MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 19, 2021

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta Braves (88-73)
Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56)
Charlie Morton
Walker Buehler
40.4%
59.6%
+161
-171
+160
-170
3.36
4.37
7.73
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-105
Houston Astros (95-67)
Boston Red Sox (92-70)
Unknown
Unknown
50.0%
50.0%


4.83
4.82
9.65


Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
59.0%
41.0%
-171
+162
-170
+164
4
5
-0.97578-0.97915-0.89167
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
52.9%
47.1%
-102
+108
-103
+100
2
3
-0.71799-0.70051-0.75288
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
49.2%
50.8%
+104
-112
+105
-109
9
5
-0.73126-0.72714-0.71011
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
46.6%
53.4%
+133
-139
+137
-139
4
5
-0.55271-0.54552-0.62745
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
47.5%
52.5%
-104
-105
+100
-104
2
1
-0.69549-0.70289-0.74535
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
43.8%
56.2%
+179
-187
+170
-180
2
7
-0.43830-0.45497-0.57672
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.97578 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.97915 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.89167
0.08411
0.08748

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.