MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 9, 2023

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Texas Rangers (40-21)
Tampa Bay Rays (45-19)
Andrew Heaney
Tyler Glasnow
45.5%
54.5%
+157
-163
+155
-169
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+115
3.98
4.46
8.44
o8-116
u8+102
o8½+100
u8+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25)
Detroit Tigers (26-33)
Merrill Kelly
Michael Lorenzen
57.0%
43.0%
-133
+126
-135
+129
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
4.52
3.78
8.30
o8½+103
u8½-118
o8½+100
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (35-27)
Philadelphia Phillies (29-32)
Michael Grove
Ranger Suarez
48.2%
51.8%
+101
-107
+103
-108
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+170
4.75
4.93
9.68
o9½+100
u9½-108
o9-115
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (30-32)
Pittsburgh Pirates (32-29)
Tylor Megill
Rich Hill
52.1%
47.9%

-125
+112

-1½+130
+1½-155
4.73
4.51
9.24

o9-115
u9-105
Boston Red Sox (31-31)
New York Yankees (36-26)
Garrett Whitlock
Gerrit Cole
38.7%
61.3%
+148
-158
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+125
3.46
4.64
8.10
o8-103
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Kansas City Royals (18-44)
Baltimore Orioles (37-24)
Daniel Lynch
Tyler Wells
37.2%
62.8%
+151
-161
+153
-165
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
3.36
4.70
8.06
o8½+110
u8½-118
o8-120
u8½-115
Minnesota Twins (31-31)
Toronto Blue Jays (35-28)
Sonny Gray
Yusei Kikuchi
50.5%
49.5%
+104
-111
+105
-112
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3.85
3.79
7.64
o8½-115
u8½+102
o8½-115
u8½-105
Houston Astros (36-26)
Cleveland Guardians (28-33)
Cristian Javier
Logan Allen
54.9%
45.1%
-120
+113
-122
+115
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-150
3.99
3.49
7.48
o8+100
u7½+102
o8+100
u8-120
Washington Nationals (25-36)
Atlanta Braves (37-24)
Josiah Gray
AJ Smith-Shawver
37.1%
62.9%

+170
-205

+1½-120
-1½-100
3.69
5.04
8.73

o9½-110
u9½-110
Miami Marlins (35-28)
Chicago White Sox (27-35)
Eury Pérez
Dylan Cease
49.4%
50.6%
+130
-137
+131
-138
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+140
3.97
4.03
8.00
o8½+110
u8½-120
o8-115
u8½-120
Oakland Athletics (14-50)
Milwaukee Brewers (34-28)
Sam Moll
Adrian Houser
38.0%
62.0%

+192
-235

+1½-105
-1½-115
4.13
5.40
9.53

o9½-100
u9½-120
Cincinnati Reds (29-33)
St. Louis Cardinals (26-37)
Ben Lively
Jordan Montgomery
39.2%
60.8%
+166
-174
+172
-177
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
3.64
4.78
8.42
o9+110
u9-123
o8½-110
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (29-33)
Colorado Rockies (26-37)
Yu Darvish
Austin Gomber
66.4%
33.6%
-172
+170
-170
+161
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
5.71
4.02
9.73
o11½+102
u11½-115
o11-120
u11½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (30-31)
Los Angeles Angels (33-30)
Luis Castillo
Shohei Ohtani
52.1%
47.9%
+119
-128
+120
-128
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
3.75
3.53
7.28
o7-118
u7+102
o7-120
u7+100
Chicago Cubs (26-35)
San Francisco Giants (31-30)
Marcus Stroman
Anthony DeSclafani
45.1%
54.9%

+105
-115

+1½-205
-1½+170
3.71
4.23
7.94

o7-120
u7-100
Games for Jun 10, 2023

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Houston Astros (36-26)
Toronto Blue Jays (35-28)
50.4%
49.6%
-107
+101
-110
+101
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-163
7.83
o8-113
u8+100
o8-110
u8½-120
7th
TOP
2
3
Boston Red Sox (31-31)
Cleveland Guardians (28-33)
47.5%
52.5%
+138
-143
+139
-145
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
7.70
o8½+102
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
7th
TOP
2
8
New York Mets (30-32)
Atlanta Braves (37-24)
39.8%
60.2%
+170
-176
+170
-177
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+108
7.69
o8½+100
u8½-113
o8½+100
u8½-115
5th
BOT
9
5
Chicago White Sox (27-35)
New York Yankees (36-26)
41.4%
58.6%
+119
-127
+120
-128
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+165
8.86
o8+100
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
6th
BOT
0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies
33.2%
66.8%
+206
-225
+210
-230
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-110
2
3
-0.38665-0.38037-0.40410
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
40.1%
59.9%
+125
-133
+127
-126
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
6
5
-0.82608-0.81783-0.91492
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
59.5%
40.5%
-170
+160
-170
+160
-1½-117
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+105
6
4
-0.47678-0.47678-0.51977
Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers
49.7%
50.3%
-102
-103
-102
-106
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
6
3
-0.69557-0.70261-0.69858
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
41.8%
58.2%
+100
-108
+108
-110
+1½-210
-1½+184
+1½-195
-1½+180
2
4
-0.67446-0.65120-0.54116
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
61.7%
38.3%
-230
+214
-235
+215
-1½-155
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+152
6
0
-0.37634-0.37333-0.48285
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels
42.3%
57.7%
+133
-139
+138
-142
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+140
2
6
-0.55271-0.54003-0.54993
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
61.5%
38.5%
-210
+199
-210
+198
-1½-150
+1½+137
-1½-145
+1½+135
5
4
-0.40127-0.40237-0.48675
St. Louis Cardinals
Texas Rangers
44.9%
55.1%
+122
-128
+128
-130
+1½-158
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+146
1
0
-0.80930-0.82798-0.80002
Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers
46.3%
53.7%
+134
-140
+128
-134
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
10
-0.54962-0.56867-0.62206
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
50.0%
50.0%
+114
-120
+115
-120
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
5
7
-0.61880-0.61667-0.69393
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
48.8%
51.2%
+125
-130
+126
-133
+1½-174
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
5
-0.58016-0.57389-0.66978
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
57.8%
42.2%
-145
+142
-150
+143
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-110
6
8
-0.88882-0.89936-0.86313
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
45.7%
54.3%
+133
-142
+137
-145
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+131
2
3
-0.54894-0.53820-0.60980
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
56.7%
43.3%
-114
+106
-111
+107
-1½+137
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
6
2
-0.64777-0.65145-0.56669
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+102
-110
+100
-110
+1½-205
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+186
1
2
-0.66532-0.67015-0.59969
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.56980 
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.56316 
DRatings75-2 (0.714)0-0.58733
-0.01753
-0.02417

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.