Pirates at Brewers

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-9)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
33.7%66.3%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.45Projected Runs 5.13
5Final Score 1

Milwaukee Brewers

(12-6)
Rank3
R/G5.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank3
R/G5.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Steven Brault (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-14.81.467

Brandon Woodruff (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-23.191.145

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 6-7 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Brett Anderson+180
L 1-9 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Derek Holland • MIL: Corbin Burnes+180
W 2-0 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Cody Ponce • STL: Johan Oviedo+160
W 4-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Chad Kuhl • STL: Kwang Hyun Kim+150
L 3-10 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Trevor Williams • CHW: Dallas Keuchel+200
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 6-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Brett Anderson-188
W 1-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Derek Holland • MIL: Corbin Burnes-199
L 6-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • MIL: Josh Lindblom-160
L 6-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Sonny Gray • MIL: Adrian Houser+115
W 2-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-110

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJoe Musgrove10-day IL
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • 3BColin MoranUnknown
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • CFLorenzo CainOut for Season
  • LFRyan BraunQuestionable
  • PCorey Knebel10-day IL
  • CManny Pina10-day IL
ENE 7 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°73°74°73°
Humidity59%57%57%59%
Precipitation1%1%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 7 mphE 7 mphE 7 mphE 7 mph
CB Bucknor
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+208+230+237+248+240+237+248-
Brewers-230-280-265-270-280-265-265-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+200-+257+230+230+240+257-
Brewers-220--287-270-280-270-270-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 40.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +250 to +240
Brewers ML moved from -270 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 40.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Brewers ML moved from -260 to -287

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-105+1½+115+1½+113+1½+110+1½+115+1½+113+1½+115-
Brewers-1½-115-1½-135-1½-133-1½-130-1½-135-1½-133-1½-130-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-105-+1½+114+1½+115+1½+115+1½+105+1½+115-
Brewers-1½-115--1½-132-1½-135-1½-135-1½-125-1½-125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-115o8-113o8-115o8-115o8-113o8-113-
Underu8½+100u8-105u8-107u8-105u8-105u8-107u8-105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120-o8-117o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115-
Underu8½+100-u8-103u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-103
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