.97286 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Houston Astros | 57.7% 42.3% | -131 +123 -130 +125 | 3 4 | -0.81946-0.82187 | -0.86019 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Houston Astros | 58.9% 41.1% | -129 +120 -128 +124 | 3 4 | -0.80829-0.81527 | -0.88812 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Atlanta Braves | 55.9% 44.1% | -185 +175 -195 +181 | 15 3 | -0.44201-0.42684 | -0.58193 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Houston Astros | 58.8% 41.2% | -104 -103 -105 -105 | 5 2 | -0.69075-0.69315 | -0.53028 | |
| Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers | 42.0% 58.0% | +135 -142 +130 -136 | 8 7 | -0.86900-0.84572 | -0.86864 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | Log Loss | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.50707 | |
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.50431 | |
| DRatings | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.49389 | 0.01318 0.01042 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.