Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
47.0%53.0%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
5.02Projected Runs 5.34
1Final Score 8
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-07.21.2

Michael Wacha (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-02.081.154

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 0-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Tanner Houck+140
W 8-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Nick Pivetta+115
L 7-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • MIN: Chris Paddack+173
L 7-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Andrew Heaney • MIN: Chris Archer+136
W 0-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • MIN: Dylan Bundy-126
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Tanner Houck-138
L 8-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Nick Pivetta-118
W 9-7 at Detroit TigersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • DET: Eduardo Rodriguez-131
W 5-3 at Detroit TigersBOS: Rich Hill • DET: Tyler Alexander-120
L 1-3 at Detroit TigersBOS: Michael Wacha • DET: Matt Manning-120

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJorge Alcala10-day IL
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • RFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • CFByron BuxtonRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
NNW 10 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)46°46°43°43°
Humidity57%57%59%59%
Precipitation20%24%17%8%
ConditionMostly CloudyOvercastOvercastMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 10 mphNNW 10 mphNW 12 mphNW 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-110+113+115+115+115+115+115+118.7
Red Sox+100-135-125-125-125-125-125-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-108+124+116+117+125+116+125+118.7
Red Sox-102-134-127-127-135-126-127-118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -105
Red Sox ML moved from -107 to -117

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 70.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +101 to -105
Red Sox ML moved from -126 to -134

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-166
Red Sox+1½-160-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140+1½-170+1½-173+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-166
Red Sox+1½-160-1½+150-1½+153-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o9½+100o9½-103o9½+100o9½-103o9½-103o9½+100o9½+109
Underu10-115u9½-120u9½-117u9½-120u9½-117u9½-117u9½-117u9½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+100o9½+100o9½+105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+105o9½+109
Underu9-105u9½-120u9½-120u9½-125u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125