MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 21, 2020

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U
Bet
Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (50-26)
Los Angeles Dodgers (53-20)
Blake Snell
Tony Gonsolin
36.2%
63.8%
+122
-131
+125
-130
3.71
5.16
8.87
o8-115
u8+100
o8-115
u8+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Oct 20, 2020

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
62.2%
37.8%
-203
+190
-205
+200
2
10
-1.08640-1.10685-0.97286
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
57.7%
42.3%
-131
+123
-130
+125
3
4
-0.81946-0.82187-0.86019
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
58.9%
41.1%
-129
+120
-128
+124
3
4
-0.80829-0.81527-0.88812
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
55.9%
44.1%
-185
+175
-195
+181
15
3
-0.44201-0.42684-0.58193
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
58.8%
41.2%
-104
-103
-105
-105
5
2
-0.69075-0.69315-0.53028
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.0%
58.0%
+135
-142
+130
-136
8
7
-0.86900-0.84572-0.86864
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.50707 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.50431 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.49389
0.01318
0.01042

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.