Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0
47.5%52.5%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.72Projected Runs 3.98
3Final Score 10
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Matt Dermody (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-12.041.075

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-5 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Kutter Crawford • CLE: Tanner Bibee+126
W 5-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: James Paxton • CLE: Shane Bieber-104
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • BOS: Brayan Bello+137
L 6-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • BOS: Tanner Houck+112
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Kutter Crawford+142
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CLE: Tanner Bibee-133
L 5-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • CLE: Shane Bieber-103
W 2-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+124
W 4-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Sonny Gray+116
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Bailey Ober+118

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • LFAdam Duvall60-day IL
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • RFAlex VerdugoRest
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • CConnor WongRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PPeyton Battenfield60-day IL
  • CMike ZuninoRest
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown
NW 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)65°64°62°61°
Humidity54%59%65%67%
Precipitation0%0%30%30%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindNW 7 mphNW 7 mphNNW 4 mphNNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-105+138+127+133+133+133+138+137.5
Guardians-115-148-152-144-143-144-143-137.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+101+135+139+130+135+131+139+137.5
Guardians-117-145-152-155-147-152-145-137.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Guardians ML moved from -129 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +127 to +120
Guardians ML moved from -141 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-185+1½-153+1½-160+1½-157+1½-155+1½-157+1½-153+1½-145
Guardians-1½+160-1½+137-1½+135-1½+137-1½+135-1½+137-1½+137-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-185+1½-160+1½-156+1½-165+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145
Guardians-1½+155-1½+140-1½+137-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½+102o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+102o8½+109
Underu8½-115u8½-118u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+109
Underu8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-113 to u8-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110