MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago White Sox (2-4)
Detroit Tigers (2-4)
Davis Martin
Reese Olson
31.8%
68.2%
+193
-215



3.38
5.24
8.62
o7½+100
u7½-120

Houston Astros (3-4)
Minnesota Twins (2-5)
Spencer Arrighetti
Bailey Ober
48.4%
51.6%
+104
-115



4.12
4.29
8.41
o7½-110
u7½-110

San Diego Padres (7-0)
Chicago Cubs (5-4)
Nick Pivetta
Matthew Boyd
49.1%
50.9%
+109
-120
+176
-195

+1½-110
-1½-110
3.44
3.54
6.98

o10-110
u10-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (4-3)
Washington Nationals (1-5)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Mitchell Parker
55.6%
44.4%
-130
+118
+115
-125

+1½-187
-1½+167
4.67
4.09
8.76
o8½-115
u8½-105
o9½+100
u9½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (8-0)
Philadelphia Phillies (5-1)
Roki Sasaki
Aaron Nola
47.2%
52.8%
-105
-105
+104
-114

+1½-210
-1½+190
4.35
4.64
8.99
o8½-106
u8½-114
o8-105
u8-115
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Yankees (4-2)
Pittsburgh Pirates (2-5)
Marcus Stroman
Bailey Falter
56.3%
43.7%
-145
+131



4.90
4.24
9.14
o9-105
u9-115

Baltimore Orioles (3-4)
Kansas City Royals (2-4)
Tomoyuki Sugano
Michael Wacha
50.0%
50.0%
+104
-115



3.71
3.71
7.42
o8½+108
u8½-128

St. Louis Cardinals (4-2)
Boston Red Sox (3-4)
Andre Pallante
Richard Fitts
42.2%
57.8%
+109
-120



4.11
4.92
9.03
o9+105
u9-125

Tampa Bay Rays (4-2)
Texas Rangers (5-2)
Taj Bradley
Jacob deGrom
41.6%
58.4%
+154
-170



2.95
3.82
6.77
o7½-115
u7½-105

Cincinnati Reds (2-5)
Milwaukee Brewers (3-4)
Brady Singer
Elvin Rodriguez
48.6%
51.4%
-105
-105
+125
-137

+1½-190
-1½+170
3.88
4.04
7.92
o8½+105
u8½-125
o7-120
u7+100
Overall Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (5-2)
New York Mets (3-3)
Chris Bassitt
Griffin Canning
45.3%
54.7%
+113
-125



3.99
4.48
8.47
o8+100
u8-120

Miami Marlins (4-3)
Atlanta Braves (0-7)
Cal Quantrill
AJ Smith-Shawver
25.2%
74.8%
+189
-210
+107
-117

+1½-185
-1½+165
2.99
5.59
8.58
o8-120
u8+100
o10-105
u10-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (2-5)
Colorado Rockies (1-5)
JP Sears
Germán Márquez
48.9%
51.1%
-110
+100



3.92
4.04
7.96
o9-115
u9-105

Seattle Mariners (3-4)
San Francisco Giants (5-1)
Bryce Miller
Robbie Ray
45.0%
55.0%
+110
-121



3.42
3.95
7.37
o7-115
u7-105

Cleveland Guardians (2-4)
Los Angeles Angels (4-2)
Tanner Bibee
Jack Kochanowicz
60.7%
39.3%
-143
+130



4.46
3.34
7.80
o8+100
u8-120

Games for Apr 6, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (2-4)
Detroit Tigers (2-4)
26.6%
73.4%
+208
-225
+215
-224
+1½-108
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-105
7.29
o7-112
u7+102
o7-120
u7+100
7th
BOT
1
7
St. Louis Cardinals (4-2)
Boston Red Sox (3-4)
49.2%
50.8%
+101
-108
+105
-109

+1½-185
-1½+175
8.85
o9½-113
u9½-103
o9½-115
u9½-105
4th
BOT
4
6
San Diego Padres (7-0)
Chicago Cubs (5-4)
46.2%
53.8%
+149
-159
+150
-160
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-154
-1½+145
7.59
o7-103
u7-109
o7-105
u7-110
5th
BOT
1
1
Toronto Blue Jays (5-2)
New York Mets (3-3)
43.9%
56.1%
+120
-129
+125
-128
+1½-183
-1½+166
+1½-185
-1½+170
7.60
o7½+105
u7½-113
o7½+100
u7½-115
1st
BOT
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
47.5%
52.5%
+105
-114
+106
-113
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
1
-0.65009-0.64972-0.64508
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
49.1%
50.9%
+126
-134
+128
-134
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
7
9
-0.57251-0.56867-0.67468
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
42.6%
57.4%
+128
-134
+126
-135
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
2
-0.83536-0.83218-0.85287
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
48.8%
51.2%
+117
-125
+116
-121
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
8
4
-0.79098-0.78054-0.71805
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
29.2%
70.8%
+186
-195
+190
-200
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
1
3
-0.42459-0.41690-0.34557
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+202
-210
+210
-216
+1½+110
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-116
5
6
-0.39797-0.38657-0.40446
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
42.1%
57.9%
+130
-138
+132
-140
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
3
-0.84742-0.85583-0.86536
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
30.5%
69.5%
+274
-310
+280
-310
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+120
-1½-130
1
5
-0.30280-0.29866-0.36374
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
45.8%
54.2%
-120
+111
-117
+115
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
3
0
-0.62534-0.62200-0.78167
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
65.9%
34.1%
-175
+166
-180
+168
-1½-105
+1½-106
-1½-105
+1½-110
6
1
-0.46421-0.45770-0.41659
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
62.2%
37.8%
-195
+186
-200
+190
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+115
6
5
-0.42459-0.41690-0.47478
Cleveland Guardians
San Diego Padres
39.0%
61.0%
+170
-176
+171
-179
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
2
5
-0.45793-0.45435-0.49371
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
41.1%
58.9%
+149
-159
+152
-163
+1½-143
-1½+129
+1½-145
-1½+130
6
3
-0.92766-0.94071-0.88872
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
53.2%
46.8%
-119
+110
-118
+110
-1½+155
+1½-163
-1½+155
+1½-160
2
3
-0.76132-0.75927-0.75959
Chicago Cubs
Oakland Athletics
55.1%
44.9%
+108
-117
+110
-118
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+175
10
2
-0.75211-0.75927-0.59675
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
43.6%
56.4%
+100
-107
+102
-106

-1½+165
+1½-170
2
4
-0.67666-0.67401-0.57217
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.68599 
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.68352 
DRatings32-1 (0.667)0-0.72421
-0.03822
-0.04069

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.