MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Mar 23, 2023
Games for Mar 25, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
55.6%
44.4%
-154
+146
-150
+149
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-127
4
2
-0.51309-0.51243-0.58744
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
48.7%
51.3%
-115
+108
-116
+112
-1½+153
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
5
-0.74790-0.76012-0.66715
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
51.7%
48.3%
-113
+105
-112
+105
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-170
5
6
-0.73601-0.73382-0.72722
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
54.0%
46.0%
-112
+105
-110
+103
-1½+162
+1½-180

1
0
-0.65406-0.66291-0.61674
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
53.3%
46.7%
-128
+121
-125
+121
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-138
3
8
-0.80679-0.80100-0.76166
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
55.6%
44.4%
-122
+113
-120
+116
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
2
-0.77499-0.77849-0.81243
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
52.6%
47.4%
-117
+108
-115
+110

+1½-240
-1½+220
1
9
-0.75211-0.75294-0.74756
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
44.6%
55.4%
+140
-149
+146
-147
+1½-168
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+156
4
2
-0.89040-0.90182-0.80838
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
45.1%
54.9%
+133
-139
+136
-142
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
4
-0.55271-0.54356-0.59988
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.5%
61.5%
+167
-180
+170
-179
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-120
-1½+115
5
3
-0.99932-1.00512-0.95555
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.9%
55.1%
+125
-132
+130
-136
+1½-178
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+161
0
3
-0.57725-0.56217-0.59646
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.5%
58.5%
+219
-238
+215
-239
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-118
3
5
-0.36824-0.37176-0.53584
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
39.8%
60.2%
+178
-190
+181
-190
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+112
1
4
-0.43764-0.43383-0.50790
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
37.3%
62.7%
+204
-221
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½-105
7
8
-0.39056-0.38995-0.46614
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
39.3%
60.7%
+181
-195
+185
-195
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
7
6
-1.04994-1.05915-0.93334
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
48.6%
51.4%
+127
-135
+129
-133
+1½-185
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
0
-0.83466-0.83602-0.72148
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.