MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 28, 2022

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Orioles (18-27)
Boston Red Sox (21-23)
Unknown
Unknown
37.4%
62.6%




4.17
5.49
9.66


Kansas City Royals (15-28)
Minnesota Twins (27-18)
Unknown
Unknown
38.4%
61.6%




3.57
4.79
8.36


Milwaukee Brewers (29-16)
St. Louis Cardinals (24-20)
Unknown
Unknown
50.7%
49.3%




3.90
3.82
7.72


Colorado Rockies (20-24)
Washington Nationals (16-30)
Unknown
Unknown
49.7%
50.3%




4.10
4.13
8.23


Texas Rangers (20-23)
Oakland Athletics (19-28)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%




3.59
3.68
7.27


Miami Marlins (18-24)
Atlanta Braves (21-24)
Unknown
Unknown
41.9%
58.1%




3.41
4.26
7.67


San Francisco Giants (24-19)
Cincinnati Reds (14-30)
Unknown
Unknown
62.3%
37.7%




4.76
3.46
8.22


Cleveland Guardians (18-23)
Detroit Tigers (16-28)
Unknown
Unknown
52.4%
47.6%




4.09
3.84
7.93


New York Yankees (32-13)
Tampa Bay Rays (26-18)
Unknown
Unknown
53.6%
46.4%




4.12
3.75
7.87


Baltimore Orioles (18-27)
Boston Red Sox (21-23)
Unknown
Unknown
37.4%
62.6%




4.02
5.35
9.37


Los Angeles Dodgers (30-14)
Arizona Diamondbacks (23-23)
Unknown
Unknown
64.6%
35.4%




5.00
3.47
8.47


Philadelphia Phillies (21-24)
New York Mets (29-17)
Unknown
Unknown
45.0%
55.0%




3.79
4.31
8.10


Chicago Cubs (18-26)
Chicago White Sox (22-22)
Unknown
Unknown
37.2%
62.8%




3.29
4.63
7.92


Toronto Blue Jays (24-20)
Los Angeles Angels (27-19)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%




4.18
4.01
8.19


Pittsburgh Pirates (18-25)
San Diego Padres (28-16)
Unknown
Unknown
34.1%
65.9%




3.23
4.88
8.11


Houston Astros (29-16)
Seattle Mariners (18-27)
Unknown
Unknown
55.5%
44.5%




4.33
3.74
8.07


Games for May 29, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
45.0%
55.0%
+105
-112
+106
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+192
4
1
-0.73382-0.73191-0.79842
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
64.5%
35.5%
-170
+161
-175
+170
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
14
1
-0.47531-0.45869-0.43843
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
47.5%
52.5%
+150
-160
+152
-160
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+126
6
3
-0.93156-0.93639-0.74423
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
49.5%
50.5%
-123
+114
-121
+118


16
7
-0.61367-0.60859-0.70362
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
45.9%
54.1%
+105
-115
+110
-117
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
3
-0.74028-0.75717-0.77844
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
37.2%
62.8%
+165
-175
+170
-180
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+112
3
2
-0.98819-1.00641-0.98776
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks106-4 (0.600)0-0.70503 
Sportsbooks106-4 (0.600)0-0.70563 
DRatings103-7 (0.300)0-0.70771
-0.00268
-0.00208

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.