Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best Line | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins Seattle Mariners | 49.6% 50.4% | -129 +122 -130 +124 | 0 10 | -0.81119-0.81805 | -0.68429 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Los Angeles Dodgers | 40.0% 60.0% | +149 -158 +145 -153 | 3 5 | -0.50428-0.51577 | -0.51019 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants | 35.9% 64.1% | +172 -180 +172 -176 | 8 9 | -0.45229-0.45523 | -0.44502 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Oakland Athletics | 46.1% 53.9% | +116 -126 +118 -124 | 4 6 | -0.60453-0.60358 | -0.61735 | |
| San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies | 61.7% 38.3% | -230 +213 -231 +225 | 4 8 | -1.15734-1.18424 | -0.95980 | |
| Miami Marlins St. Louis Cardinals | 45.9% 54.1% | +118 -124 +117 -123 | 1 2 | -0.60358-0.60732 | -0.61349 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 9-5 (0.633) | 1 | -0.65386 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 9-6 (0.600) | 0 | -0.65810 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.65079 | 0.00308 0.00731 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.