Braves at Red Sox

Updated
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
57.6%42.4%
Braves WinRed Sox Win
3.91Projected Runs 3.11
10Final Score 2
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
107-31.890.87

Payton Tolle (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-22.450.82

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 0-8 at Boston Red SoxATL: Bryce Elder • BOS: Connelly Early+102
W 7-6 at Boston Red SoxATL: Spencer Strider • BOS: Ranger Suarez-105
L 2-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Foster Griffin • ATL: Martín Pérez-145
L 2-0 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • ATL: Grant Holmes-158
W 4-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Richard Lovelady • ATL: Bryce Elder-185
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 0-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • BOS: Connelly Early-107
L 7-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • BOS: Ranger Suarez-104
L 6-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Sonny Gray-165
L 4-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Taj Bradley • BOS: Jovani Moran-118
L 8-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Connor Prielipp • BOS: Payton Tolle-142

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CSean Murphy10-day IL
  • 2BKyle Farmer10-day IL
  • CDrake Baldwin10-day IL
  • RHPHurston Waldrep60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • PGarrett Crochet15-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
NE 4 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)68°68°67°65°
Humidity53%50%46%51%
Precipitation5%5%2%5%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindNE 4 mphN 7 mphN 10 mphN 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-140-128-133-135-133-135-128-127.5
Red Sox+117+117+111+122+123+122+123+127.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-140-132-134-124-135-134-124-127.5
Red Sox+125+122+120+109+120+122+122+127.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -126 to -132
Red Sox ML moved from +122 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 50.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -128 to -134
Red Sox ML moved from +118 to +111

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+125-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+148
Red Sox+1½-145+1½-159+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+125-1½+140-1½+138-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+148
Red Sox+1½-145+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o6½-111o6½-105o6½-116o6½-115o6½-116o6½-105o6½-105
Underu7½-120u6½-102u6½-115u6½-104u6½-105u6½-104u6½-102u6½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o6½-120o6½-120o7+105o7+105o6½-120o6½-120o6½-105
Underu7+100u6½+100u6½+100u7-125u7-125u6½+100u7-125u6½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+110 to o7+100
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-120