Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
36.0%64.0%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
4.12Projected Runs 5.59
1Final Score 9
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Derek Holland (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-16.171.414

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-03.421.177

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-0 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Cody Ponce • STL: Johan Oviedo+160
W 4-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Chad Kuhl • STL: Kwang Hyun Kim+150
L 3-10 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Trevor Williams • CHW: Dallas Keuchel+200
L 0-4 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Steven Brault • CHW: Lucas Giolito+227
W 4-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • PIT: JT Brubaker+165
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 6-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • MIL: Josh Lindblom-160
L 6-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Sonny Gray • MIL: Adrian Houser+115
W 2-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-110
W 2-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Trevor Bauer • MIL: Brett Anderson+137
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Corbin Burnes • PIT: JT Brubaker-175

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove10-day IL
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • 3BColin MoranUnknown
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PCorey Knebel10-day IL
  • CManny PinaDoubtful
  • 1BJustin SmoakRest
  • CFLorenzo CainOut for Season
  • RFChristian YelichRest
E 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)78°76°76°75°
Humidity86%83%88%87%
Precipitation35%25%20%13%
ConditionPossible Light Rain and HumidPartly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyClear
WindE 9 mphSSW 13 mphNW 11 mphWNW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+180+180+181+185+190+181+190-
Brewers-190-210-197-200-220-197-197-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+176-+180+180+180+180+180-
Brewers-192--199-200-200-200-199-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +192 to +179
Brewers ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +185 to +178
Brewers ML moved from -195 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-110+1½-115+1½-110+1½-115+1½-115+1½-110-
Brewers-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120-+1½-115+1½-115+1½-110+1½-115+1½-110-
Brewers-1½+100--1½-103-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-1½-103-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100-
Underu9½-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110-o9+105o9+100o9+105o9+100o9+105-
Underu9-110-u9-125u9-120u9-125u9-120u9-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120