Reds at Pirates

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(9-7)
Rank18
R/G5.8
RA/G4.8
60.8%39.2%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.14Projected Runs 3.00
4Final Score 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-6)
Rank15
R/G5.3
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G5.8
RA/G4.8
Rank15
R/G5.3
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
70-54.11.473

Steven Brault (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-14.01.444

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Tyler Mahle-148
L 16-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kwang Hyun Kim • CIN: Sonny Gray-165
L 7-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Dakota Hudson • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani-105
L 10-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Tyler Chatwood • CIN: Luis Castillo-162
W 5-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Tejay Antone-117
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PIT: JT Brubaker+150
L 8-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Joe Musgrove+160
L 8-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jon Lester • PIT: Chad Kuhl+155
L 5-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Trevor Williams • MIL: Brent Suter+180
W 5-1 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Steven Brault • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+257

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CTucker BarnhartRest
  • 2BMike MoustakasRest
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • PWade Miley10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
NW 7 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°76°76°74°
Humidity42%42%41%52%
Precipitation1%2%1%2%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 7 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-170-188-185-173-190-185-173-
Pirates+157+163+170+163+170+170+170-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-180--179-180-180-180-179-
Pirates+165-+162+165+160+165+165-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -175 to -184
Pirates ML moved from +155 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -168 to -179
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+120-1½-110-1½-107-1½-110-1½-105-1½-107-1½-105-
Pirates+1½-140+1½-110+1½-113+1½-110+1½-115+1½-113+1½-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+110--1½+100-1½-105-1½+105-1½-105-1½+105-
Pirates+1½-130-+1½-118+1½-115+1½-125+1½-115+1½-115-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105-
Underu7-125u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115-o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105-
Underu9½-105-u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½+105 to o6½-105
The Under moved from u6½-115 to u6½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½+105 to o6½+100
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-125
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