MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 11, 2021

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Cubs (4-3)
Pittsburgh Pirates (1-6)
Unknown
Unknown
59.2%
40.8%


5.51
4.54
10.05


Boston Red Sox (4-3)
Baltimore Orioles (4-3)
Unknown
Unknown
50.3%
49.7%


5.19
5.16
10.35


Los Angeles Angels (6-2)
Toronto Blue Jays (3-5)
Unknown
Unknown
50.6%
49.4%


5.19
5.13
10.31


Miami Marlins (1-6)
New York Mets (2-2)
Unknown
Unknown
39.8%
60.2%


3.58
4.65
8.23


Detroit Tigers (3-4)
Cleveland Indians (3-3)
Unknown
Unknown
37.6%
62.4%


4.55
5.85
10.39


New York Yankees (3-4)
Tampa Bay Rays (3-4)
Unknown
Unknown
55.9%
44.1%


4.59
3.97
8.56


Seattle Mariners (3-4)
Minnesota Twins (5-2)
Unknown
Unknown
34.8%
65.2%


4.19
5.78
9.97


Kansas City Royals (3-3)
Chicago White Sox (4-4)
Unknown
Unknown
37.3%
62.7%


4.13
5.47
9.60


Milwaukee Brewers (3-4)
St. Louis Cardinals (5-2)
Unknown
Unknown
43.2%
56.8%


4.36
5.07
9.43


San Diego Padres (5-3)
Texas Rangers (3-4)
Unknown
Unknown
60.8%
39.2%


5.86
4.73
10.60


Colorado Rockies (3-5)
San Francisco Giants (4-3)
Unknown
Unknown
44.9%
55.1%


4.11
4.65
8.76


Washington Nationals (1-3)
Los Angeles Dodgers (6-2)
Unknown
Unknown
33.0%
67.0%


3.69
5.44
9.13


Cincinnati Reds (6-1)
Arizona Diamondbacks (2-6)
Unknown
Unknown
56.6%
43.4%


4.82
4.13
8.94


Philadelphia Phillies (5-2)
Atlanta Braves (3-4)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%


4.63
5.00
9.63


Games for Apr 12, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
57.9%
42.1%
-145
+135
-135
+137
6
5
-0.54173-0.55071-0.54654
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
46.1%
53.9%
+164
-178
+165
-172
6
2
-0.98967-0.98422-0.77481
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
57.8%
42.2%
-190
+179
-183
+177
3
0
-0.43635-0.44359-0.54806
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
49.6%
50.4%
+117
-121
+118
-122
1
8
-0.61068-0.60690-0.68536
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
34.6%
65.4%
+170
-182
+175
-180
1
4
-0.45353-0.44830-0.42460
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
46.5%
53.5%
-125
+118
-122
+115
7
1
-0.60195-0.61323-0.76636
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks97-2 (0.778)0-0.58896 
Sportsbooks97-2 (0.778)0-0.58910 
DRatings96-3 (0.667)0-0.61601
-0.02705
-0.02691

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.