Nationals at Pirates

Updated
Rank22
R/G5.2
RA/G5.4
36.7%63.3%
Nationals WinPirates Win
3.95Projected Runs 5.35
5Final Score 4
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank22
R/G5.2
RA/G5.4
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

PJ Poulin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-01.00.94

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-16 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Cade Cavalli • PIT: Paul Skenes+192
W 8-6 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Zack Littell • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+190
W 3-1 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Foster Griffin • MIL: Kyle Harrison+156
W 7-3 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Jake Irvin • MIL: Aaron Ashby+180
L 6-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Michael McGreevy • WSN: Miles Mikolas+110
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 5-16 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Cade Cavalli • PIT: Paul Skenes-210
L 6-7 at Chicago CubsPIT: Bubba Chandler • CHC: Jameson Taillon+120
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • CHC: Edward Cabrera+131
W 2-0 at Chicago CubsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • CHC: Shota Imanaga+138
L 8-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • PIT: Mitch Keller+111

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PCole Henry15-day IL
  • PMiles MikolasUnknown
  • PKen Waldichuk15-day IL
  • -Paxton Schultz15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSJared Triolo10-day IL
  • PJared Jones60-day IL
WSW 12 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°73°71°69°
Humidity63%67%73%78%
Precipitation52%52%43%16%
ConditionCloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 12 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 7 mphSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+140+150+147+148+152+148+152+154.1
Pirates-155-164-179-164-162-164-162-154.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+160+155+149+158+158+153+158+154.1
Pirates-185-170-166-173-182-168-166-154.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +157 to +149
Pirates ML moved from -161 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 50.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +165 to +153
Pirates ML moved from -178 to -184

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-145+1½-133+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-133+1½-128
Pirates-1½+125-1½+121-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+121-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-140+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-128
Pirates-1½+120-1½+110-1½+120-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+120-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9½-112o9½-120o10-107o10-110o10-107o9½-112o10+103
Underu8½+100u9½+101u9½+100u10-113u10-110u10-113u9½+105u10-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+105o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-110o10+103
Underu9-125u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-120 to o9½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-120 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-110