Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
58.7%41.3%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
4.93Projected Runs 4.01
5Final Score 7
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
80-33.431.246

Eli Morgan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-65.981.313

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • CLE: Cal Quantrill-131
W 4-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • CLE: Logan Allen-160
W 2-12 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: John Gant • BOS: Chris Sale-250
L 9-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Nick Pivetta-151
W 9-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Griffin Jax • BOS: Tanner Houck-215
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • CLE: Cal Quantrill+126
L 4-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • CLE: Logan Allen+165
W 6-10 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jordan Lyles • CLE: Sam Hentges-151
W 2-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jake Latz • CLE: Zach Plesac-185
L 7-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: Taylor Hearn • CLE: Eli Morgan-165

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFEnrique HernandezOut
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoOut
  • RFHunter RenfroeOut

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PNick Sandlin10-day IL
  • RFHarold Ramirez10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • PTriston McKenzie10-day IL
  • SSErnie Clement10-day IL
NW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)88°89°89°88°
Humidity62%59%57%57%
Precipitation4%7%8%11%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 4 mphW 6 mphWSW 8 mphSW 9 mph
Nic Lentz
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-145--162-151-151-151-151-
Guardians+134-+141+139+141+139+141-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-144-146-155--155-149-146-
Guardians+134+136+141-+142+139+142-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -164 to -170
Guardians ML moved from +148 to +141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -160 to -170
Guardians ML moved from +145 to +136

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+100--1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-
Guardians+1½-120-+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-100-1½-105-1½-105--1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-
Guardians+1½-120+1½-115+1½-113-+1½-115+1½-115+1½-113-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105-o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-110-
Underu9½-115-u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o10-120o10½+100-o10-115o10½-110o10-115-
Underu9½-115u10+100u10½-120-u10-105u10½-110u10½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10½-110
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-120