Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants | 40.6% 59.4% | +181 -194 +185 -195 | +1½-122 -1½+107 +1½-120 -1½+115 | 2 5 | -0.43134-0.42580 | -0.52108 | |
| Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners | 37.7% 62.3% | +178 -191 +181 -190 | +1½-118 -1½+105 +1½-115 -1½+107 | 5 0 | -1.03840-1.04418 | -0.97670 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres | 51.6% 48.4% | +100 -108 +100 -102 | -1½+153 +1½-168 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 3 4 | -0.67446-0.68824 | -0.72542 | |
| Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Angels | 40.0% 60.0% | +180 -192 +183 -200 | +1½-118 -1½+102 +1½-120 -1½+105 | 3 4 | -0.43383-0.42529 | -0.51068 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Houston Astros | 35.5% 64.5% | +187 -203 +189 -200 | +1½-115 -1½+102 +1½+105 -1½-103 | 2 10 | -0.41875-0.41806 | -0.43897 | |
| Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins | 49.1% 50.9% | -119 +111 -118 +112 | -1½+143 +1½-158 -1½+145 +1½-159 | 0 4 | -0.76385-0.76430 | -0.67539 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 9-5 (0.633) | 1 | -0.69110 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.68686 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.68417 | 0.00693 0.00268 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.