MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 23, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Apr 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies
56.6%
43.4%
-113
+105
-113
+107
-1½+129
+1½-138
-1½+131
+1½-145
10
2
-0.65204-0.64741-0.56920
Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves
38.7%
61.3%
+144
-153
+148
-156
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+122
6
4
-0.90646-0.92078-0.94822
Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres
50.6%
49.4%
+101
-107
+106
-107
+1½-207
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+190
3
6
-0.67421-0.66223-0.70579
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.7%
64.3%
+220
-240
+223
-250
+1½+120
-1½-128
+1½+112
-1½-130
0
10
-0.36652-0.36008-0.44223
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
49.6%
50.4%
+121
-130
+125
-128
+1½-143
-1½+156
+1½-170
-1½+159
5
3
-0.81054-0.81676-0.70076
Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies
65.1%
34.9%
-178
+168
-176
+172
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-122
+1½+105
1
2
-0.99916-1.00594-1.05185
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
47.3%
52.7%
+111
-120
+112
-116
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
3
-0.76589-0.76012-0.74830
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
43.5%
56.5%
+147
-157
+146
-151
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-148
-1½+135
2
0
-0.91985-0.90822-0.83209
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
48.1%
51.9%
+110
-118
+112
-116
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
6
1
-0.75927-0.76012-0.73091
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
46.3%
53.7%
-103
-105
-103
-102

+1½-200
-1½+186
5
0
-0.69788-0.69073-0.76986
Los Angeles Angels
Cincinnati Reds
37.8%
62.2%
+104
-112
+104
-112
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
0
3
-0.65643-0.65643-0.47422
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
33.5%
66.5%
+153
-163
+153
-160
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
2
6
-0.49333-0.49610-0.40849
Chicago White Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
27.7%
72.3%
+243
-275
+245
-270
+1½+117
-1½-133
+1½+120
-1½-130
2
8
-0.33473-0.33448-0.32435
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
44.4%
55.6%
+139
-145
+138
-145
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
6
1
-0.88150-0.87904-0.81285
Houston Astros
Washington Nationals
51.6%
48.4%
-164
+155
-165
+154
-1½-103
+1½-103
-1½+105
+1½-114
0
6
-0.94936-0.94837-0.72513
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
47.8%
52.2%
+118
-127
+119
-125
+1½-178
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+160
4
5
-0.59878-0.59989-0.64993
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.71662 
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.71542 
DRatings166-10 (0.375)0-0.68089
0.03574
0.03453

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.