Detroit at Minnesota

Updated

VS

37.5%
Projected Runs: 2.99
Final Score: 0
62.5%
Projected Runs: 4.31
Final Score: 2

Pitching

Matthew Boyd (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-47.271.558

Randy Dobnak (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
75-23.121.298

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 5-8 at Milwaukee BrewersDET: Spencer Turnbull • MIL: Adrian Houser+155
W 12-1 at Milwaukee BrewersDET: Michael Fulmer • MIL: Josh Lindblom+179
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • DET: Casey Mize+200
W 2-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Matt Wisler • DET: Tarik Skubal+140
W 2-8 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Randy Dobnak • DET: Matthew Boyd+140
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 1-8 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Reynaldo Lopez • MIN: Jose Berrios-167
W 2-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • MIN: Michael Pineda-108
L 8-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • MIN: Rich Hill+106
L 2-3 at Detroit TigersMIN: Kenta Maeda • DET: Casey Mize-210
L 2-4 at Detroit TigersMIN: Matt Wisler • DET: Tarik Skubal-148

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • 1BJohn HicksRest
  • CFJaCoby Jones10-day IL
  • 1BC.J. CronOut for Season
  • 2BNiko GoodrumOut
  • 3BHarold Castro10-day IL
  • PIvan Nova10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 2BLuis ArraezUnknown
  • PCody Stashak10-day IL
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • PZack Littell10-day IL
  • CFByron BuxtonRest
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL
WNW 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°73°75°76°
Humidity40%36%33%32%
Precipitation2%2%2%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 8 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 10 mphWNW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Detroit+166+155+150+152+160+154+160
Minnesota-180-165-175-165-180-167-165
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Detroit+150-+148+150+150+156+156
Minnesota-160--163-160-165-166-160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 30.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit ML moved from +146 to +140
Minnesota ML moved from -170 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 10.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit ML moved from +155 to +145
Minnesota ML moved from -159 to -166

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Detroit+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140
Minnesota-1½+130-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Detroit+1½-160-+1½-154+1½-150+1½-160+1½-145+1½-145
Minnesota-1½+140--1½+135-1½+130-1½+140-1½+125-1½+140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo7-105o7+100o7+100o6½-125o6½-125o6½-125o7+100
Underu7-115u7-120u7-120u6½+105u6½+105u6½+105u6½+105
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo6½-115-o6½-122o6½-125o6½-130o6½-120o6½-120
Underu6½-105-u6½+102u6½+105u6½+110u6½+100u6½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-120 to o6½-130
The Under moved from u6½+110 to u7-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-105 to o6½-115
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-105