MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 29, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (0-0)
New York Mets (0-0)
Freddy Peralta
José Quintana
45.6%
54.4%
-105
-105



3.49
3.95
7.44
o7½-110
u7½-110

Atlanta Braves (0-0)
Philadelphia Phillies (0-0)
Spencer Strider
Zack Wheeler
53.4%
46.6%
-122
+112



4.38
4.02
8.40
o7½-103
u7½-117

Toronto Blue Jays (0-0)
Tampa Bay Rays (0-0)
Chris Bassitt
Aaron Civale
47.3%
52.7%
+108
-118



4.01
4.30
8.31
o8-107
u8-113

Pittsburgh Pirates (0-0)
Miami Marlins (0-0)
Martin Perez
A.J. Puk
45.2%
54.8%
+113
-123



4.06
4.55
8.61
o8-104
u8-116

New York Yankees (0-0)
Houston Astros (0-0)
Carlos Rodon
Cristian Javier
45.0%
55.0%
+119
-129



4.04
4.57
8.61
o9-102
u9-118

Colorado Rockies (0-0)
Arizona Diamondbacks (0-0)
Cal Quantrill
Merrill Kelly
33.4%
66.6%
+194
-215



3.28
4.99
8.27
o8½-120
u8½+100

San Francisco Giants (0-0)
San Diego Padres (1-1)
Kyle Harrison
Joe Musgrove
41.9%
58.1%
+134
-146



4.16
5.02
9.18
o7½-120
u7½+100

Cleveland Guardians (0-0)
Oakland Athletics (0-0)
Logan Allen
Ross Stripling
57.5%
42.5%
-135
+124



4.80
4.02
8.82
o8+103
u8-123

Boston Red Sox (0-0)
Seattle Mariners (0-0)
Nick Pivetta
George Kirby
41.1%
58.9%
+142
-155



3.66
4.60
8.26
o7½-105
u7½-115

St. Louis Cardinals (0-0)
Los Angeles Dodgers (1-1)
Zach Thompson
Bobby Miller
36.7%
63.3%
+194
-215



4.00
5.39
9.39
o8½-125
u8½+105

Games for Mar 30, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Angels (0-0)
Baltimore Orioles (0-0)
33.9%
66.1%
+174
-183
+180
-178
+1½-125
-1½+117
+1½-110
-1½+105
8.31
o7½-113
u8-120
o8+100
u8-105
2nd
BOT
1
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.4%
59.6%
+173
-183
+175
-180
+1½-106
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
15
11
-1.01716-1.01807-0.90555
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
63.1%
36.9%
-167
+161
-174
+170
-1½-107
+1½+105
-1½-104
+1½+100
5
2
-0.47783-0.45947-0.46004
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
48.1%
51.9%
-103
-103
-105
+105


5
0
-0.69315-0.66904-0.73187
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
+107
-113
+105
-113
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
11
7
-0.74108-0.73601-0.66569
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.7%
43.3%
-110
+105
-110
+105

+1½-210
-1½+204
3
1
-0.65817-0.65817-0.56764
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
43.4%
56.6%
+140
-143
+136
-143
+1½-154
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+136
9
1
-0.88059-0.87079-0.83374
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
47.4%
52.6%
+140
-149
+142
-150
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
6
-0.52846-0.52396-0.64308
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
40.5%
59.5%
+147
-151
+152
-154
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+131
4
2
-0.91063-0.92738-0.90271
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
48.4%
51.6%
+121
-131
+124
-130
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
11
4
-0.81238-0.81805-0.72505
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
45.0%
55.0%
+167
-177
+175
-180
+1½-125
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+110
5
1
-0.99552-1.01807-0.79893
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
45.2%
54.8%
+108
-117
+112
-116
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
2
-0.75211-0.76012-0.79376
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.2%
50.8%
-128
+119
-126
+120
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
6
1
-0.59519-0.59626-0.70991
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.3%
46.7%
-127
+121
-128
+122
-1½+118
+1½-133
-1½+125
+1½-130
5
6
-0.80488-0.80930-0.76068
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
47.6%
52.4%
-102
-103
-102
+100
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+195
5
4
-0.69557-0.68824-0.74326
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
45.6%
54.4%
-106
-102
+100
+101
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-200
-1½+180
10
3
-0.68377-0.69065-0.78539
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.3%
44.7%
-119
+113
-118
+117
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+132
+1½-145
1
2
-0.76891-0.77683-0.80430
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.