MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 6, 2020

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U
Bet
Value
More Details
Minnesota Twins (9-2)
Pittsburgh Pirates (2-9)
Kenta Maeda
Jonathan Brubaker
71.0%
29.0%
-180
+170

5.47
3.31
8.78
o9-110
u9-105

San Francisco Giants (5-7)
Colorado Rockies (8-2)
Undecided
Kyle Freeland
39.8%
60.2%
+157
-170

5.55
6.62
12.17
o12½-115
u12½-105

Texas Rangers (3-6)
Oakland Athletics (7-4)
Mike Minor
Mike Fiers
40.2%
59.8%
+140
-146

3.79
4.82
8.61
o8½-110
u8½-110

Los Angeles Angels (4-7)
Seattle Mariners (4-8)
Dylan Bundy
Taijuan Walker
57.2%
42.8%
-160
+154

5.08
4.33
9.41
o9-110
u9-110

New York Yankees (8-1)
Philadelphia Phillies (1-3)
Jordan Montgomery
Zach Eflin
69.1%
30.9%
-150
+145

6.04
4.09
10.13
o9½-110
u9½-105

Cincinnati Reds (5-6)
Cleveland Indians (6-6)
Luis Castillo
Carlos Carrasco
45.3%
54.7%
+110
-119

3.75
4.25
8.00
o8-105
u8-115

PostponedNew York Yankees (8-1)
Tampa Bay Rays (5-6)
Unknown
Unknown
61.2%
38.8%


4.78
3.61
8.39


PostponedPhiladelphia Phillies (1-3)
Miami Marlins (3-1)
Unknown
Unknown
52.4%
47.6%


4.07
3.82
7.88


Toronto Blue Jays (3-5)
Atlanta Braves (8-4)
Nate Pearson
Touki Toussaint
40.1%
59.9%
+125
-129

5.21
6.25
11.46
o9-117
u9+100

Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (9-2)
Kansas City Royals (3-9)
Tyler Chatwood
Brad Keller
62.8%
37.2%
-165
+155

5.40
4.05
9.45
o9-120
u9+100

Houston Astros (6-4)
Arizona Diamondbacks (3-8)
Zack Greinke
Zac Gallen
61.7%
38.3%
-135
+127

4.92
3.70
8.62
o9-115
u9-105

Baltimore Orioles (5-4)
Miami Marlins (3-1)
Wade LeBlanc
Undecided
47.0%
53.0%


3.97
4.28
8.25


Milwaukee Brewers (3-5)
Chicago White Sox (7-4)
Josh Lindblom
Gio Gonzalez
42.7%
57.3%
+123
-130

4.40
5.17
9.57
o9-120
u9+100

PostponedDetroit Tigers (5-5)
St. Louis Cardinals (2-3)
Unknown
Unknown
33.1%
66.9%


3.34
5.08
8.42


Games for Aug 7, 2020

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
Line
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Philadelphia Phillies (1-3)
New York Yankees (8-1)
30.5%
69.5%
+101
-107
+104
-110
8.26
o7-118
u7-102
o7½+100
u7½-115
6th
TOP
9
3
Miami Marlins (3-1)
Baltimore Orioles (5-4)
46.8%
53.2%
+110
-115
+109
-115
7.57
o7-120
u7+100
o7-115
u7+100
3rd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
54.4%
45.6%
-181
+171
-180
+175
5
3
-0.45011-0.44690-0.60825
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.6%
41.4%
-134
+124
-130
+125
8
2
-0.57428-0.57912-0.53520
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
55.6%
44.4%
-114
+107
-114
+110
5
2
-0.64472-0.63817-0.55271
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
43.0%
57.0%
+148
-158
+148
-156
1
5
-0.50320-0.50571-0.56215
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
37.3%
62.7%
+162
-172
+165
-170
2
5
-0.46946-0.46818-0.46791
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
40.1%
59.9%
+105
-113
+105
-113
4
0
-0.73681-0.73681-0.91272
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks1210-2 (0.833)0-0.55317 
Sportsbooks1210-2 (0.833)0-0.55067 
DRatings1211-1 (0.917)0-0.57559
-0.02242
-0.02492

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.