MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 29, 2022

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Sep 30, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
40.6%
59.4%
+181
-194
+185
-195
+1½-122
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+115
2
5
-0.43134-0.42580-0.52108
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
37.7%
62.3%
+178
-191
+181
-190
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+107
5
0
-1.03840-1.04418-0.97670
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
51.6%
48.4%
+100
-108
+100
-102
-1½+153
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
3
4
-0.67446-0.68824-0.72542
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
40.0%
60.0%
+180
-192
+183
-200
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
3
4
-0.43383-0.42529-0.51068
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
35.5%
64.5%
+187
-203
+189
-200
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½+105
-1½-103
2
10
-0.41875-0.41806-0.43897
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
49.1%
50.9%
-119
+111
-118
+112
-1½+143
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-159
0
4
-0.76385-0.76430-0.67539
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-5 (0.633)1-0.69110 
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.68686 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.68417
0.00693
0.00268

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.