Phillies at Guardians

Updated
Rank3
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
50.7%49.3%
Phillies WinGuardians Win
3.52Projected Runs 3.45
0Final Score 6
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
Rank3
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-54.611.317

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-24.261.316

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 7-6 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Jesus Luzardo • TBR: Ryan Pepiot-155
W 7-0 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • TBR: Shane Baz-155
W 8-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Zack Wheeler • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-128
L 11-9 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Eduardo Rodriguez • PHI: Ranger Suárez-150
W 2-7 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Brandon Pfaadt • PHI: Aaron Nola-114
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 8-6 at Washington NationalsCLE: Logan Allen • WSN: Michael Soroka+102
W 9-1 at Washington NationalsCLE: Ben Lively • WSN: Brad Lord-107
L 9-10 at Washington NationalsCLE: Luis Ortiz • WSN: Jake Irvin-113
W 5-4 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Tanner Bibee • TOR: Bowden Francis-104
W 5-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Gavin Williams • TOR: Kevin Gausman+137

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • -Slade Cecconi15-day IL
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
  • CFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • SSJuan Brito15-day IL
  • PShane Bieber15-day IL
  • PErik Sabrowski15-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • PTrevor Stephan60-day IL
NW 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)57°56°53°51°
Humidity48%53%59%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 7 mphWNW 7 mphNW 5 mphNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-115-115-115-109-111-109-109-103.8
Guardians+104+105-105-101+101-101+105+103.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-118-115-110-116-112-110-110-103.8
Guardians+108+100-102+101+102+100+102+103.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -120 to -126
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Guardians ML moved from +110 to +100

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+140-1½+147-1½+150-1½+147-1½+150-1½+147-1½+150-1½+154
Guardians+1½-160+1½-163+1½-175+1½-167+1½-170+1½-167+1½-163+1½-154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+130-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+154
Guardians+1½-150+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+102o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+102o7½+104
Underu8-110u7½-118u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½+100o7½-110o8+105o7½-110o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½+100u7½-110u7½-120u7½-110u8-125u7½-110u8-125u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o8-105
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110